← Championship
Championship · Semi-finals May 11, 2026 21:00
Millwall
#3 · 83 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Hull City
#6 · 73 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Millwall, result Hull City vince
64' (ast. M. Crooks) M. Belloumi
79' (ast. M. Belloumi) J. Gelhardt

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millwall a 56% win probability (draw 24%, Hull City 19%). The final result was Millwall 0–2 Hull City. In 3 previous meetings, Millwall have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Hull City.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
7
0.94
Actual xG
1.63
4
Saves
4
66%
Possession
34%
6
Corners
8
11
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
10'
J. Egan
45'+2
M. Belloumi / K. Joseph ↕
52'
C. Hughes
↕ T. Ballo / M. Ivanovic
57'
↕ Z. Sturge / A. Doughty
63'
↕ C. De Norre / B. Bannan
64'
64'
ast. M. Crooks · M. Belloumi⚽
69'
M. Belloumi
78'
J. Gelhardt / L. Millar ↕
79'
ast. M. Belloumi · J. Gelhardt⚽
84'
P. McNair / R. Giles ↕
84'
L. Koumas / O. McBurnie ↕
84'
J. Lundstram / R. Slater ↕
↕ D. Mazou-Sacko / L. Cundle
85'
↕ J. Coburn / M. Langstaff
85'
F. Azeez
88'
90'+5
J. Gelhardt
Pre-match prediction
56.21%
Millwall
24.36%
X
19.43%
Hull ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Hull City) 19.43% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Millwall
1.88
0.94
-0.94
Hull
1.00
1.63
+0.63
Hull City dominated by xG (1.63 vs 0.94). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Coventry Coventry 46 95
2 Ipswich Ipswich 46 84
3 Millwall Millwall 46 83
4 Southampton Southampton 46 80
5 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 46 80
6 Hull City Hull City 46 73
7 Wrexham Wrexham 46 71
8 Derby Derby 46 69
9 Norwich Norwich 46 65
10 Birmingham Birmingham 46 64
11 Swansea Swansea 46 64
12 Bristol City Bristol City 46 62
13 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 46 60
14 Preston Preston 46 60
15 QPR QPR 46 58
16 Watford Watford 46 57
17 Stoke City Stoke City 46 55
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 46 55
19 Charlton Charlton 46 53
20 Blackburn Blackburn 46 52
21 West Brom West Brom 46 51
22 Oxford United Oxford United 46 47
23 Leicester Leicester 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 46 0
Lineups
Millwall Millwall 4-2-3-1
13 Anthony Patterson Anthony Patterson G 7.50
3 Zak Sturge Zak Sturge 63' D 6.90
5 J. Cooper J. Cooper D 6.30
4 Tristan Crama Tristan Crama D 7.90
18 Ryan Leonard Ryan Leonard D 6.20
49 Derek Mazou-Sacko Derek Mazou-Sacko 85' M 7.00
24 Casper De Norre Casper De Norre 64' M 6.30
7 Thierno Ballo Thierno Ballo 57' M 7.00
10 Camiel Neghli Camiel Neghli M 7.50
11 O. Azeez O. Azeez M 7.00
19 Josh Coburn Josh Coburn 85' F 5.90
Bench
14 Alfie Doughty Alfie Doughty 35' M 6.60
67 Barry Bannan Barry Bannan 34' M 6.30
8 Billy Mitchell Billy Mitchell M
2 Danny McNamara Danny McNamara D
25 Luke Cundle Luke Cundle 13' M 6.30
17 Macaulay Langstaff Macaulay Langstaff 13' F 6.50
15 Max Crocombe Max Crocombe G
9 Mihailo Ivanović Mihailo Ivanović 41' F 6.70
22 Tom Watson Tom Watson F
Hull City Hull City 3-4-2-1
1 Ivor Pandur Ivor Pandur G 7.00
4 Charlie Hughes Charlie Hughes D 6.90
15 John Egan John Egan D 7.20
6 Semi Ajayi Semi Ajayi D 6.60
3 R. Giles R. Giles 84' M 6.60
25 M. Crooks M. Crooks 1 👟 M 7.00
27 Regan Slater Regan Slater 84' M 7.30
2 L. Coyle L. Coyle M 6.60
7 L. Millar L. Millar 78' F 6.90
22 Kyle Joseph Kyle Joseph 47' F 7.00
9 O. McBurnie O. McBurnie 84' F 6.20
Bench
23 Akin Famewo Akin Famewo D
12 Dillon Phillips Dillon Phillips G
21 J. Gelhardt J. Gelhardt 1 ⚽ 20' F 7.50
5 J. Lundstram J. Lundstram 14' M 6.60
26 Kieran Dowell Kieran Dowell M
36 Lewis Koumas Lewis Koumas 14' F 6.70
10 Mohamed Belloumi Mohamed Belloumi 1 ⚽ 1 👟 51' F 8.70
37 Paddy McNair Paddy McNair 14' D 6.60
13 Yu Hirakawa Yu Hirakawa F
Best on the pitch
Mohamed Belloumi
Mohamed Belloumi
F · Hull
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 15 pass
Tristan Crama
Tristan Crama
D · Millwall
7.90
· 60 pass
Anthony Patterson
Anthony Patterson
G · Millwall
7.50
· 32 pass
J. Gelhardt
J. Gelhardt
F · Hull
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 2 pass
Camiel Neghli
Camiel Neghli
M · Millwall
7.50
2 shots · 38 pass
Regan Slater
Regan Slater
M · Hull
7.30
· 17 pass
Millwall Millwall — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anthony Patterson G 98 7.50 — — — 32 19% — — —
Zak Sturge D 63 6.90 — — — 16 12% — — —
J. Cooper D 98 6.30 — — — 66 53% — — —
Tristan Crama D 98 7.90 — — — 60 50% 1 — —
Ryan Leonard D 98 6.20 — — 1 63 41% 1 — —
Derek Mazou-Sacko M 85 7.00 — — 1 42 39% 1 — —
Casper De Norre M 64 6.30 — — — 34 29% — — —
Thierno Ballo M 57 7.00 — — 1 11 9% 4 — —
Camiel Neghli M 98 7.50 — — 2 38 34% — — —
O. Azeez M 98 7.00 — — 2 14 9% 3 1 —
Josh Coburn F 85 5.90 — — 1 8 3% — — —
Alfie Doughty M 35 6.60 — — — 20 15% — — —
Barry Bannan M 34 6.30 — — — 33 29% 1 — —
Luke Cundle M 13 6.30 — — — 11 10% — — —
Macaulay Langstaff F 13 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
Mihailo Ivanović F 41 6.70 — — 1 7 4% — — —
Hull City Hull City — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ivor Pandur G 98 7.00 — — — 24 7% — — —
Charlie Hughes D 98 6.90 — — 2 24 12% — 1 —
John Egan D 98 7.20 — — 4 15 9% 1 1 —
Semi Ajayi D 98 6.60 — — — 12 9% — — —
R. Giles M 84 6.60 — — — 16 8% 1 — —
M. Crooks M 98 7.00 — 1 1 29 19% 2 — —
Regan Slater M 84 7.30 — — — 17 11% 1 — —
L. Coyle M 98 6.60 — — — 22 14% 1 — —
L. Millar F 78 6.90 — — — 12 7% 2 — —
Kyle Joseph F 47 7.00 — — — 10 3% 1 — —
O. McBurnie F 84 6.20 — — 3 19 8% 1 — —
J. Gelhardt F 20 7.50 1 — 1 2 2% — 1 —
J. Lundstram M 14 6.60 — — — 3 3% 2 — —
Lewis Koumas F 14 6.70 — — 1 3 3% — — —
Mohamed Belloumi F 51 8.70 1 1 1 15 13% 1 1 —
Paddy McNair D 14 6.60 — — — 5 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millwall vs Hull City?
The final score was Millwall 0–2 Hull City.
What did the model predict before Millwall vs Hull City?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Millwall win, 24% to a draw, and 19% to an Hull City win.