MLS
· Regular Season - 20
August 20, 2026 02:30
A. Markanich
58'
37'
T. Jacob
78'
(ast. A. Miranchuk)
T. Muyumba
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 55% win probability (draw 23%, Atlanta United FC 21%). The final result was Minnesota United FC 1–2 Atlanta United FC.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
2.00
Actual xG
0.93
1
Saves
3
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
4
12
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
18'
J. Alonso
M. Boxall
29'
J. Pereyra
32'
37'
T. Jacob⚽
46'
A. Gill
56'
C. Sanchez
⚽A. Markanich
58'
64'
L. Brennan
/
F. Picault
64'
S. Alzate
/
C. Sanchez
B. Hlongwane
/ M. Dieng
68'
M. Caldeira
/ A. Jackson
68'
T. Chancalay
75'
78'
ast. A. Miranchuk ·
T. Muyumba⚽
79'
M. Edwards
/
A. Miranchuk
T. Chancalay
/ K. Yeboah
80'
W. Trapp
/ M. Gonzalez
80'
84'
E. Mihaj
/
A. Gill
84'
P. Diaz
/
T. Muyumba
O. Gene
87'
Pre-match prediction
55.0%
Minnesota
23.8%
X
21.2%
Atlanta ←
we assigned to the actual result (Atlanta United FC)
21.2%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.61
2.00
+0.39
0.87
0.93
+0.06
Minnesota United FC dominated by xG (2.00 vs 0.93).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
D. Callender
G
D. Callender
G
23
M. Duggan
D
M. Duggan
D
15
M. Boxall
D
M. Boxall
D
28
J. Díaz
D
J. Díaz
D
13
A. Markanich
1 ⚽
M
A. Markanich
1 ⚽
M
20
W. Trapp
80'
M
W. Trapp
80'
M
30
O. Gene
M
O. Gene
M
21
B. Hlongwane
68'
M
B. Hlongwane
68'
M
8
T. Chancalay
80'
F
T. Chancalay
80'
F
22
Marcus Caldeira
68'
F
Marcus Caldeira
68'
F
26
J. Pereyra
F
J. Pereyra
F
Bench
16
A. Jackson
22'
M
A. Jackson
22'
M
1
Alec Smir
G
67
C. Harvey
M
C. Harvey
M
2
D. Padelford
D
D. Padelford
D
24
J. Gressel
M
J. Gressel
M
3
K. Duncan
D
K. Duncan
D
9
K. Yeboah
10'
F
K. Yeboah
10'
F
29
Mamadou Dieng
22'
F
Mamadou Dieng
22'
F
18
M. Gonzalez
10'
F
M. Gonzalez
10'
F
1
L. Hoyos
G
L. Hoyos
G
3
E. Báez
D
E. Báez
D
6
J. Alonso
D
J. Alonso
D
5
S. Gregersen
D
S. Gregersen
D
55
T. Jacob
1 ⚽
D
T. Jacob
1 ⚽
D
8
T. Muyumba
1 ⚽
84'
M
T. Muyumba
1 ⚽
84'
M
16
Adrian Gill
84'
M
Adrian Gill
84'
M
48
C. Sanchez
64'
M
C. Sanchez
64'
M
22
F. Picault
64'
F
F. Picault
64'
F
10
M. Almirón
F
M. Almirón
F
59
A. Miranchuk
1 👟
79'
F
A. Miranchuk
1 👟
79'
F
Bench
30
C. Togashi
F
C. Togashi
F
4
E. Mihaj
11'
D
E. Mihaj
11'
D
42
Jayden Hibbert
G
Jayden Hibbert
G
20
L. Brennan
26'
M
L. Brennan
26'
M
47
Matthew Edwards
11'
D
Matthew Edwards
11'
D
27
P. Díaz
11'
D
P. Díaz
11'
D
2
R. Hernández
D
R. Hernández
D
7
S. Alzate
26'
M
S. Alzate
26'
M
19
Sergio Santos
F
Sergio Santos
F
Best on the pitch
T. Jacob
D · Atlanta
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 38 pass
T. Muyumba
M · Atlanta
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 30 pass
J. Pereyra
F · Minnesota
7.50
· 55 pass
M. Almirón
F · Atlanta
7.20
1 shots
· 35 pass
L. Hoyos
G · Atlanta
7.20
· 35 pass
Mamadou Dieng
F · Minnesota
7.00
· 9 pass
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Callender | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Duggan | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Boxall | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Díaz | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Markanich | M | 90 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 5 | 45 | 37% | — | — | — |
| W. Trapp | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Gene | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 57 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Hlongwane | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| T. Chancalay | F | 80 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marcus Caldeira | F | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | F | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 55 | 43% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Jackson | M | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Yeboah | F | 10 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 22 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Gonzalez | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hoyos | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Báez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Alonso | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 51% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Gregersen | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Jacob | D | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Muyumba | M | 84 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrian Gill | M | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 44 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Sanchez | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Picault | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Almirón | F | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | — | — | — |
| A. Miranchuk | F | 79 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 28 | 21% | — | — | — |
| E. Mihaj | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Brennan | M | 26 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Matthew Edwards | D | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | — | — |
| P. Díaz | D | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — |
| S. Alzate | M | 26 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC?
The final score was Minnesota United FC 1–2 Atlanta United FC.
What did the model predict before Minnesota United FC vs Atlanta United FC?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Minnesota United FC win, 23% to a draw, and 21% to an Atlanta United FC win.