Mijas Las Lagunas - Real Jaén
Copa del Rey
November 10, 2026 20:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.93%
Win
Mijas Las Lagunas
27.92%
Draw
43.15%
Win
Real Jaén
1.82
1.3
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(10.79%)
1X2 Result
1
29%
X
28%
2
43%
Double Chance
1X
57%
X2
71%
12
72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Real Jaén a 43% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Mijas Las Lagunas. Expected goals are 1.8 for Mijas Las Lagunas and 1.3 for Real Jaén (total 3.1), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.79% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Mijas Las Lagunas
Real Jaén →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
Playing profile
Mijas Las Lagunas
Attack
25
Defence
100
Form
71
Real Jaén
Attack
36
Defence
71
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?
The model gives Mijas Las Lagunas a 28% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 43% for an Real Jaén win.
How many goals are expected in Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?
Expected goals: Mijas Las Lagunas 1.8, Real Jaén 1.3 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Mijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.79%.