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Championship · Regular Season - 11 October 17, 2026 13:30 The Den, London
Millwall
#13 · 15 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Lincoln
#15 · 15 pts
Kyrell Lisbie 63'
Jake Cooper 82'
1' Andrei Coubiș
33' (ast. Sonny Bradley) Robert Nicholas Street
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millwall a 49% win probability (draw 28%, Lincoln 21%). The final result was Millwall 2–2 Lincoln.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
3
1.87
Actual xG
0.75
1
Saves
4
70%
Possession
30%
12
Corners
2
16
Tackles
11
6
🟨 Yellow cards
4
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
1'
Andrei Coubiș⚽
33'
ast. Sonny Bradley · Robert Nicholas Street⚽
Tristan Crama
35'
35'
Robert Nicholas Street
41'
F. Draper
↕ Filip Marshall / Max Crocombe
45'
↕ Mark Sykes / Luke Cundle
45'
⚽Kyrell Lisbie
63'
66'
Daniel Oyegoke / Reeco Hackett-Fairchild ↕
69'
Andrei Coubiș
Kyrell Lisbie
72'
↕ Jenson Metcalfe / Romain Esse
72'
↕ Tristan Crama / Ryan Leonard
72'
80'
Ryley Towler / Adam Reach ↕
80'
Callum Elder / Dom Jefferies ↕
↕ Kyrell Lisbie / Zakariya Lovelace
80'
⚽Jake Cooper
82'
84'
Deji Elerewe
Zak Sturge
86'
Ryan Leonard
90'+1
90'+1
Callum Elder
Camiel Neghli
90'+2
90'+3
Mikkel Ladefoged / F. Draper ↕
Pre-match prediction
49.66%
Millwall
28.61%
X ←
21.73%
Lincoln
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.61% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Millwall
1.48
1.87
+0.4
Lincoln
0.71
0.75
+0.04
Millwall dominated by xG (1.87 vs 0.75). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Millwall Millwall 4-2-3-1
34 F. Marschall F. Marschall 45' G 5.30
3 Zak Norton Sturge Zak Norton Sturge D 6.22
5 J. Cooper J. Cooper 1 ⚽ D 7.84
6 C. Taylor C. Taylor D 6.69
4 T. Crama T. Crama 72' D 5.86
14 Jenson Metcalfe Jenson Metcalfe 72' M 6.00
49 D. Mazou-Sacko D. Mazou-Sacko M 6.61
22 K. Lisbie K. Lisbie 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.60
10 C. Neghli C. Neghli M 6.24
17 M. Sykes M. Sykes 45' M 6.09
13 L. Dykes L. Dykes F 6.38
Bench
45 A. Doughty A. Doughty M 0.00
16 D. Kelly D. Kelly M 0.00
12 E. Baggott E. Baggott D 0.00
2 J. Osei-Tutu J. Osei-Tutu D 0.00
25 L. Cundle L. Cundle 45' M 6.43
15 M. Crocombe M. Crocombe 45' G 5.71
11 R. Esse R. Esse 18' M 6.12
18 R. Leonard R. Leonard 18' D 5.76
29 Z. Lovelace Z. Lovelace 10' F 6.51
Lincoln Lincoln 4-2-3-1
1 G. Wickens G. Wickens G 6.45
3 A. Reach A. Reach 80' D 6.23
15 S. Bradley S. Bradley 1 👟 D 6.83
25 D. Elerewe D. Elerewe 84' D 5.64
4 A. Coubiș A. Coubiș 1 ⚽ D 6.71
24 I. Varfolomeev I. Varfolomeev M 6.03
26 Y. Konak Y. Konak M 6.22
16 D. Jefferies D. Jefferies 80' M 6.07
17 R. Street R. Street 1 ⚽ M 7.27
7 R. Hackett R. Hackett 66' M 6.44
34 F. Draper F. Draper 89' F 6.60
Bench
20 C. Elder C. Elder 10' D 5.89
27 C. Ogbene C. Ogbene F 0.00
33 D. Oyegoke D. Oyegoke 24' D 6.30
19 I. Olaofe I. Olaofe F 0.00
46 J. Gauci J. Gauci G 0.00
23 J. Honohan J. Honohan D 0.00
11 M. Ladefoged M. Ladefoged 1' F 0.00
6 R. Towler R. Towler 10' D 6.12
8 T. Bayliss T. Bayliss M 0.00
Best on the pitch
J. Cooper
J. Cooper
D · Millwall
7.84
1 ⚽
2 shots · 65 pass
K. Lisbie
K. Lisbie
M · Millwall
7.60
1 ⚽
6 shots · 8 pass
R. Street
R. Street
M · Lincoln
7.27
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
S. Bradley
S. Bradley
D · Lincoln
6.83
1 👟
· 15 pass
A. Coubiș
A. Coubiș
D · Lincoln
6.71
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
C. Taylor
C. Taylor
D · Millwall
6.69
· 50 pass
Millwall Millwall — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Marschall G 45 5.30 — — 0 15 7% 0 — —
Zak Norton Sturge D 90 6.22 — — 0 23 18% 0 1 —
J. Cooper D 90 7.84 1 — 2 65 53% 4 1 —
C. Taylor D 90 6.69 — — 0 50 38% 2 — —
T. Crama D 72 5.86 — — 0 24 19% 2 1 —
Jenson Metcalfe M 72 6.00 — — 0 37 29% 2 — —
D. Mazou-Sacko M 90 6.61 — — 2 45 38% 2 — —
K. Lisbie M 80 7.60 1 — 6 8 7% 1 1 —
C. Neghli M 90 6.24 — — 1 33 26% 1 1 —
M. Sykes M 45 6.09 — — 1 11 7% 1 — —
L. Dykes F 90 6.38 — — 3 17 9% 0 — —
L. Cundle M 45 6.43 — — 1 29 26% 0 — —
M. Crocombe G 45 5.71 — — 0 14 9% 0 — —
R. Esse M 18 6.12 — — 2 6 2% 0 — —
R. Leonard D 18 5.76 — — 0 14 8% 1 1 —
Z. Lovelace F 10 6.51 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Lincoln Lincoln — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Wickens G 90 6.45 — — 0 31 8% 0 — —
A. Reach D 80 6.23 — — 0 17 8% 0 — —
S. Bradley D 90 6.83 — 1 0 15 7% 0 — —
D. Elerewe D 84 5.64 — — 0 12 9% 0 — 1
A. Coubiș D 90 6.71 1 — 1 12 7% 1 1 —
I. Varfolomeev M 90 6.03 — — 0 24 16% 2 — —
Y. Konak M 90 6.22 — — 0 20 13% 2 — —
D. Jefferies M 80 6.07 — — 1 9 5% 1 — —
R. Street M 90 7.27 1 — 1 5 4% 1 1 —
R. Hackett M 66 6.44 — — 3 8 8% 3 — —
F. Draper F 89 6.60 — — 3 18 8% 1 1 —
C. Elder D 10 5.89 — — 0 3 0% 0 1 —
D. Oyegoke D 24 6.30 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
M. Ladefoged F 1 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
R. Towler D 10 6.12 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millwall vs Lincoln?
The final score was Millwall 2–2 Lincoln.
What did the model predict before Millwall vs Lincoln?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Millwall win, 28% to a draw, and 21% to an Lincoln win.