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Liga BetPlay · Clausura - 3 August 05, 2026 03:20
Millonarios
#2 · 16 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Deportivo Pasto
#3 · 34 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Millonarios
A. Llinas (ast. F. Chaverra) 25'
L. Castro (ast. R. Contreras) 63'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 74% win probability (draw 15%, Deportivo Pasto 9%). The final result was Millonarios 2–0 Deportivo Pasto. In 1 previous meetings, Millonarios have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportivo Pasto.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
10
Shots on target
1
1.76
Actual xG
0.17
1
Saves
8
33%
Possession
67%
7
Corners
3
22
Tackles
9
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
A. Llinas
11'
20'
E. C. Serje Orozco
R. Urena
20'
F. Bustos
21'
⚽A. Llinas · ast. F. Chaverra
25'
27'
J. Micolta Piedahita
29'
M. S. Jimenez / J. Micolta Piedahita ↕
32'
E. A. Cabezas Quinonez
⚽L. Castro (missed pen.)
34'
47'
J. Quinones
⚽L. Castro · ast. R. Contreras
63'
66'
J. Obregon / S. Cordoba ↕
66'
A. Ibarguen / D. Chavez ↕
66'
H. Mancilla / J. Quinones ↕
↕ L. Castro / D. Ruiz
69'
↕ M. Garcia / S. Viveros
69'
↕ S. Valencia / A. Estupinan
75'
↕ F. Chaverra / D. Banguero
83'
↕ R. Contreras / D. Silva
84'
85'
F. Martinez / E. C. Serje Orozco ↕
Pre-match prediction
74.58%
Millonarios ←
15.67%
X
9.75%
Deportivo
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Millonarios) 74.58% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Millonarios
2.48
1.76
-0.72
Deportivo
0.59
0.17
-0.42
Millonarios dominated by xG (1.76 vs 0.17). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 America de Cali America de Cali 8 20
2 Millonarios Millonarios 10 16
3 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 8 16
4 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 6 15
5 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 7 15
6 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 7 13
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe 8 13
8 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 8 12
9 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 9 11
10 Llaneros Llaneros 9 11
11 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 7 10
12 Once Caldas Once Caldas 8 9
13 Cucuta Cucuta 9 9
14 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 9 8
15 Chico Chico 7 8
16 Jaguares Jaguares 8 7
17 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 7 6
18 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 8 5
19 Junior Junior 7 3
20 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 8 2
Lineups
Millonarios Millonarios 5-4-1
1 J. Burrai J. Burrai G 7.20
22 Sebastián Valencia Isaza Sebastián Valencia Isaza 75' D 7.00
17 Jorge Arias Jorge Arias D 7.20
6 S. Mosquera S. Mosquera D 6.90
26 A. Llinás A. Llinás 1 ⚽ D 7.50
34 Jhonier Guerrero Jhonier Guerrero D 7.30
23 L. Castro L. Castro 1 ⚽ 69' M 6.60
18 R. Ureña R. Ureña M 7.20
19 M. García M. García 70' M 6.90
13 F. Chaverra F. Chaverra 1 👟 83' M 7.20
27 R. Contreras R. Contreras 1 👟 84' F 8.30
Bench
11 A. Estupiñán A. Estupiñán 15' F 6.70
20 D. Banguero D. Banguero 12' D 6.60
25 D. Quintero D. Quintero M
10 D. Ruiz D. Ruiz 21' F 7.00
14 D. Silva D. Silva 11' M 6.70
3 M. Diaz Samuel M. Diaz Samuel D
4 S. Barreiro S. Barreiro D
30 Sebastián del Castillo Sebastián del Castillo 20' M 6.70
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 4-4-2
1 E. A. Cabezas Quinonez E. A. Cabezas Quinonez G 7.30
27 Hervin Goyes Hervin Goyes D 6.00
5 N. Gil N. Gil D 6.20
36 Julián Quiñones Julián Quiñones 66' D 6.30
33 M. Garavito M. Garavito D 6.20
16 M. Gil M. Gil M 6.20
23 Y. Góez Y. Góez M 7.20
8 E. Serje E. Serje 85' M 7.20
18 Joider Micolta Joider Micolta 29' M 6.20
29 Santiago Córdoba Santiago Córdoba 66' F 6.20
10 D. Chávez D. Chávez 66' F 6.90
Bench
11 A. Ibargüen A. Ibargüen 24' F 6.50
35 F. Martinez F. Martinez 10' M 6.90
12 Geovanni Banguera Geovanni Banguera G
15 H. Mancilla H. Mancilla 24' M 7.00
17 John Méndez John Méndez F
9 Jorge Obregón Jorge Obregón 24' F 6.20
3 J. Ossa J. Ossa D
19 Patrick Preciado Patrick Preciado F
6 S. Jiménez S. Jiménez 61' D 6.60
Best on the pitch
R. Contreras
R. Contreras
F · Millonarios
8.30
1 👟
1 shots · 12 pass
A. Llinás
A. Llinás
D · Millonarios
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 22 pass
E. A. Cabezas Quinonez
E. A. Cabezas Quinonez
G · Deportivo
7.30
· 23 pass
Jhonier Guerrero
Jhonier Guerrero
D · Millonarios
7.30
1 shots · 23 pass
E. Serje
E. Serje
M · Deportivo
7.20
1 shots · 60 pass
Y. Góez
Y. Góez
M · Deportivo
7.20
· 95 pass
Millonarios Millonarios — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Burrai G 90 7.20 — — — 16 9% — — —
Sebastián Valencia Isaza D 75 7.00 — — 1 14 10% 4 — —
Jorge Arias D 90 7.20 — — — 26 21% 2 1 —
S. Mosquera D 90 6.90 — — 1 19 14% 2 — —
A. Llinás D 90 7.50 1 — 1 22 17% — 1 —
Jhonier Guerrero D 90 7.30 — — 1 23 18% 3 — —
L. Castro M 69 6.60 1 — 2 6 5% — — —
R. Ureña M 90 7.20 — — — 29 22% 2 1 —
M. García M 70 6.90 — — 1 17 14% 4 — —
F. Chaverra M 83 7.20 — 1 4 17 14% 2 — —
R. Contreras F 84 8.30 — 1 1 12 6% 2 — —
A. Estupiñán F 15 6.70 — — — 10 9% — — —
D. Banguero D 12 6.60 — — — 6 6% — — —
D. Ruiz F 21 7.00 — — — 10 7% 1 — —
D. Silva M 11 6.70 — — — 8 6% — — —
Sebastián del Castillo M 20 6.70 — — 1 9 8% — — —
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. A. Cabezas Quinonez G 90 7.30 — — — 23 17% — 1 —
Hervin Goyes D 90 6.00 — — — 35 29% — — —
N. Gil D 90 6.20 — — — 47 43% 1 — —
Julián Quiñones D 66 6.30 — — — 24 21% 1 1 —
M. Garavito D 90 6.20 — — 1 48 43% — — —
M. Gil M 90 6.20 — — 1 37 31% — — —
Y. Góez M 90 7.20 — — — 95 89% 1 — —
E. Serje M 85 7.20 — — 1 60 58% 2 1 —
Joider Micolta M 29 6.20 — — — 8 7% — 1 —
Santiago Córdoba F 66 6.20 — — — 17 11% 1 — —
D. Chávez F 66 6.90 — — 1 43 35% 1 — —
A. Ibargüen F 24 6.50 — — — 16 15% — — —
F. Martinez M 10 6.90 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
H. Mancilla M 24 7.00 — — — 32 29% — — —
Jorge Obregón F 24 6.20 — — — 4 4% — — —
S. Jiménez D 61 6.60 — — — 26 22% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto?
The final score was Millonarios 2–0 Deportivo Pasto.
What did the model predict before Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Millonarios win, 15% to a draw, and 9% to an Deportivo Pasto win.