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Liga BetPlay · Clausura - 13 October 21, 2026 03:30 Estadio El Campin, Bogota
Millonarios
#5 · 26 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Once Caldas
#5 · 33 pts
D. Ruiz 68'
(pen.) 89' D. Moreno
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millonarios a 59% win probability (draw 20%, Once Caldas 19%). The final result was Millonarios 1–1 Once Caldas. In 2 previous meetings, Millonarios have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Once Caldas.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
4
0.36
Actual xG
1.65
3
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
4
Corners
3
11
Tackles
8
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ M. Samuel / R. Urena
28'
S. Barreiro
46'
65'
J. Cardona
↕ D. Silva / S. Viveros
66'
↕ L. Castro / R. Contreras
66'
⚽D. Ruiz
68'
77'
D. Moreno / J. Quinones ↕
82'
E. Torres / P. Gomez ↕
S. Vega
85'
J. Cuadrado
86'
D. Ruiz
87'
89'
(pen.) D. Moreno⚽
90'+3
J. Alvarado / J. A. Zapata Ramirez ↕
90'
Pre-match prediction
59.4%
Millonarios
20.76%
X ←
19.84%
Once
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.76% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Millonarios
2.09
0.36
-1.73
Once
1.08
1.65
+0.57
Once Caldas dominated by xG (1.65 vs 0.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 16 35
2 America de Cali America de Cali 16 34
3 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 16 30
4 Santa Fe Santa Fe 16 28
5 Millonarios Millonarios 16 26
6 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 15 25
7 Once Caldas Once Caldas 17 24
8 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 16 23
9 Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 16 22
10 Cucuta Cucuta 16 21
11 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 16 20
12 Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 17 20
13 Alianza Valledupar Alianza Valledupar 16 18
14 Llaneros Llaneros 16 17
15 Junior Junior 16 16
16 Chico Chico 16 16
17 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 15 14
18 Jaguares Jaguares 15 13
19 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 16 12
20 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 15 12
Lineups
Millonarios Millonarios 4-4-2
1 Javier Burrai Javier Burrai G 6.90
20 Danovis Banguero Danovis Banguero D 6.30
6 Sergio Mosquera Sergio Mosquera D 6.70
4 Stiven Barreiro Stiven Barreiro D 6.70
3 Samuel Martín Samuel Martín 28' D 6.50
7 Juan Cuadrado Juan Cuadrado M 7.30
28 Stiven Vega Stiven Vega M 6.30
14 David Macalister Silva David Macalister Silva 66' M 7.20
10 Daniel Ruiz Daniel Ruiz 1 ⚽ M 7.30
11 A. Estupiñán A. Estupiñán F 6.60
23 L. Castro L. Castro 66' F 6.60
Bench
26 Andrés Llinás Andrés Llinás D
43 Cristian Uparela Cristian Uparela D
12 James Aguirre James Aguirre G
24 Julian Angulo Julian Angulo F
55 Leonai Leonai M
27 R. Contreras R. Contreras 25' F 6.50
18 R. Ureña R. Ureña 63' M 6.70
30 Sebastián del Castillo Sebastián del Castillo 25' M 6.90
15 Yeiner Romero Yeiner Romero M
Once Caldas Once Caldas 4-1-4-1
99 Felipe Parra Felipe Parra G 5.90
33 Juan Patiño Juan Patiño D 6.20
30 Daniel Londoño Daniel Londoño D 7.00
2 Jorge Cardona Jorge Cardona D 7.00
22 Juan David Cuesta Juan David Cuesta D 6.60
5 Juan Pablo Nieto Juan Pablo Nieto M 7.20
9 Pipe Gómez Pipe Gómez 82' M 6.20
42 Jader Quinones Jader Quinones 77' M 6.50
23 Andres Colorado Andres Colorado M 6.60
7 Michael Barrios Michael Barrios M 7.50
14 Jefry Zapata Jefry Zapata F 6.50
Bench
17 Dayro Moreno Dayro Moreno 1 ⚽ 14' F 7.00
29 E. Torres E. Torres 9' F 6.30
21 Helieyker Guzman Helieyker Guzman F
15 Jaime Alvarado Jaime Alvarado M
18 Jeider Riquett Jeider Riquett D
12 Jesús Camargo Jesús Camargo G
16 Juan Castaño Juan Castaño D
28 Mateo Zuleta Mateo Zuleta M
19 Tomas García Tomas García M
Best on the pitch
Michael Barrios
Michael Barrios
M · Once
7.50
· 20 pass
Juan Cuadrado
Juan Cuadrado
M · Millonarios
7.30
2 shots · 46 pass
Daniel Ruiz
Daniel Ruiz
M · Millonarios
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
Juan Pablo Nieto
Juan Pablo Nieto
M · Once
7.20
1 shots · 64 pass
David Macalister Silva
David Macalister Silva
M · Millonarios
7.20
1 shots · 46 pass
Dayro Moreno
Dayro Moreno
F · Once
7.00
1 ⚽
2 shots · 4 pass
Millonarios Millonarios — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Javier Burrai G 91 6.90 — — — 23 21% — — —
Danovis Banguero D 91 6.30 — — — 38 33% 1 — —
Sergio Mosquera D 91 6.70 — — 1 32 29% — 1 —
Stiven Barreiro D 91 6.70 — — — 31 26% — — —
Samuel Martín D 28 6.50 — — — 9 7% 1 — —
Juan Cuadrado M 91 7.30 — — 2 46 42% 2 1 —
Stiven Vega M 91 6.30 — — — 39 34% 4 1 —
David Macalister Silva M 66 7.20 — — 1 46 44% 1 — —
Daniel Ruiz M 91 7.30 1 — 2 28 26% 1 1 —
A. Estupiñán F 91 6.60 — — 1 21 17% 1 — —
L. Castro F 66 6.60 — — 2 16 13% — — —
R. Contreras F 25 6.50 — — 1 2 1% — — —
R. Ureña M 63 6.70 — — — 32 30% — — —
Sebastián del Castillo M 25 6.90 — — — 6 5% — — —
Once Caldas Once Caldas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Felipe Parra G 91 5.90 — — — 31 23% — — —
Juan Patiño D 91 6.20 — — — 27 26% — — —
Daniel Londoño D 91 7.00 — — — 54 48% — — —
Jorge Cardona D 91 7.00 — — — 46 39% 2 1 —
Juan David Cuesta D 91 6.60 — — 1 34 32% 1 — —
Juan Pablo Nieto M 91 7.20 — — 1 64 62% 1 — —
Pipe Gómez M 82 6.20 — — 2 36 29% — — —
Jader Quinones M 77 6.50 — — — 35 32% — — —
Andres Colorado M 91 6.60 — — — 53 47% 2 — —
Michael Barrios M 91 7.50 — — — 20 16% 2 — —
Jefry Zapata F 91 6.50 — — 3 21 18% — — —
Dayro Moreno F 14 7.00 1 — 2 4 4% — — —
E. Torres F 9 6.30 — — 1 — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millonarios vs Once Caldas?
The final score was Millonarios 1–1 Once Caldas.
What did the model predict before Millonarios vs Once Caldas?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Millonarios win, 20% to a draw, and 19% to an Once Caldas win.