D. Mazou-Sacko
3'
C. Neghli
(ast. D. Mazou-Sacko)
17'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Millwall a 48% win probability (draw 28%, QPR 22%). The final result was Millwall 2–0 QPR. In 1 previous meetings, Millwall have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for QPR.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
1
1.08
Actual xG
0.13
1
Saves
2
43%
Possession
57%
6
Corners
10
17
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽D. Mazou-Sacko
3'
⚽C. Neghli
· ast. D. Mazou-Sacko
17'
19'
R. Edwards
30'
A. S. Mbengue
F. Azeez
34'
46'
S. Cook
/
A. S. Mbengue
46'
R. Burrell
/
P. Smyth
46'
N. Madsen
/
J. Varane
46'
I. Hayden
/
K. Morgan
60'
I. Chair
/
K. Poku
C. De Norre
/ M. Langstaff
70'
T. Ballo
/ T. Watson
70'
F. Azeez
/ L. Cundle
86'
J. Coburn
/ M. Ivanovic
86'
90'+2
I. Hayden
D. Mazou-Sacko
/ B. Bannan
90'
Pre-match prediction
48.89%
Millwall ←
28.89%
X
22.21%
QPR
we assigned to the actual result (Millwall)
48.89%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.33
1.08
-0.25
1.01
0.13
-0.88
Millwall dominated by xG (1.08 vs 0.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
3
Zak Norton Sturge
D
Zak Norton Sturge
D
5
J. Cooper
D
J. Cooper
D
6
C. Taylor
D
4
D
24
Casper De Norre
70'
M
Casper De Norre
70'
M
49
Derek Mazou-Sacko
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Derek Mazou-Sacko
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
7
Thierno Ballo
70'
M
Thierno Ballo
70'
M
10
Camiel Neghli
1 ⚽
M
Camiel Neghli
1 ⚽
M
11
O. Azeez
86'
M
O. Azeez
86'
M
19
Josh Coburn
86'
F
Josh Coburn
86'
F
Bench
67
Barry Bannan
6'
M
Barry Bannan
6'
M
2
Danny McNamara
D
Danny McNamara
D
25
Luke Cundle
10'
M
Luke Cundle
10'
M
17
Macaulay Langstaff
26'
F
Macaulay Langstaff
26'
F
9
Mihailo Ivanović
10'
F
Mihailo Ivanović
10'
F
13
G
18
Rhys Norrington-Davies
D
Rhys Norrington-Davies
D
6
J. Clarke-Salter
D
37
R. Edwards
D
27
A. Mbengue
45'
D
A. Mbengue
45'
D
21
K. Morgan
45'
M
40
J. Varane
45'
M
11
Paul Smyth
45'
M
Paul Smyth
45'
M
20
H. Vale
M
17
K. Poku
60'
M
22
Richard Kone
F
Bench
23
D. Bennie
F
10
I. Chair
36'
M
15
Isaac Hayden
51'
M
2
K. Adamson
D
24
N. Madsen
51'
M
26
Rayan Kolli
F
16
R. Burrell
51'
F
5
S. Cook
51'
D
Best on the pitch
Derek Mazou-Sacko
M · Millwall
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 35 pass
Camiel Neghli
M · Millwall
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
Zak Norton Sturge
D · Millwall
7.50
1 shots
· 21 pass
G · Millwall
7.30
· 33 pass
J. Cooper
D · Millwall
7.30
· 44 pass
O. Azeez
M · Millwall
7.30
· 13 pass
Millwall — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Zak Norton Sturge | D | 96 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 13% | 6 | — | — |
| J. Cooper | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Taylor | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 33% | — | — | — |
| D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| Casper De Norre | M | 70 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Derek Mazou-Sacko | M | 90 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 35 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| Thierno Ballo | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 4 | — | — |
| Camiel Neghli | M | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Azeez | M | 86 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| Josh Coburn | F | 86 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Barry Bannan | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Luke Cundle | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Macaulay Langstaff | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Mihailo Ivanović | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
QPR — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Rhys Norrington-Davies | D | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Clarke-Salter | D | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Edwards | D | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 44% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Mbengue | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Morgan | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Varane | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Paul Smyth | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Vale | M | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Poku | M | 60 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Richard Kone | F | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Chair | M | 36 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| Isaac Hayden | M | 51 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Madsen | M | 51 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| R. Burrell | F | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Cook | D | 51 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 27% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millwall vs QPR?
The final score was Millwall 2–0 QPR.
What did the model predict before Millwall vs QPR?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Millwall win, 28% to a draw, and 22% to an QPR win.