MLS
· Regular Season - 14
May 14, 2026 02:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Minnesota United FC, result Colorado Rapids wins
26'
(ast. P. Aaronson)
M. Navarro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 54% win probability (draw 25%, Colorado Rapids 19%). The final result was Minnesota United FC 0–1 Colorado Rapids.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
2
1.05
Actual xG
0.62
1
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
5
15
Tackles
18
5
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
M. Duggan
1'
K. Yeboah
21'
26'
ast. P. Aaronson ·
M. Navarro⚽
M. Boxall
/ N. Romero
46'
49'
C. Ronan
51'
J. Travis
J. Rodriguez
/ T. Chancalay
64'
O. Gene
/ N. Triantis
64'
K. Duncan
/ B. Hlongwane
64'
64'
D. Sealy
/
C. Ronan
64'
K. Thompson
/
J. Travis
69'
K. Thompson
J. Diaz
75'
81'
R. Cannon
/
G. Minoungou
T. Chancalay
82'
A. Markanich
/ M. Dieng
83'
W. Trapp
84'
85'
Rafael Navarro
90'
D. Yapi
/
P. Aaronson
Pre-match prediction
54.36%
Minnesota
25.85%
X
19.78%
Colorado ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Colorado Rapids)
19.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
1.05
-0.72
0.74
0.62
-0.12
Minnesota United FC dominated by xG (1.05 vs 0.62).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Drake Callender
G
Drake Callender
G
23
Morris Duggan
D
Morris Duggan
D
15
Michael Boxall
45'
D
Michael Boxall
45'
D
28
J. Díaz
D
J. Díaz
D
13
Anthony Markanich
83'
M
Anthony Markanich
83'
M
20
Wil Trapp
M
Wil Trapp
M
30
Owen Gene
64'
M
Owen Gene
64'
M
3
Kyle Duncan
64'
M
Kyle Duncan
64'
M
26
J. Pereyra
F
J. Pereyra
F
9
K. Yeboah
F
K. Yeboah
F
10
James Rodríguez
64'
F
James Rodríguez
64'
F
Bench
1
Alec Smir
G
Alec Smir
G
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
29'
F
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
29'
F
2
Devin Padelford
D
Devin Padelford
D
27
D.J. Taylor
D
D.J. Taylor
D
29
Mamadou Dieng
10'
F
Mamadou Dieng
10'
F
18
Mauricio González
F
Mauricio González
F
25
Nectarios Triantis
29'
D
Nectarios Triantis
29'
D
5
Nicolás Romero
48'
D
Nicolás Romero
48'
D
8
Tomás Chancalay
29'
F
Tomás Chancalay
29'
F
41
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
29
M. Navarro
1 ⚽
D
M. Navarro
1 ⚽
D
22
L. Herrington
D
L. Herrington
D
24
Noah Cobb
D
Noah Cobb
D
2
Keegan Rosenberry
D
Keegan Rosenberry
D
13
W. Frederick II
M
W. Frederick II
M
20
Connor Ronan
64'
M
Connor Ronan
64'
M
99
J. Travis
64'
M
J. Travis
64'
M
10
Paxten Aaronson
1 👟
M
Paxten Aaronson
1 👟
M
93
Georgi Minoungou
81'
F
9
Rafael Navarro
F
Rafael Navarro
F
Bench
31
Adam Beaudry
G
Adam Beaudry
G
16
Alex Harris
F
Alex Harris
F
11
Alexis Manyoma
M
Alexis Manyoma
M
15
Ali Fadal
M
Ali Fadal
M
77
Darren Yapi
3'
F
Darren Yapi
3'
F
7
D. Sealy
29'
F
D. Sealy
29'
F
19
Ian Murphy
D
Ian Murphy
D
33
Kosi Thompson
29'
D
Kosi Thompson
29'
D
4
Reggie Cannon
12'
D
Reggie Cannon
12'
D
Best on the pitch
Rafael Navarro
F · Colorado
7.60
1 shots
· 18 pass
James Rodríguez
F · Minnesota
7.50
1 shots
· 41 pass
J. Pereyra
F · Minnesota
7.20
2 shots
· 42 pass
Paxten Aaronson
M · Colorado
6.90
1 👟
3 shots
· 23 pass
Connor Ronan
M · Colorado
6.90
· 48 pass
Wil Trapp
M · Minnesota
6.90
· 53 pass
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Callender | G | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Morris Duggan | D | 93 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 66 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| Michael Boxall | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Díaz | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 50% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Anthony Markanich | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Wil Trapp | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Owen Gene | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Kyle Duncan | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | F | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Yeboah | F | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| James Rodríguez | F | 64 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nectarios Triantis | D | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Romero | D | 48 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Chancalay | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen | G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 24% | — | — | — |
| M. Navarro | D | 93 | 6.90 | 1 | — | — | 46 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Herrington | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Noah Cobb | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Keegan Rosenberry | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 23% | — | — | — |
| W. Frederick II | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Connor Ronan | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Travis | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Paxten Aaronson | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 23 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| Georgi Minoungou | F | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Darren Yapi | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| D. Sealy | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Kosi Thompson | D | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Reggie Cannon | D | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Minnesota United FC vs Colorado Rapids?
The final score was Minnesota United FC 0–1 Colorado Rapids.
What did the model predict before Minnesota United FC vs Colorado Rapids?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Minnesota United FC win, 25% to a draw, and 19% to an Colorado Rapids win.