Aaron Collins
(ast. Samuel Silvera)
85'
38'
(ast. Udoka Godwin-Malife)
P. Lane
(og)
47'
Cohen Bramall
64'
Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
80'
Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
87'
(ast. Josh Stokes)
Jacob Brown
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Reading a 41% win probability (draw 29%, Milton Keynes Dons 29%). The final result was Milton Keynes Dons 1–5 Reading.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
13
4
Shots on target
6
0.80
Actual xG
3.67
1
Saves
3
55%
Possession
45%
2
Corners
5
18
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
28'
Haydon Roberts
38'
ast. Udoka Godwin-Malife ·
P. Lane⚽
47'
(og)
Cohen Bramall⚽
Daniel Barlaser
/ Alex Gilbey
55'
Curtis Nelson
/ ibrahim fullah
55'
64'
Kyreece Joshua Lisbie⚽
Marvin Ekpiteta
73'
80'
Kyreece Joshua Lisbie⚽
81'
Jacob Brown
/
Jamie Reid
Gethin Jones
/ Samuel Silvera
82'
Marvin Ekpiteta
/ Jack Sanders
82'
⚽Aaron Collins
· ast. Samuel Silvera
85'
86'
Daniel·Kyerewaa
/
Haydon Roberts
86'
Randell Williams
/
Kyreece Joshua Lisbie
87'
ast. Josh Stokes ·
Jacob Brown⚽
90'+1
Liam Fraser
/
Andy Rinomhota
Pre-match prediction
29.6%
Milton
29.24%
X
41.16%
Reading ←
we assigned to the actual result (Reading)
41.16%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.81
0.80
-0.01
1.67
3.67
+2.0
Reading dominated by xG (3.67 vs 0.80).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
W. Dennis
G
W. Dennis
G
21
M. Ekpiteta
82'
D
M. Ekpiteta
82'
D
35
C. Nelson
55'
D
C. Nelson
55'
D
5
C. Goode
D
C. Goode
D
4
D. Barlaser
55'
M
D. Barlaser
55'
M
15
C. Bramall
1 ⚽
M
C. Bramall
1 ⚽
M
24
R. Wintle
M
R. Wintle
M
26
B. Wiles
M
B. Wiles
M
2
G. Jones
82'
M
G. Jones
82'
M
10
A. Collins
1 ⚽
F
A. Collins
1 ⚽
F
9
S. Nombe
F
S. Nombe
F
Bench
8
A. Gilbey
35'
M
A. Gilbey
35'
M
22
I. Fullah
35'
M
I. Fullah
35'
M
32
J. Sanders
8'
D
J. Sanders
8'
D
38
Keon Lewis-Burgess
M
Keon Lewis-Burgess
M
17
S. Silvera
1 👟
8'
F
S. Silvera
1 👟
8'
F
51
S. Stacey
G
S. Stacey
G
47
S. Troso
M
S. Troso
M
1
Joel Pereira
G
Joel Pereira
G
5
H. Roberts
86'
D
H. Roberts
86'
D
16
Benn David Ward
D
Benn David Ward
D
15
P. O'Connor
D
P. O'Connor
D
2
U. Godwin-Malife
1 👟
D
U. Godwin-Malife
1 👟
D
4
A. Rinomhota
89'
M
A. Rinomhota
89'
M
10
L. Wing
M
L. Wing
M
32
P. Lane
1 ⚽
M
P. Lane
1 ⚽
M
28
J. Stokes
1 👟
M
J. Stokes
1 👟
M
19
Kyreece Lisbie
2 ⚽
86'
M
Kyreece Lisbie
2 ⚽
86'
M
9
J. Reid
81'
F
J. Reid
81'
F
Bench
23
C. Masterson
D
C. Masterson
D
8
C. Savage
M
C. Savage
M
11
D. Kyerewaa
4'
M
D. Kyerewaa
4'
M
18
J. Brown
1 ⚽
9'
F
J. Brown
1 ⚽
9'
F
25
J. Stevens
G
J. Stevens
G
6
L. Fraser
1'
M
L. Fraser
1'
M
14
R. Williams
4'
M
R. Williams
4'
M
Best on the pitch
Kyreece Lisbie
M · Reading
8.62
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 2 pass
P. Lane
M · Reading
8.02
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
A. Collins
F · Milton
7.53
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
J. Brown
F · Reading
7.46
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
P. O'Connor
D · Reading
7.17
· 35 pass
U. Godwin-Malife
D · Reading
7.17
1 👟
· 41 pass
Milton Keynes Dons — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Dennis | G | 90 | 5.97 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ekpiteta | D | 82 | 5.63 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| C. Nelson | D | 55 | 5.58 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Goode | D | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Barlaser | M | 55 | 5.46 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Bramall | M | 90 | 5.06 | 1 | — | 0 | 34 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| R. Wintle | M | 90 | 6.23 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Wiles | M | 90 | 5.78 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 24% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Jones | M | 82 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Collins | F | 90 | 7.53 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Nombe | F | 90 | 5.75 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Gilbey | M | 35 | 5.88 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Fullah | M | 35 | 5.26 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Sanders | D | 8 | 5.50 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Silvera | F | 8 | 6.42 | — | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Reading — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Pereira | G | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Roberts | D | 86 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Benn David Ward | D | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| P. O'Connor | D | 90 | 7.17 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| U. Godwin-Malife | D | 90 | 7.17 | — | 1 | 0 | 41 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Rinomhota | M | 89 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Wing | M | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 2 | 61 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Lane | M | 90 | 8.02 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Stokes | M | 90 | 6.95 | — | 1 | 0 | 28 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Kyreece Lisbie | M | 86 | 8.62 | 2 | — | 5 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Reid | F | 81 | 6.87 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Kyerewaa | M | 4 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Brown | F | 9 | 7.46 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Fraser | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Williams | M | 4 | 6.18 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Milton Keynes Dons vs Reading?
The final score was Milton Keynes Dons 1–5 Reading.
What did the model predict before Milton Keynes Dons vs Reading?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Milton Keynes Dons win, 29% to a draw, and 41% to an Reading win.