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Migori Youth - AFC Leopards

Premier League November 21, 2026 12:00
#12 · 6 pts
vs
#3 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.92%
Win
Migori Youth
32.12%
Draw
31.96%
Win
AFC Leopards
2.67
Expected xG
1.04

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (13.75%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 51%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Migori Youth a 35% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 31% for AFC Leopards. Expected goals are 2.7 for Migori Youth and 1.0 for AFC Leopards (total 3.7), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 13.75% probability.

Season Stats

Migori Youth
1W 3D 1L
AFC Leopards
7W 4D 4L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
1.0
0.8
Conceded
0.7
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
60%
20%
O 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
33%
40%
Clean Sht
53%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
5%
O 3.5
37%
BTTS
Migori Youth
1W 2D 0L · at home
AFC Leopards
4W 3D 3L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
0.3
Conceded
0.9
33%
Win %
40%
100%
Win or Draw
70%
67%
O 1.5
60%
0%
O 2.5
40%
0%
O 3.5
10%
33%
BTTS
40%
67%
Clean Sht
50%
33%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Migori Youth AFC Leopards →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.5% 2.5% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% —
1 6.6% 6.8% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.8% 8.1% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
4 5.2% 5.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.8% 2.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% —

Recent form

L Mara Sugar 2–1
W Mombasa Elite 2–0
D Shabana 1–1
D Mathare United 0–0
D Kenya Police 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 40%
D 3K 0–0
W Homeboyz 2–0
D Mara Sugar 0–0
D Shabana 0–0
W Kenya Police 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 40%

Playing profile

Migori Youth Migori Youth
Attack
25
Defence
88
Form
49
AFC Leopards AFC Leopards
Attack
20
Defence
69
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 6 13
2 KCB KCB 6 13
3 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 6 10
4 Kenya Police Kenya Police 6 9
5 Shabana Shabana 6 9
6 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 6 9
7 3K 3K 6 9
8 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 6 8
9 Bandari Bandari 6 7
9 Police Police 1 1
10 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 6 7
11 Tusker Tusker 4 6
12 Migori Youth Migori Youth 5 6
13 APS Bomet APS Bomet 6 6
14 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 6 6
15 Nairobi United Nairobi United 6 5
16 Mathare United Mathare United 6 5
17 Homeboyz Homeboyz 5 5
18 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 6 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Migori Youth vs AFC Leopards?
The model gives Migori Youth a 35% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 31% for an AFC Leopards win.
How many goals are expected in Migori Youth vs AFC Leopards?
Expected goals: Migori Youth 2.7, AFC Leopards 1.0 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Migori Youth vs AFC Leopards?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.75%.