Millonarios 2–0 Deportivo Pasto — pre-match prediction — Liga BetPlay — August 05, 2026

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Liga BetPlay · Clausura - 3 August 05, 2026 03:20

Millonarios

#5 · 26 pts

2 – 0

Final score

Deportivo Pasto

#3 · 34 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Millonarios

A. Llinas (ast. F. Chaverra) 25'

L. Castro (ast. R. Contreras) 63'

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 74% win probability (draw 15%, Deportivo Pasto 9%). The final result was Millonarios 2–0 Deportivo Pasto. In 1 previous meetings, Millonarios have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportivo Pasto.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.76

Actual xG

0.17

Saves

33%

Possession

67%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

A. Llinas

11'

20'

E. C. Serje Orozco

R. Urena

20'

F. Bustos

21'

⚽A. Llinas · ast. F. Chaverra

25'

27'

J. Micolta Piedahita

29'

M. S. Jimenez / J. Micolta Piedahita ↕

32'

E. A. Cabezas Quinonez

⚽L. Castro (missed pen.)

34'

47'

J. Quinones

⚽L. Castro · ast. R. Contreras

63'

66'

J. Obregon / S. Cordoba ↕

66'

A. Ibarguen / D. Chavez ↕

66'

H. Mancilla / J. Quinones ↕

↕ L. Castro / D. Ruiz

69'

↕ M. Garcia / S. Viveros

69'

↕ S. Valencia / A. Estupinan

75'

↕ F. Chaverra / D. Banguero

83'

↕ R. Contreras / D. Silva

84'

85'

F. Martinez / E. C. Serje Orozco ↕

Pre-match prediction

74.58%

Millonarios ←

15.67%

9.75%

Deportivo

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Millonarios) 74.58% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Millonarios

2.48

1.76

-0.72

Deportivo

0.59

0.17

-0.42

Millonarios dominated by xG (1.76 vs 0.17). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	16	35
2	America de Cali	16	34
3	Deportivo Cali	16	30
4	Santa Fe	16	28
5	Millonarios	16	26
6	Bucaramanga	15	25
7	Once Caldas	17	24
8	Independiente Medellin	16	23
9	Águilas Doradas	16	22
10	Cucuta	16	21
11	Deportes Tolima	16	20
12	Internacional de Bogota	17	20
13	Alianza Valledupar	16	18
14	Llaneros	16	17
15	Junior	16	16
16	Chico	16	16
17	Deportivo Pereira	15	14
18	Jaguares	15	13
19	Fortaleza FC	16	12
20	Deportivo Pasto	15	12

Lineups

Millonarios 5-4-1

Javier Burrai G 7.20

Sebastián Valencia Isaza 75' D 7.00

J. Arias D 7.20

Sergio Mosquera D 6.90

Andrés Llinás 1 ⚽ D 7.50

Jhonier Guerrero D 7.30

L. Castro 1 ⚽ 69' M 6.60

R. Ureña M 7.20

M. García 70' M 6.90

F. Chaverra 1 👟 83' M 7.20

R. Contreras 1 👟 84' F 8.30

Bench

A. Estupiñán 15' F 6.70

Daniel Ruiz 21' F 7.00

Danovis Banguero 12' D 6.60

David Macalister Silva 11' M 6.70

D. Quintero M

Samuel Martín D

Sebastián del Castillo 20' M 6.70

Stiven Barreiro D

Deportivo Pasto 4-4-2

E. A. Cabezas Quinonez G 7.30

Hervin Goyes D 6.00

Nicolas Gil Uribe D 6.20

Julián Quiñones 66' D 6.30

Mateo Garavito D 6.20

Mayer Gil M 6.20

Yeiler Góez M 7.20

Enrique Serje 85' M 7.20

Joider Micolta 29' M 6.20

Santiago Córdoba 66' F 6.20

Diego Chávez 66' F 6.90

Bench

A. Ibargüen 24' F 6.50

F. Martinez 10' M 6.90

Geovanni Banguera G

Harrinson Mancilla 24' M 7.00

J. Obregón 24' F 6.20

John Méndez F

Joyce Ossa D

Patrick Preciado F

Santiago Jiménez 61' D 6.60

Best on the pitch

R. Contreras

F · Millonarios

8.30

1 👟

1 shots · 12 pass

Andrés Llinás

D · Millonarios

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 22 pass

E. A. Cabezas Quinonez

G · Deportivo

7.30

· 23 pass

Jhonier Guerrero

D · Millonarios

7.30

1 shots · 23 pass

Enrique Serje

M · Deportivo

7.20

1 shots · 60 pass

Yeiler Góez

M · Deportivo

7.20

· 95 pass

Millonarios — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Javier Burrai	G	90	7.20	—	—	—	16	9%	—	—	—
Sebastián Valencia Isaza	D	75	7.00	—	—	1	14	10%	4	—	—
J. Arias	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	26	21%	2	1	—
Sergio Mosquera	D	90	6.90	—	—	1	19	14%	2	—	—
Andrés Llinás	D	90	7.50	1	—	1	22	17%	—	1	—
Jhonier Guerrero	D	90	7.30	—	—	1	23	18%	3	—	—
L. Castro	M	69	6.60	1	—	2	6	5%	—	—	—
R. Ureña	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	29	22%	2	1	—
M. García	M	70	6.90	—	—	1	17	14%	4	—	—
F. Chaverra	M	83	7.20	—	1	4	17	14%	2	—	—
R. Contreras	F	84	8.30	—	1	1	12	6%	2	—	—
A. Estupiñán	F	15	6.70	—	—	—	10	9%	—	—	—
Daniel Ruiz	F	21	7.00	—	—	—	10	7%	1	—	—
Danovis Banguero	D	12	6.60	—	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—
David Macalister Silva	M	11	6.70	—	—	—	8	6%	—	—	—
Sebastián del Castillo	M	20	6.70	—	—	1	9	8%	—	—	—

Deportivo Pasto — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. A. Cabezas Quinonez	G	90	7.30	—	—	—	23	17%	—	1	—
Hervin Goyes	D	90	6.00	—	—	—	35	29%	—	—	—
Nicolas Gil Uribe	D	90	6.20	—	—	—	47	43%	1	—	—
Julián Quiñones	D	66	6.30	—	—	—	24	21%	1	1	—
Mateo Garavito	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	48	43%	—	—	—
Mayer Gil	M	90	6.20	—	—	1	37	31%	—	—	—
Yeiler Góez	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	95	89%	1	—	—
Enrique Serje	M	85	7.20	—	—	1	60	58%	2	1	—
Joider Micolta	M	29	6.20	—	—	—	8	7%	—	1	—
Santiago Córdoba	F	66	6.20	—	—	—	17	11%	1	—	—
Diego Chávez	F	66	6.90	—	—	1	43	35%	1	—	—
A. Ibargüen	F	24	6.50	—	—	—	16	15%	—	—	—
F. Martinez	M	10	6.90	—	—	—	6	6%	1	—	—
Harrinson Mancilla	M	24	7.00	—	—	—	32	29%	—	—	—
J. Obregón	F	24	6.20	—	—	—	4	4%	—	—	—
Santiago Jiménez	D	61	6.60	—	—	—	26	22%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto?

The final score was Millonarios 2–0 Deportivo Pasto.

What did the model predict before Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto?

The model assigned 74% probability to a Millonarios win, 15% to a draw, and 9% to an Deportivo Pasto win.