Milton Keynes Dons - Swindon Town
FA Cup
November 07, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
46.78%
Win
Milton Keynes Dons
37.18%
Draw
16.04%
Win
Swindon Town
0.9
0.34
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(25.7%)
1X2 Result
1
47%
X
37%
2
16%
Double Chance
1X
84%
X2
53%
12
63%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
71%
Over 2.5
49%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Milton Keynes Dons a 46% win probability, against 37% for a draw and 16% for Swindon Town. Expected goals are 0.9 for Milton Keynes Dons and 0.3 for Swindon Town (total 1.2), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 25.7% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Milton Keynes Dons have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Swindon Town.
Season Stats
2W
1D
0L
2W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
2.7
1.3
Conceded
1.3
7.0
Shots OT
4.0
10.0
Corners
5.0
39%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ
Based on the last 3 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
1W
1D
0L
· at home
1W
0D
1L
· away
2.0
gls/g
2.0
1.0
Conceded
2.0
50%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Milton Keynes Dons
Swindon Town →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 28.7% | 9.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 1 | 26.0% | 8.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 2 | 11.7% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 3 | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.3% | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Milton Keynes Dons
Attack
38
Defence
61
Form
55
Swindon Town
Attack
17
Defence
70
Form
45
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?
The model gives Milton Keynes Dons a 46% win probability, 37% for a draw, and 16% for an Swindon Town win.
How many goals are expected in Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?
Expected goals: Milton Keynes Dons 0.9, Swindon Town 0.3 (total 1.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 25.7%.