✗Model wrong — prediction Millwall, result Hull City wins
64'
(ast. M. Crooks)
M. Belloumi
79'
(ast. M. Belloumi)
J. Gelhardt
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millwall a 56% win probability (draw 24%, Hull City 19%). The final result was Millwall 0–2 Hull City. In 3 previous meetings, Millwall have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Hull City.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
7
0.94
Actual xG
1.63
4
Saves
4
66%
Possession
34%
6
Corners
8
11
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
10'
J. Egan
45'+2
M. Belloumi
/
K. Joseph
52'
C. Hughes
T. Ballo
/ M. Ivanovic
57'
Z. Sturge
/ A. Doughty
63'
C. De Norre
/ B. Bannan
64'
64'
ast. M. Crooks ·
M. Belloumi⚽
69'
M. Belloumi
78'
J. Gelhardt
/
L. Millar
79'
ast. M. Belloumi ·
J. Gelhardt⚽
84'
P. McNair
/
R. Giles
84'
L. Koumas
/
O. McBurnie
84'
J. Lundstram
/
R. Slater
D. Mazou-Sacko
/ L. Cundle
85'
J. Coburn
/ M. Langstaff
85'
F. Azeez
88'
90'+5
J. Gelhardt
Pre-match prediction
56.21%
Millwall
24.36%
X
19.43%
Hull ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Hull City)
19.43%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.88
0.94
-0.94
1.00
1.63
+0.63
Hull City dominated by xG (1.63 vs 0.94).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
A. Patterson
G
A. Patterson
G
3
Zak Norton Sturge
63'
D
Zak Norton Sturge
63'
D
5
J. Cooper
D
J. Cooper
D
4
Tristan Crama
D
Tristan Crama
D
18
Ryan Leonard
D
Ryan Leonard
D
49
D. Mazou-Sacko
85'
M
D. Mazou-Sacko
85'
M
24
C. De Norre
64'
M
C. De Norre
64'
M
7
T. Ballo
57'
M
T. Ballo
57'
M
10
C. Neghli
M
C. Neghli
M
11
Femi Azeez
M
Femi Azeez
M
19
J. Coburn
85'
F
J. Coburn
85'
F
Bench
14
Alfie Doughty
35'
M
Alfie Doughty
35'
M
67
B. Bannan
34'
M
B. Bannan
34'
M
8
B. Mitchell
M
B. Mitchell
M
2
D. McNamara
D
D. McNamara
D
25
L. Cundle
13'
M
L. Cundle
13'
M
17
Macaulay Langstaff
13'
F
Macaulay Langstaff
13'
F
15
M. Crocombe
G
M. Crocombe
G
9
Mihailo Ivanović
41'
F
Mihailo Ivanović
41'
F
22
T. Watson
F
T. Watson
F
1
I. Pandur
G
I. Pandur
G
4
C. Hughes
D
C. Hughes
D
15
J. Egan
D
J. Egan
D
6
S. Ajayi
D
S. Ajayi
D
3
R. Giles
84'
M
R. Giles
84'
M
25
M. Crooks
1 👟
M
M. Crooks
1 👟
M
27
R. Slater
84'
M
R. Slater
84'
M
2
L. Coyle
M
L. Coyle
M
7
L. Millar
78'
F
L. Millar
78'
F
22
K. Joseph
47'
F
K. Joseph
47'
F
9
O. McBurnie
84'
F
O. McBurnie
84'
F
Bench
23
A. Famewo
D
A. Famewo
D
12
D. Phillips
G
D. Phillips
G
21
J. Gelhardt
1 ⚽
20'
F
J. Gelhardt
1 ⚽
20'
F
5
J. Lundstram
14'
M
J. Lundstram
14'
M
26
K. Dowell
M
K. Dowell
M
36
L. Koumas
14'
F
L. Koumas
14'
F
10
M. Belloumi
1 ⚽
1 👟
51'
F
M. Belloumi
1 ⚽
1 👟
51'
F
37
P. McNair
14'
D
P. McNair
14'
D
13
Y. Hirakawa
F
Y. Hirakawa
F
Best on the pitch
M. Belloumi
F · Hull
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 15 pass
Tristan Crama
D · Millwall
7.90
· 60 pass
A. Patterson
G · Millwall
7.50
· 32 pass
J. Gelhardt
F · Hull
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
C. Neghli
M · Millwall
7.50
2 shots
· 38 pass
R. Slater
M · Hull
7.30
· 17 pass
Millwall — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Patterson | G | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Zak Norton Sturge | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Cooper | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 66 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Tristan Crama | D | 98 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 60 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Leonard | D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Mazou-Sacko | M | 85 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| C. De Norre | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | — | — | — |
| T. Ballo | M | 57 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| C. Neghli | M | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Femi Azeez | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 9% | 3 | 1 | — |
| J. Coburn | F | 85 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Alfie Doughty | M | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| B. Bannan | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Cundle | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Macaulay Langstaff | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Mihailo Ivanović | F | 41 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
Hull City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Pandur | G | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 7% | — | — | — |
| C. Hughes | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Egan | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 15 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Ajayi | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| R. Giles | M | 84 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Crooks | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 29 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Slater | M | 84 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Coyle | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Millar | F | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Joseph | F | 47 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| O. McBurnie | F | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gelhardt | F | 20 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Lundstram | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Koumas | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Belloumi | F | 51 | 8.70 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 13% | 1 | 1 | — |
| P. McNair | D | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millwall vs Hull City?
The final score was Millwall 0–2 Hull City.
What did the model predict before Millwall vs Hull City?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Millwall win, 24% to a draw, and 19% to an Hull City win.