Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 6
May 27, 2026 00:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Millonarios, result O'Higgins wins
R. Contreras
(ast. J. Hurtado)
54'
7'
(ast. F. Gonzalez)
B. Yanez
38'
(ast. F. Gonzalez)
A. Robledo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 64% win probability (draw 18%, O'Higgins 17%). The final result was Millonarios 1–2 O'Higgins. In 1 previous meetings, Millonarios have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for O'Higgins.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
5
7
Shots on target
4
1.56
Actual xG
0.63
2
Saves
6
74%
Possession
26%
6
Corners
4
8
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
7'
ast. F. Gonzalez ·
B. Yanez⚽
22'
F. Gonzalez
32'
F. Faundez
A. Llinas
35'
38'
ast. F. Gonzalez ·
A. Robledo⚽
D. Silva
/ J. Hurtado
46'
S. Viveros
/ C. Sarabia
46'
A. Llinas
/ A. Castro
46'
⚽R. Contreras
· ast. J. Hurtado
54'
58'
A. Castillo
/
T. Vecino
58'
N. Garrido
/
B. Yanez
R. Urena
60'
L. Castro
/ R. Falcao
64'
65'
O. Carabali
75'
C. Morales
/
F. Gonzalez
M. Garcia
/ D. S. Victoria Palacios
78'
82'
Felipe Ogaz
84'
M. Maturana
/
Martin Sarrafiore
85'
B. Schamine
/
Felipe Ogaz
D. S. Victoria Palacios
87'
87'
M. Brizuela
Pre-match prediction
64.68%
Millonarios
18.02%
X
17.29%
O'Higgins ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (O'Higgins)
17.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.58
1.56
-1.02
1.14
0.63
-0.51
Millonarios dominated by xG (1.56 vs 0.63).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
D. Novoa
G
D. Novoa
G
22
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D
17
J. Arias
D
J. Arias
D
6
S. Mosquera
D
S. Mosquera
D
26
A. Llinás
45'
D
A. Llinás
45'
D
30
Sebastián del Castillo
45'
D
Sebastián del Castillo
45'
D
14
D. Silva
45'
M
D. Silva
45'
M
18
R. Ureña
M
R. Ureña
M
19
M. García
78'
M
M. García
78'
M
27
R. Contreras
1 ⚽
F
R. Contreras
1 ⚽
F
23
L. Castro
64'
F
L. Castro
64'
F
Bench
33
Alex Castro
53'
F
Alex Castro
53'
F
29
Alex Moreno
D
Alex Moreno
D
2
C. Sarabia
53'
D
C. Sarabia
53'
D
20
D. Banguero
D
D. Banguero
D
8
Dewar Victoria
20'
M
Dewar Victoria
20'
M
4
Edgar Elizalde
D
1
Guillermo De Amores
G
Guillermo De Amores
G
99
J. Cabezas
1 👟
53'
F
J. Cabezas
1 👟
53'
F
24
Julian Angulo
F
Julian Angulo
F
3
M. Diaz Samuel
D
M. Diaz Samuel
D
9
Radamel Falcao
34'
F
Radamel Falcao
34'
F
28
S. Vega
M
S. Vega
M
31
O. Carabalí
G
O. Carabalí
G
20
L. Díaz
D
L. Díaz
D
33
Miguel Brizuela
D
Miguel Brizuela
D
22
A. Robledo
1 ⚽
D
A. Robledo
1 ⚽
D
3
Felipe Faúndez
D
Felipe Faúndez
D
11
J. Leiva
M
J. Leiva
M
8
F. Ogaz
85'
M
F. Ogaz
85'
M
29
B. Yáñez
1 ⚽
58'
M
B. Yáñez
1 ⚽
58'
M
7
M. Sarrafiore
85'
M
M. Sarrafiore
85'
M
24
F. González
2 👟
75'
M
F. González
2 👟
75'
M
32
T. Vecino
58'
F
T. Vecino
58'
F
Bench
9
A. Castillo
40'
F
A. Castillo
40'
F
15
Benjamín Rojas
D
Benjamín Rojas
D
28
Benjamin Schamine
13'
M
Benjamin Schamine
13'
M
2
C. Morales
23'
D
C. Morales
23'
D
23
D. Carreño
G
D. Carreño
G
5
Gabriel Pinto
M
Gabriel Pinto
M
1
J. Peña
G
J. Peña
G
30
J. Tapia
F
J. Tapia
F
6
L. Pavez
D
L. Pavez
D
14
Martín Maturana
13'
M
Martín Maturana
13'
M
21
N. Garrido
40'
D
N. Garrido
40'
D
26
Rodrigo Godoy
F
Rodrigo Godoy
F
Best on the pitch
B. Yáñez
M · O'Higgins
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D · Millonarios
7.30
1 shots
· 58 pass
J. Arias
D · Millonarios
7.30
2 shots
· 77 pass
R. Ureña
M · Millonarios
7.30
3 shots
· 79 pass
A. Robledo
D · O'Higgins
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 4 pass
J. Cabezas
F · Millonarios
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 14 pass
Millonarios — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Novoa | G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Sebastián Valencia Isaza | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Arias | D | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 77 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mosquera | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 67 | 56% | — | — | — |
| A. Llinás | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| Sebastián del Castillo | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| D. Silva | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| R. Ureña | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 79 | 65% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. García | M | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| R. Contreras | F | 98 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Castro | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Castro | F | 53 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| C. Sarabia | D | 53 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Dewar Victoria | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Cabezas | F | 53 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Radamel Falcao | F | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
O'Higgins — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Carabalí | G | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Díaz | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Brizuela | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 2% | 4 | 1 | — |
| A. Robledo | D | 98 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Faúndez | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Leiva | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 19 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Ogaz | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Yáñez | M | 58 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Sarrafiore | M | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| F. González | M | 75 | 7.20 | — | 2 | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Vecino | F | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Castillo | F | 40 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Schamine | M | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| C. Morales | D | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Martín Maturana | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| N. Garrido | D | 40 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millonarios vs O'Higgins?
The final score was Millonarios 1–2 O'Higgins.
What did the model predict before Millonarios vs O'Higgins?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Millonarios win, 18% to a draw, and 17% to an O'Higgins win.