81'
(ast. Lewis Hall)
Joe Willock
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millwall a 49% win probability (draw 20%, Newcastle 30%). The final result was Millwall 0–1 Newcastle.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
25
2
Shots on target
6
5
Saves
3
37%
Possession
63%
1
Corners
15
11
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
45'
Valentino Livramento
/
Amar Dedić
Romain Esse
/ Yanis Ali Issoufou
62'
Zakariya Lovelace
/ Taïryk Arconte
62'
66'
Matias Fernandez-Pardo
/
Yoane Wissa
66'
Anthony Elanga
/
Jacob Murphy
Jenson Metcalfe
67'
69'
Jacob Ramsey
81'
ast. Lewis Hall ·
Joe Willock⚽
83'
Lewis Miley
/
Jacob Ramsey
Lyndon Dykes
/ Regan Monty Anderson
87'
D. Kelly
/ Alfie Massey
87'
Jordi Osei-Tutu
/ Tristan Parkes
88'
Alfie Massey
90'+1
90'+1
Sean Steur
/
Joe Willock
Pre-match prediction
49.14%
Millwall
20.48%
X
30.38%
Newcastle ←
we assigned to the actual result (Newcastle)
30.38%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.16
—
—
1.78
—
—
Lineups
34
F. Marschall
G
F. Marschall
G
12
E. Baggott
D
E. Baggott
D
5
J. Cooper
D
J. Cooper
D
6
C. Taylor
D
C. Taylor
D
2
J. Osei-Tutu
88'
D
J. Osei-Tutu
88'
D
14
Jenson Metcalfe
M
Jenson Metcalfe
M
16
D. Kelly
87'
M
D. Kelly
87'
M
10
C. Neghli
M
C. Neghli
M
13
L. Dykes
87'
M
L. Dykes
87'
M
11
R. Esse
62'
M
R. Esse
62'
M
29
Z. Lovelace
62'
F
Z. Lovelace
62'
F
Bench
44
Alfie Massey
3'
M
Alfie Massey
3'
M
41
G. Evans
G
G. Evans
G
51
S. T. Vieira
M
S. T. Vieira
M
7
T. Arconte
28'
F
T. Arconte
28'
F
35
Y. Issoufou
28'
F
Y. Issoufou
28'
F
3
Zak Norton Sturge
D
Zak Norton Sturge
D
21
L. Horníček
G
L. Horníček
G
3
L. Hall
1 👟
D
L. Hall
1 👟
D
4
S. Botman
D
S. Botman
D
5
F. Schär
D
F. Schär
D
37
A. Dedić
45'
D
A. Dedić
45'
D
41
J. Ramsey
83'
M
J. Ramsey
83'
M
6
Nico González
M
Nico González
M
11
H. Barnes
M
H. Barnes
M
28
J. Willock
1 ⚽
89'
M
J. Willock
1 ⚽
89'
M
23
J. Murphy
66'
M
J. Murphy
66'
M
9
Y. Wissa
66'
F
Y. Wissa
66'
F
Bench
8
A. Bamba
M
A. Bamba
M
19
A. Elanga
24'
F
A. Elanga
24'
F
17
B. Touré
F
B. Touré
F
67
L. Miley
7'
M
L. Miley
7'
M
20
M. Fernandez-Pardo
24'
F
M. Fernandez-Pardo
24'
F
12
M. Thiaw
D
M. Thiaw
D
1
N. Pope
G
N. Pope
G
14
Sean Steur
1'
M
Sean Steur
1'
M
2
T. Livramento
45'
D
T. Livramento
45'
D
Best on the pitch
J. Willock
M · Newcastle
8.20
1 ⚽
5 shots
· 34 pass
L. Hall
D · Newcastle
8.16
1 👟
1 shots
· 53 pass
F. Marschall
G · Millwall
7.50
· 40 pass
S. Botman
D · Newcastle
7.40
1 shots
· 55 pass
L. Horníček
G · Newcastle
7.28
· 30 pass
F. Schär
D · Newcastle
7.11
2 shots
· 58 pass
Millwall — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Marschall | G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Baggott | D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Cooper | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Taylor | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Osei-Tutu | D | 88 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Jenson Metcalfe | M | 90 | 6.44 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Kelly | M | 87 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Neghli | M | 90 | 5.93 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Dykes | M | 87 | 6.24 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Esse | M | 62 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Z. Lovelace | F | 62 | 6.18 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Alfie Massey | M | 3 | 6.09 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Arconte | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Issoufou | F | 28 | 6.01 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Newcastle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Horníček | G | 90 | 7.28 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Hall | D | 90 | 8.16 | — | 1 | 1 | 53 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Botman | D | 90 | 7.40 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 51% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Schär | D | 90 | 7.11 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 45% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Dedić | D | 45 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ramsey | M | 83 | 6.25 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 46% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Nico González | M | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 69 | 58% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Barnes | M | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 4 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Willock | M | 89 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 5 | 34 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Murphy | M | 66 | 6.79 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Wissa | F | 66 | 6.42 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Elanga | F | 24 | 6.93 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Miley | M | 7 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Fernandez-Pardo | F | 24 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Sean Steur | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Livramento | D | 45 | 6.54 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millwall vs Newcastle?
The final score was Millwall 0–1 Newcastle.
What did the model predict before Millwall vs Newcastle?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Millwall win, 20% to a draw, and 30% to an Newcastle win.