Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 18
April 24, 2026 03:00
D. Silva
(ast. S. Viveros)
42'
L. Castro
57'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Deportes Tolima 24%). The final result was Millonarios 2–0 Deportes Tolima.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
1.51
Actual xG
0.34
3
Saves
4
41%
Possession
59%
6
Corners
2
13
Tackles
20
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
23'
E. Ricardo
S. Valencia
35'
⚽D. Silva
· ast. S. Viveros
42'
⚽L. Castro
(pen.)
57'
59'
K. Florez
/
J. Nieto
60'
N. Sanchez
/
J. Gonzalez
60'
B. Rovira
/
E. Ricardo
65'
D. Pedrozo
D. Silva
/ S. Vega
66'
68'
J. Valencia
/
E. Valencia
J. Arias
/ A. F. Moreno Paz
75'
S. Viveros
/ E. Elizalde
75'
77'
J. Santiago
/
A. Parra Osorio
G. De Amores
83'
E. Elizalde
84'
S. Valencia
/ J. Angulo
84'
84'
J. Valencia
M. Garcia
/ A. Castro
85'
R. Urena
87'
Pre-match prediction
49.92%
Millonarios ←
26.04%
X
24.04%
Deportes
we assigned to the actual result (Millonarios)
49.92%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.87
1.51
-0.36
1.26
0.34
-0.92
Millonarios dominated by xG (1.51 vs 0.34).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G. De Amores
G
22
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
84'
D
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
84'
D
17
J. Arias
D
26
A. Llinas
D
2
Carlos Sarabia
D
14
David Macalister Silva
1 ⚽
66'
M
18
R. Ureña
M
R. Ureña
M
19
M. Garcia
85'
M
30
75'
M
7
D. Quintero
75'
F
23
L. Castro
1 ⚽
F
L. Castro
1 ⚽
F
Bench
29
A. F. Moreno Paz
D
11
B. Castro
15'
F
B. Castro
15'
F
4
Edgar Elizalde
15'
D
3
M. Samuel
D
22
G
20
J. Hernandez
D
4
Daniel Pedrozo
D
Daniel Pedrozo
D
3
Jan Ángulo
D
Jan Ángulo
D
17
Cristian Arrieta
D
Cristian Arrieta
D
6
Cristian Trujillo
M
15
Juan Pablo Nieto
59'
M
Juan Pablo Nieto
59'
M
8
Ever Valencia
68'
M
Ever Valencia
68'
M
14
E. Ricardo
60'
M
7
J. González
60'
M
J. González
60'
M
24
Adrián Parra
77'
F
Adrián Parra
77'
F
Bench
80
Brayan Rovira
30'
M
Brayan Rovira
30'
M
11
Jader Valencia
22'
F
Jader Valencia
22'
F
33
Jherson Mosquera
D
Jherson Mosquera
D
18
Kelvin Florez
31'
F
Kelvin Florez
31'
F
Best on the pitch
David Macalister Silva
M · Millonarios
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 24 pass
M · Millonarios
7.70
2 shots
· 11 pass
J. Arias
D · Millonarios
7.50
· 42 pass
G · Deportes
7.50
· 34 pass
Daniel Pedrozo
D · Deportes
7.30
· 49 pass
Cristian Trujillo
M · Deportes
7.20
· 71 pass
Millonarios — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. De Amores | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastián Valencia Isaza | D | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Arias | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Llinas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Sarabia | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| David Macalister Silva | M | 66 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ureña | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Garcia | M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 75 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | 2 | — | — | |
| D. Quintero | F | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Castro | F | 90 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| B. Castro | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Edgar Elizalde | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| J. Hernandez | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Pedrozo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Jan Ángulo | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| Cristian Arrieta | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Cristian Trujillo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 71 | 61% | 5 | — | — |
| Juan Pablo Nieto | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Ever Valencia | M | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Ricardo | M | 60 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| J. González | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Adrián Parra | F | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Brayan Rovira | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Jader Valencia | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Kelvin Florez | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima?
The final score was Millonarios 2–0 Deportes Tolima.
What did the model predict before Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Millonarios win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Deportes Tolima win.