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#3 · 8 pts
1 – 2
Final score
#2 · 10 pts
Model wrong — prediction Millonarios, result O'Higgins wins
R. Contreras (ast. J. Hurtado) 54'
7' (ast. F. Gonzalez) B. Yanez
38' (ast. F. Gonzalez) A. Robledo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 64% win probability (draw 18%, O'Higgins 17%). The final result was Millonarios 1–2 O'Higgins. In 1 previous meetings, Millonarios have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for O'Higgins.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
4
1.56
Actual xG
0.63
2
Saves
6
74%
Possession
26%
6
Corners
4
8
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
7'
ast. F. Gonzalez · B. Yanez
22'
F. Gonzalez
32'
F. Faundez
A. Llinas
35'
38'
ast. F. Gonzalez · A. Robledo
D. Silva / J. Hurtado
46'
S. Viveros / C. Sarabia
46'
A. Llinas / A. Castro
46'
R. Contreras · ast. J. Hurtado
54'
58'
A. Castillo / T. Vecino
58'
N. Garrido / B. Yanez
R. Urena
60'
L. Castro / R. Falcao
64'
65'
O. Carabali
75'
C. Morales / F. Gonzalez
M. Garcia / D. S. Victoria Palacios
78'
82'
Felipe Ogaz
84'
M. Maturana / Martin Sarrafiore
85'
B. Schamine / Felipe Ogaz
D. S. Victoria Palacios
87'
87'
M. Brizuela
Pre-match prediction
64.68%
Millonarios
18.02%
X
17.29%
O'Higgins ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (O'Higgins) 17.29% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Millonarios
2.58
1.56
-1.02
O'Higgins
1.14
0.63
-0.51
Millonarios dominated by xG (1.56 vs 0.63). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 6 12
2 O'Higgins O'Higgins 6 10
3 Millonarios Millonarios 6 8
4 Boston River Boston River 6 3
Lineups
Millonarios Millonarios 5-3-2
12 Diego Novoa Diego Novoa G 6.30
22 Sebastián Valencia Isaza Sebastián Valencia Isaza D 7.30
17 Jorge Arias Jorge Arias D 7.30
6 Sergio Mosquera Sergio Mosquera D 6.60
26 Andrés Llinás Andrés Llinás 45' D 6.00
30 Sebastián del Castillo Sebastián del Castillo 45' D 6.00
14 David Macalister Silva David Macalister Silva 45' M 6.30
18 R. Ureña R. Ureña M 7.30
19 M. García M. García 78' M 6.70
27 R. Contreras R. Contreras 1 ⚽ F 6.90
23 L. Castro L. Castro 64' F 6.30
Bench
33 Alex Castro Alex Castro 53' F 6.60
29 Alex Moreno Alex Moreno D
2 Carlos Sarabia Carlos Sarabia 53' D 6.70
20 Danovis Banguero Danovis Banguero D
8 Dewar Victoria Dewar Victoria 20' M 6.30
4 Edgar Elizalde Edgar Elizalde D
1 Guillermo De Amores Guillermo De Amores G
99 Jorge Hurtado Jorge Hurtado 1 👟 53' F 7.20
24 Julian Angulo Julian Angulo F
9 Radamel Falcao Radamel Falcao 34' F 6.60
3 Samuel Martín Samuel Martín D
28 Stiven Vega Stiven Vega M
O'Higgins O'Higgins 4-2-3-1
31 Omar Carabalí Omar Carabalí G 6.90
20 Leandro Díaz Leandro Díaz D 6.30
33 Miguel Brizuela Miguel Brizuela D 7.00
22 Alan Robledo Alan Robledo 1 ⚽ D 7.30
3 Felipe Faúndez Felipe Faúndez D 6.30
11 J. Leiva J. Leiva M 6.70
8 F. Ogaz F. Ogaz 85' M 6.70
29 Bastián Yáñez Bastián Yáñez 1 ⚽ 58' M 7.70
7 Martín Sarrafiore Martín Sarrafiore 85' M 6.90
24 F. González F. González 2 👟 75' M 7.20
32 T. Vecino T. Vecino 58' F 6.20
Bench
9 Arnaldo Castillo Arnaldo Castillo 40' F 6.20
15 Benjamín Rojas Benjamín Rojas D
28 Benjamin Schamine Benjamin Schamine 13' M 6.60
2 Cristian Morales Cristian Morales 23' D 6.60
23 Diego Carreño Diego Carreño G
5 Gabriel Pinto Gabriel Pinto M
30 Joaquín Tapia Joaquín Tapia F
1 Jorge Peña Jorge Peña G
6 Luis Pavez Munoz Luis Pavez Munoz D
14 Martín Maturana Martín Maturana 13' M 6.30
21 Nicolás Garrido Nicolás Garrido 40' D 6.70
26 Rodrigo Godoy Rodrigo Godoy F
Best on the pitch
Bastián Yáñez
Bastián Yáñez
M · O'Higgins
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D · Millonarios
7.30
1 shots · 58 pass
Jorge Arias
Jorge Arias
D · Millonarios
7.30
2 shots · 77 pass
R. Ureña
R. Ureña
M · Millonarios
7.30
3 shots · 79 pass
Alan Robledo
Alan Robledo
D · O'Higgins
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 4 pass
Jorge Hurtado
Jorge Hurtado
F · Millonarios
7.20
1 👟
1 shots · 14 pass
Millonarios Millonarios — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Diego Novoa G 98 6.30 16 14%
Sebastián Valencia Isaza D 98 7.30 1 58 49% 2
Jorge Arias D 98 7.30 2 77 65% 1
Sergio Mosquera D 98 6.60 2 67 56%
Andrés Llinás D 45 6.00 28 26% 1
Sebastián del Castillo D 45 6.00 1 17 12%
David Macalister Silva M 45 6.30 1 25 19%
R. Ureña M 98 7.30 3 79 65% 2 1
M. García M 78 6.70 2 41 36%
R. Contreras F 98 6.90 1 2 13 8% 1
L. Castro F 64 6.30 16 11% 1
Alex Castro F 53 6.60 20 18%
Carlos Sarabia D 53 6.70 20 17% 1
Dewar Victoria M 20 6.30 12 10% 1
Jorge Hurtado F 53 7.20 1 1 14 14%
Radamel Falcao F 34 6.60 4 4%
O'Higgins O'Higgins — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating 👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Omar Carabalí G 98 6.90 39 8% 1
Leandro Díaz D 98 6.30 18 12% 1
Miguel Brizuela D 98 7.00 8 2% 4 1
Alan Robledo D 98 7.30 1 2 4 1%
Felipe Faúndez D 98 6.30 10 6% 1 1
J. Leiva M 98 6.70 19 8% 2
F. Ogaz M 85 6.70 12 9% 2 1
Bastián Yáñez M 58 7.70 1 1 9 9%
Martín Sarrafiore M 85 6.90 16 15% 2
F. González M 75 7.20 2 13 9% 1 1
T. Vecino F 58 6.20 2 16 9% 1
Arnaldo Castillo F 40 6.20 6 6%
Benjamin Schamine M 13 6.60 2 1%
Cristian Morales D 23 6.60 4 3% 1
Martín Maturana M 13 6.30 1
Nicolás Garrido D 40 6.70 2 1%
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millonarios vs O'Higgins?
The final score was Millonarios 1–2 O'Higgins.
What did the model predict before Millonarios vs O'Higgins?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Millonarios win, 18% to a draw, and 17% to an O'Higgins win.