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Championship · Regular Season - 43 April 18, 2026 13:30 The Den, London
Millwall
#9 · 9 pts
2 – 0
Final score
QPR
#3 · 12 pts
D. Mazou-Sacko 3'
C. Neghli (ast. D. Mazou-Sacko) 17'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millwall a 48% win probability (draw 28%, QPR 22%). The final result was Millwall 2–0 QPR. In 2 previous meetings, Millwall have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for QPR.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
1
1.08
Actual xG
0.13
1
Saves
2
43%
Possession
57%
6
Corners
10
17
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽D. Mazou-Sacko
3'
⚽C. Neghli · ast. D. Mazou-Sacko
17'
19'
R. Edwards
30'
A. S. Mbengue
F. Azeez
34'
46'
S. Cook / A. S. Mbengue ↕
46'
R. Burrell / P. Smyth ↕
46'
N. Madsen / J. Varane ↕
46'
I. Hayden / K. Morgan ↕
60'
I. Chair / K. Poku ↕
↕ C. De Norre / M. Langstaff
70'
↕ T. Ballo / T. Watson
70'
↕ F. Azeez / L. Cundle
86'
↕ J. Coburn / M. Ivanovic
86'
90'+2
I. Hayden
↕ D. Mazou-Sacko / B. Bannan
90'
Pre-match prediction
48.89%
Millwall ←
28.89%
X
22.21%
QPR
we assigned to the actual result (Millwall) 48.89% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Millwall
1.33
1.08
-0.25
QPR
1.01
0.13
-0.88
Millwall dominated by xG (1.08 vs 0.13). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 West Ham West Ham 7 14
2 West Brom West Brom 7 14
3 QPR QPR 7 12
4 Swansea Swansea 6 11
5 Charlton Charlton 6 11
6 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 10
7 Bristol City Bristol City 5 10
8 Birmingham Birmingham 7 10
9 Millwall Millwall 5 9
10 Norwich Norwich 6 9
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 6 9
12 Wolves Wolves 5 8
13 Watford Watford 6 8
14 Southampton Southampton 6 7
15 Stoke City Stoke City 6 7
16 Wrexham Wrexham 7 7
17 Bolton Bolton 7 7
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 5 6
19 Blackburn Blackburn 6 5
20 Lincoln Lincoln 5 5
21 Cardiff Cardiff 7 4
22 Derby Derby 7 4
23 Burnley Burnley 6 3
24 Preston Preston 6 3
Lineups
Millwall Millwall 4-2-3-1
13
G 7.30
3 Zak Norton Sturge Zak Norton Sturge D 7.50
5 J. Cooper J. Cooper D 7.30
6 C. Taylor C. Taylor D 7.20
4
D 7.20
24 C. De Norre C. De Norre 70' M 7.30
49 D. Mazou-Sacko D. Mazou-Sacko 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.50
7 T. Ballo T. Ballo 70' M 6.90
10 C. Neghli C. Neghli 1 ⚽ M 7.90
11 Femi Azeez Femi Azeez 86' M 7.30
19 J. Coburn J. Coburn 86' F 6.50
Bench
67 B. Bannan B. Bannan 6' M
2 D. McNamara D. McNamara D
25 L. Cundle L. Cundle 10' M 6.60
17 Macaulay Langstaff Macaulay Langstaff 26' F 6.30
9 Mihailo Ivanović Mihailo Ivanović 10' F 6.30
QPR QPR 4-2-3-1
13
G 6.20
18 R. Norrington-Davies R. Norrington-Davies D 6.60
6 J. Clarke-Salter J. Clarke-Salter D 6.00
37 R. Edwards R. Edwards D 6.00
27 A. Mbengue A. Mbengue 45' D 6.00
21 Kieran Morgan Kieran Morgan 45' M 6.60
40 J. Varane J. Varane 45' M 6.20
11 P. Smyth P. Smyth 45' M 6.20
20 H. Vale H. Vale M 6.20
17 K. Poku K. Poku 60' M 5.90
22 R. Kone R. Kone F 6.60
Bench
23 D. Bennie D. Bennie F
10 I. Chair I. Chair 36' M 6.90
15 I. Hayden I. Hayden 51' M 6.90
2 K. Adamson K. Adamson D
24 N. Madsen N. Madsen 51' M 6.70
26
Rayan Kolli F
16 R. Burrell R. Burrell 51' F 6.30
5 S. Cook S. Cook 51' D 7.20
Best on the pitch
D. Mazou-Sacko
D. Mazou-Sacko
M · Millwall
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 35 pass
C. Neghli
C. Neghli
M · Millwall
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
Zak Norton Sturge
Zak Norton Sturge
D · Millwall
7.50
1 shots · 21 pass
G · Millwall
7.30
· 33 pass
J. Cooper
J. Cooper
D · Millwall
7.30
· 44 pass
Femi Azeez
Femi Azeez
M · Millwall
7.30
· 13 pass
Millwall Millwall — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 7.30 — — — 33 21% — — —
Zak Norton Sturge D 96 7.50 — — 1 21 13% 6 — —
J. Cooper D 96 7.30 — — — 44 34% 1 — —
C. Taylor D 96 7.20 — — 1 43 33% — — —
D 96 7.20 — — 2 30 20% — — —
C. De Norre M 70 7.30 — — — 25 19% 1 — —
D. Mazou-Sacko M 90 8.50 1 1 1 35 26% 3 — —
T. Ballo M 70 6.90 — — — 11 9% 4 — —
C. Neghli M 96 7.90 1 — 2 28 21% 1 — —
Femi Azeez M 86 7.30 — — — 13 8% — 1 —
J. Coburn F 86 6.50 — — 2 12 5% 1 — —
B. Bannan M 6 — — — — 3 3% — — —
L. Cundle M 10 6.60 — — — 1 — — — —
Macaulay Langstaff F 26 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
Mihailo Ivanović F 10 6.30 — — — 2 — — — —
QPR QPR — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 96 6.20 — — — 25 13% — — —
R. Norrington-Davies D 96 6.60 — — — 33 24% 3 — —
J. Clarke-Salter D 96 6.00 — — — 46 37% 2 — —
R. Edwards D 96 6.00 — — — 51 44% — 1 —
A. Mbengue D 45 6.00 — — — 11 7% 1 1 —
Kieran Morgan M 45 6.60 — — — 23 19% 2 — —
J. Varane M 45 6.20 — — — 18 16% — — —
P. Smyth M 45 6.20 — — 2 4 3% 1 — —
H. Vale M 96 6.20 — — — 31 19% 1 — —
K. Poku M 60 5.90 — — — 10 7% 1 — —
R. Kone F 96 6.60 — — — 32 24% 2 — —
I. Chair M 36 6.90 — — 1 26 23% 4 — —
I. Hayden M 51 6.90 — — — 34 28% 1 1 —
N. Madsen M 51 6.70 — — 1 28 22% — — —
R. Burrell F 51 6.30 — — 1 9 4% 1 — —
S. Cook D 51 7.20 — — — 33 27% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millwall vs QPR?
The final score was Millwall 2–0 QPR.
What did the model predict before Millwall vs QPR?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Millwall win, 28% to a draw, and 22% to an QPR win.