Minnesota United FC 2–2 Austin — pre-match prediction — MLS — May 11, 2026

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MLS · Regular Season - 12 May 11, 2026 01:00

Minnesota United FC

#12 · 41 pts

2 – 2

Final score

Austin

#14 · 34 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Minnesota United FC, result Draw

A. Markanich (ast. J. Rodriguez) 69'

J. Pereyra (ast. J. Rodriguez) 77'

(pen.) 14' M. Uzuni

79' (ast. F. Torres) C. Ramirez

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 62% win probability (draw 20%, Austin 17%). The final result was Minnesota United FC 2–2 Austin. In 1 previous meetings, Minnesota United FC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Austin.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

2.20

Actual xG

1.32

Saves

55%

Possession

45%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

14'

(pen.) M. Uzuni⚽

⚽K. Yeboah (missed pen.)

21'

22'

⚽K. Yeboah (missed pen.)

27'

J. Diaz

29'

N. Triantis

40'

T. Chancalay

42'

44'

J. Bell / B. Hines-Ike ↕

45'+2

F. Torres

J. Pereyra

45'+11

45'+12

J. Gallagher

O. Gene

47'

↕ T. Chancalay / J. Rodriguez

63'

↕ N. Triantis / W. Trapp

63'

⚽A. Markanich · ast. J. Rodriguez

69'

70'

D. Pereira / I. Sanchez ↕

70'

O. Wolff / J. Gallagher ↕

⚽J. Pereyra · ast. J. Rodriguez

77'

79'

ast. F. Torres · C. Ramirez⚽

↕ D. Padelford / M. Boxall

82'

84'

B. Vazquez / C. Ramirez ↕

↕ O. Gene / M. Gonzalez

88'

90'+3

Z. Kolmanic / J. Bell ↕

Pre-match prediction

62.27%

Minnesota

20.64%

X ←

17.09%

Austin

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.64% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Minnesota

2.80

2.20

-0.59

Austin

0.90

1.32

+0.43

Minnesota United FC dominated by xG (2.20 vs 1.32). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Vancouver Whitecaps	33	61
2	FC Dallas	33	55
3	San Jose Earthquakes	33	52
4	St. Louis City	33	51
5	Houston Dynamo	33	51
6	Los Angeles FC	33	47
7	Los Angeles Galaxy	33	44
8	Portland Timbers	33	43
9	Colorado Rapids	33	43
10	Seattle Sounders	33	43
11	Real Salt Lake	33	42
12	Minnesota United FC	33	41
13	San Diego	33	38
14	Austin	33	34
15	Sporting Kansas City	33	23

Lineups

Minnesota United FC 3-4-2-1

D. Callender G 6.70

N. Romero D 6.30

M. Duggan D 6.50

J. Díaz D 7.30

D. Padelford 82' M 6.90

O. Gene 88' M 6.70

N. Triantis 63' M 6.90

A. Markanich 1 ⚽ M 7.90

T. Chancalay 63' F 6.50

J. Pereyra 1 ⚽ F 9.20

K. Yeboah F 5.30

Bench

A. Smir G

D. Fitz M

D. Taylor D

J. Rodríguez 2 👟 27' M 7.70

K. Chandler D

Mamadou Dieng F

M. Boxall 8' D 7.00

M. Gonzalez 10' F 6.50

W. Trapp 27' M 7.00

Austin 4-2-3-1

B. Stuver G 6.60

Guilherme Biro D 7.00

B. Hines-Ike 44' D 7.20

O. Svatok D 6.70

M. Desler D 6.50

Ilie Sánchez 70' M 6.50

J. Rosales M 6.20

J. Gallagher 70' M 5.90

M. Uzuni 1 ⚽ M 6.90

F. Torres 1 👟 M 6.60

C. Ramirez 1 ⚽ 84' F 8.20

Bench

B. Šabović M

B. Vázquez 14' F 6.50

C. Fodrey M

D. Las G

D. Pereira 20' M 6.70

J. Bell 45' D 6.30

N. Dubersarsky M

O. Wolff 20' M 6.20

Ž. Kolmanič 1' D

Best on the pitch

J. Pereyra

F · Minnesota

9.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 61 pass

C. Ramirez

F · Austin

8.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 20 pass

A. Markanich

M · Minnesota

7.90

1 ⚽

2 shots · 27 pass

J. Rodríguez

M · Minnesota

7.70

2 👟

2 shots · 25 pass

J. Díaz

D · Minnesota

7.30

1 shots · 80 pass

B. Hines-Ike

D · Austin

7.20

· 19 pass

Minnesota United FC — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
D. Callender	G	90	6.70	—	—	—	15	12%	—	—	—
N. Romero	D	90	6.30	—	—	1	55	50%	3	—	—
M. Duggan	D	90	6.50	—	—	1	69	60%	—	—	—
J. Díaz	D	90	7.30	—	—	1	80	69%	2	1	—
D. Padelford	M	82	6.90	—	—	1	22	19%	1	—	—
O. Gene	M	88	6.70	—	—	—	48	44%	1	1	—
N. Triantis	M	63	6.90	—	—	1	34	26%	2	1	—
A. Markanich	M	90	7.90	1	—	2	27	18%	3	—	—
T. Chancalay	F	63	6.50	—	—	2	23	17%	2	1	—
J. Pereyra	F	90	9.20	1	—	1	61	49%	—	1	—
K. Yeboah	F	90	5.30	—	—	4	14	11%	—	—	—
J. Rodríguez	M	27	7.70	—	2	2	25	22%	—	—	—
M. Boxall	D	8	7.00	—	—	—	9	8%	—	—	—
M. Gonzalez	F	10	6.50	—	—	—	7	7%	—	—	—
W. Trapp	M	27	7.00	—	—	—	21	21%	2	—	—

Austin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
B. Stuver	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	46	29%	—	—	—
Guilherme Biro	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	42	34%	3	—	—
B. Hines-Ike	D	44	7.20	—	—	—	19	16%	2	—	—
O. Svatok	D	90	6.70	—	—	—	46	41%	—	—	—
M. Desler	D	90	6.50	—	—	—	33	29%	2	—	—
Ilie Sánchez	M	70	6.50	—	—	—	34	27%	—	—	—
J. Rosales	M	90	6.20	—	—	1	45	37%	3	—	—
J. Gallagher	M	70	5.90	—	—	—	10	9%	—	1	—
M. Uzuni	M	90	6.90	1	—	5	32	22%	1	—	—
F. Torres	M	90	6.60	—	1	—	46	37%	—	1	—
C. Ramirez	F	84	8.20	1	—	1	20	18%	1	—	—
B. Vázquez	F	14	6.50	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—
D. Pereira	M	20	6.70	—	—	—	20	20%	1	—	—
J. Bell	D	45	6.30	—	—	—	14	13%	1	—	—
O. Wolff	M	20	6.20	—	—	—	13	11%	1	—	—
Ž. Kolmanič	D	1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Minnesota United FC vs Austin?

The final score was Minnesota United FC 2–2 Austin.

What did the model predict before Minnesota United FC vs Austin?

The model assigned 62% probability to a Minnesota United FC win, 20% to a draw, and 17% to an Austin win.