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#13 · 15 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#2 · 23 pts
90' (ast. Joseph Amankwaah Opoku) Ronald Pereira Martins
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Swansea a 38% win probability (draw 28%, Millwall 33%). The final result was Millwall 0–1 Swansea. In 2 previous meetings, Millwall have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Swansea.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
2
1.09
Actual xG
1.85
1
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
13
Corners
1
9
Tackles
23
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
15'
Jay Fulton
Derek Mazou Sacko
23'
23'
Vitor Matos
Lyndon Dykes
44'
Zak Sturge
51'
↕ Jordi Osei-Tutu / Tristan Crama
64'
↕ Jenson Metcalfe / Luke Cundle
64'
65'
Ross Stewart / Zan Vipotnik ↕
↕ Kyrell Lisbie / Yanis Ali Issoufou
65'
65'
melker widell / Elijah Just ↕
65'
Goncalo Franco / Jay Fulton ↕
77'
Stephen Welsh / Jenson Seelt ↕
83'
Filip Lissah
↕ Mark Sykes / Alfie Doughty
84'
84'
Ronald Pereira Martins / Moussa Kounfolo Yeo ↕
↕ Camiel Neghli / D. Kelly
90'+2
90'
ast. Joseph Amankwaah Opoku · Ronald Pereira Martins⚽
Pre-match prediction
33.45%
Millwall
28.4%
X
38.15%
Swansea ←
we assigned to the actual result (Swansea) 38.15% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Millwall
1.28
1.09
-0.19
Swansea
1.58
1.85
+0.27
Swansea dominated by xG (1.85 vs 1.09). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Millwall Millwall 4-2-3-1
34 F. Marschall F. Marschall G 6.16
3 Zak Norton Sturge Zak Norton Sturge D 5.27
5 J. Cooper J. Cooper D 6.17
6 C. Taylor C. Taylor D 6.95
2 J. Osei-Tutu J. Osei-Tutu 64' D 6.68
14 Jenson Metcalfe Jenson Metcalfe 64' M 7.00
49 D. Mazou-Sacko D. Mazou-Sacko M 5.81
22 K. Lisbie K. Lisbie 65' M 6.46
10 C. Neghli C. Neghli 89' M 6.30
17 M. Sykes M. Sykes 84' M 6.38
13 L. Dykes L. Dykes F 5.91
Bench
45 A. Doughty A. Doughty 6' M 6.61
16 D. Kelly D. Kelly 1' M 0.00
12 E. Baggott E. Baggott D 0.00
25 L. Cundle L. Cundle 26' M 6.44
15 M. Crocombe M. Crocombe G 0.00
18 R. Leonard R. Leonard D 0.00
4 T. Crama T. Crama 26' D 6.48
35 Y. Issoufou Y. Issoufou 25' F 6.13
29 Z. Lovelace Z. Lovelace F 0.00
Swansea Swansea 4-3-3
22 L. Vigouroux L. Vigouroux G 6.57
14 J. Tymon J. Tymon D 7.20
3 J. Seelt J. Seelt 77' D 7.34
5 B. Cabango B. Cabango D 7.47
26 F. Lissah F. Lissah D 6.89
6 M. Stamenić M. Stamenić M 6.97
4 J. Fulton J. Fulton 65' M 6.48
8 E. Just E. Just 65' M 6.49
30 Joseph Okopu Joseph Okopu 1 👟 F 7.08
9 Z. Vipotnik Z. Vipotnik 65' F 6.30
49 M. Yeo M. Yeo 84' F 6.71
Bench
1 A. Fisher A. Fisher G 0.00
33 A. Idah A. Idah F 0.00
10 Eom Ji-Sung Eom Ji-Sung F 0.00
17 Gonçalo Franco Gonçalo Franco 25' M 6.84
7 M. Widell M. Widell 25' M 6.88
35 Ronald Ronald 1 ⚽ 6' F 7.70
31 R. Stewart R. Stewart 25' F 6.25
23 S. Welsh S. Welsh 13' D 7.11
16 Tom Iorpenda Tom Iorpenda M 0.00
Best on the pitch
Ronald
Ronald
F · Swansea
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
B. Cabango
B. Cabango
D · Swansea
7.47
· 49 pass
J. Seelt
J. Seelt
D · Swansea
7.34
· 23 pass
J. Tymon
J. Tymon
D · Swansea
7.20
· 26 pass
S. Welsh
S. Welsh
D · Swansea
7.11
1 shots · 6 pass
Joseph Okopu
Joseph Okopu
F · Swansea
7.08
1 👟
1 shots · 27 pass
Millwall Millwall — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Marschall G 90 6.16 — — 0 33 20% 0 — —
Zak Norton Sturge D 90 5.27 — — 0 29 19% 0 1 —
J. Cooper D 90 6.17 — — 0 44 28% 2 — —
C. Taylor D 90 6.95 — — 1 46 39% 1 — —
J. Osei-Tutu D 64 6.68 — — 1 22 18% 0 — —
Jenson Metcalfe M 64 7.00 — — 1 21 16% 1 — —
D. Mazou-Sacko M 90 5.81 — — 0 35 29% 0 1 —
K. Lisbie M 65 6.46 — — 0 9 4% 1 — —
C. Neghli M 89 6.30 — — 1 23 18% 3 — —
M. Sykes M 84 6.38 — — 1 15 8% 0 — —
L. Dykes F 90 5.91 — — 1 23 14% 0 1 —
A. Doughty M 6 6.61 — — 0 3 2% 1 — —
D. Kelly M 1 0.00 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
L. Cundle M 26 6.44 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
T. Crama D 26 6.48 — — 2 10 3% 0 — —
Y. Issoufou F 25 6.13 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Swansea Swansea — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Vigouroux G 90 6.57 — — 0 34 18% 0 — —
J. Tymon D 90 7.20 — — 0 26 21% 2 — —
J. Seelt D 77 7.34 — — 0 23 18% 0 — —
B. Cabango D 90 7.47 — — 0 49 39% 1 — —
F. Lissah D 90 6.89 — — 0 31 22% 4 1 —
M. Stamenić M 90 6.97 — — 2 40 33% 2 — —
J. Fulton M 65 6.48 — — 0 39 31% 3 1 —
E. Just M 65 6.49 — — 0 22 16% 1 — —
Joseph Okopu F 90 7.08 — 1 1 27 21% 2 — —
Z. Vipotnik F 65 6.30 — — 2 15 13% 1 — —
M. Yeo F 84 6.71 — — 3 18 16% 6 — —
Gonçalo Franco M 25 6.84 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
M. Widell M 25 6.88 — — 1 3 3% 1 — —
Ronald F 6 7.70 1 — 1 7 7% 0 — —
R. Stewart F 25 6.25 — — 3 3 1% 0 — —
S. Welsh D 13 7.11 — — 1 6 4% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Millwall vs Swansea?
The final score was Millwall 0–1 Swansea.
What did the model predict before Millwall vs Swansea?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Millwall win, 28% to a draw, and 38% to an Swansea win.