Liga BetPlay
· Apertura - 18
April 24, 2026 03:00
D. Silva
(ast. S. Viveros)
42'
L. Castro
57'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 49% win probability (draw 26%, Deportes Tolima 24%). The final result was Millonarios 2–0 Deportes Tolima.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
3
1.51
Actual xG
0.34
3
Saves
4
41%
Possession
59%
6
Corners
2
13
Tackles
20
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
23'
E. Ricardo
S. Valencia
35'
⚽D. Silva
· ast. S. Viveros
42'
⚽L. Castro
(pen.)
57'
59'
K. Florez
/
J. Nieto
60'
N. Sanchez
/
J. Gonzalez
60'
B. Rovira
/
E. Ricardo
65'
D. Pedrozo
D. Silva
/ S. Vega
66'
68'
J. Valencia
/
E. Valencia
J. Arias
/ A. F. Moreno Paz
75'
S. Viveros
/ E. Elizalde
75'
77'
J. Santiago
/
A. Parra Osorio
G. De Amores
83'
E. Elizalde
84'
S. Valencia
/ J. Angulo
84'
84'
J. Valencia
M. Garcia
/ A. Castro
85'
R. Urena
87'
Pre-match prediction
49.92%
Millonarios ←
26.04%
X
24.04%
Deportes
we assigned to the actual result (Millonarios)
49.92%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.87
1.51
-0.36
1.26
0.34
-0.92
Millonarios dominated by xG (1.51 vs 0.34).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Guillermo De Amores
G
Guillermo De Amores
G
22
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
84'
D
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
84'
D
17
J. Arias
D
J. Arias
D
26
A. Llinás
D
A. Llinás
D
2
C. Sarabia
D
C. Sarabia
D
14
D. Silva
1 ⚽
66'
M
D. Silva
1 ⚽
66'
M
18
R. Ureña
M
R. Ureña
M
19
M. García
85'
M
M. García
85'
M
30
75'
M
7
D. Quintero
75'
F
D. Quintero
75'
F
23
L. Castro
1 ⚽
F
L. Castro
1 ⚽
F
Bench
29
Alex Moreno
D
Alex Moreno
D
11
B. Castro
15'
F
B. Castro
15'
F
4
Edgar Elizalde
15'
D
3
M. Diaz Samuel
D
M. Diaz Samuel
D
22
G
20
J. Hernández
D
J. Hernández
D
4
D. Pedrozo
D
D. Pedrozo
D
3
J. Angulo
D
J. Angulo
D
17
C. Arrieta
D
C. Arrieta
D
6
C. Trujillo
M
C. Trujillo
M
15
J. Nieto
59'
M
J. Nieto
59'
M
8
E. Valencia
68'
M
E. Valencia
68'
M
14
E. Ricardo
60'
M
7
J. González
60'
M
J. González
60'
M
24
A. Parra
77'
F
A. Parra
77'
F
Bench
80
B. Rovira
30'
M
B. Rovira
30'
M
33
J. Mosquera
D
J. Mosquera
D
11
J. Valencia
22'
F
J. Valencia
22'
F
18
K. Flórez
31'
F
K. Flórez
31'
F
Best on the pitch
D. Silva
M · Millonarios
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 24 pass
M · Millonarios
7.70
2 shots
· 11 pass
J. Arias
D · Millonarios
7.50
· 42 pass
G · Deportes
7.50
· 34 pass
D. Pedrozo
D · Deportes
7.30
· 49 pass
C. Trujillo
M · Deportes
7.20
· 71 pass
Millonarios — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guillermo De Amores | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 14% | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastián Valencia Isaza | D | 84 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Arias | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Llinás | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Sarabia | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| D. Silva | M | 66 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Ureña | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. García | M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 75 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 7% | 2 | — | — | |
| D. Quintero | F | 75 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Castro | F | 90 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| B. Castro | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Edgar Elizalde | D | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | 1 | — |
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| J. Hernández | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Pedrozo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 43% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. Angulo | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 52 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Arrieta | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Trujillo | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 71 | 61% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Nieto | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Valencia | M | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| E. Ricardo | M | 60 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| J. González | M | 60 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Parra | F | 77 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Rovira | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Valencia | F | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| K. Flórez | F | 31 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima?
The final score was Millonarios 2–0 Deportes Tolima.
What did the model predict before Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Millonarios win, 26% to a draw, and 24% to an Deportes Tolima win.