Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 6
May 27, 2026 00:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Millonarios, result O'Higgins wins
R. Contreras
(ast. J. Hurtado)
54'
7'
(ast. F. Gonzalez)
B. Yanez
38'
(ast. F. Gonzalez)
A. Robledo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 64% win probability (draw 18%, O'Higgins 17%). The final result was Millonarios 1–2 O'Higgins. In 1 previous meetings, Millonarios have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for O'Higgins.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
4
1.56
Actual xG
0.63
2
Saves
6
74%
Possession
26%
6
Corners
4
8
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
7'
ast. F. Gonzalez ·
B. Yanez⚽
22'
F. Gonzalez
32'
F. Faundez
A. Llinas
35'
38'
ast. F. Gonzalez ·
A. Robledo⚽
D. Silva
/ J. Hurtado
46'
S. Viveros
/ C. Sarabia
46'
A. Llinas
/ A. Castro
46'
⚽R. Contreras
· ast. J. Hurtado
54'
58'
A. Castillo
/
T. Vecino
58'
N. Garrido
/
B. Yanez
R. Urena
60'
L. Castro
/ R. Falcao
64'
65'
O. Carabali
75'
C. Morales
/
F. Gonzalez
M. Garcia
/ D. S. Victoria Palacios
78'
82'
Felipe Ogaz
84'
M. Maturana
/
Martin Sarrafiore
85'
B. Schamine
/
Felipe Ogaz
D. S. Victoria Palacios
87'
87'
M. Brizuela
Pre-match prediction
64.68%
Millonarios
18.02%
X
17.29%
O'Higgins ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (O'Higgins)
17.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.58
1.56
-1.02
1.14
0.63
-0.51
Millonarios dominated by xG (1.56 vs 0.63).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Diego Novoa
G
Diego Novoa
G
22
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D
17
Jorge Arias
D
Jorge Arias
D
6
Sergio Mosquera
D
Sergio Mosquera
D
26
Andrés Llinás
45'
D
Andrés Llinás
45'
D
30
Sebastián del Castillo
45'
D
Sebastián del Castillo
45'
D
14
David Macalister Silva
45'
M
David Macalister Silva
45'
M
18
R. Ureña
M
R. Ureña
M
19
M. García
78'
M
M. García
78'
M
27
R. Contreras
1 ⚽
F
R. Contreras
1 ⚽
F
23
L. Castro
64'
F
L. Castro
64'
F
Bench
33
Alex Castro
53'
F
Alex Castro
53'
F
29
Alex Moreno
D
Alex Moreno
D
2
Carlos Sarabia
53'
D
Carlos Sarabia
53'
D
20
Danovis Banguero
D
Danovis Banguero
D
8
Dewar Victoria
20'
M
Dewar Victoria
20'
M
4
Edgar Elizalde
D
Edgar Elizalde
D
1
Guillermo De Amores
G
Guillermo De Amores
G
99
Jorge Hurtado
1 👟
53'
F
Jorge Hurtado
1 👟
53'
F
24
Julian Angulo
F
Julian Angulo
F
9
Radamel Falcao
34'
F
Radamel Falcao
34'
F
3
Samuel Martín
D
Samuel Martín
D
28
Stiven Vega
M
Stiven Vega
M
31
Omar Carabalí
G
Omar Carabalí
G
20
Leandro Díaz
D
Leandro Díaz
D
33
Miguel Brizuela
D
Miguel Brizuela
D
22
Alan Robledo
1 ⚽
D
Alan Robledo
1 ⚽
D
3
Felipe Faúndez
D
Felipe Faúndez
D
11
J. Leiva
M
J. Leiva
M
8
F. Ogaz
85'
M
F. Ogaz
85'
M
29
Bastián Yáñez
1 ⚽
58'
M
Bastián Yáñez
1 ⚽
58'
M
7
Martín Sarrafiore
85'
M
Martín Sarrafiore
85'
M
24
F. González
2 👟
75'
M
F. González
2 👟
75'
M
32
T. Vecino
58'
F
T. Vecino
58'
F
Bench
9
Arnaldo Castillo
40'
F
Arnaldo Castillo
40'
F
15
Benjamín Rojas
D
Benjamín Rojas
D
28
Benjamin Schamine
13'
M
Benjamin Schamine
13'
M
2
Cristian Morales
23'
D
Cristian Morales
23'
D
23
Diego Carreño
G
Diego Carreño
G
5
Gabriel Pinto
M
Gabriel Pinto
M
30
Joaquín Tapia
F
Joaquín Tapia
F
1
Jorge Peña
G
Jorge Peña
G
6
Luis Pavez Munoz
D
Luis Pavez Munoz
D
14
Martín Maturana
13'
M
Martín Maturana
13'
M
21
Nicolás Garrido
40'
D
Nicolás Garrido
40'
D
26
Rodrigo Godoy
F
Rodrigo Godoy
F
Best on the pitch
Bastián Yáñez
M · O'Higgins
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D · Millonarios
7.30
1 shots
· 58 pass
Jorge Arias
D · Millonarios
7.30
2 shots
· 77 pass
R. Ureña
M · Millonarios
7.30
3 shots
· 79 pass
Alan Robledo
D · O'Higgins
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 4 pass
Jorge Hurtado
F · Millonarios
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 14 pass
Millonarios — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Novoa | G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Valencia Isaza | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorge Arias | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 77 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Sergio Mosquera | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 56% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Llinás | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastián del Castillo | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| David Macalister Silva | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| R. Ureña | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 79 | 65% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. García | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| R. Contreras | F | 98 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Castro | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Castro | F | 53 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Sarabia | D | 53 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Dewar Victoria | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Jorge Hurtado | F | 53 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Radamel Falcao | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
O'Higgins — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Carabalí | G | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Leandro Díaz | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Brizuela | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 2% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Alan Robledo | D | 98 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Faúndez | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Leiva | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Ogaz | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Bastián Yáñez | M | 58 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Martín Sarrafiore | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| F. González | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | 2 | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Vecino | F | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Arnaldo Castillo | F | 40 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Schamine | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Morales | D | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Martín Maturana | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Garrido | D | 40 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millonarios vs O'Higgins?
The final score was Millonarios 1–2 O'Higgins.
What did the model predict before Millonarios vs O'Higgins?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Millonarios win, 18% to a draw, and 17% to an O'Higgins win.