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MLS · Regular Season - 13 May 14, 2026 02:30
#12 · 41 pts
0 – 1
Final score
#9 · 43 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Minnesota United FC, result Colorado Rapids wins
26' (ast. P. Aaronson) M. Navarro
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 54% win probability (draw 25%, Colorado Rapids 19%). The final result was Minnesota United FC 0–1 Colorado Rapids. In 1 previous meetings, Minnesota United FC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Colorado Rapids.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
2
1.05
Actual xG
0.62
1
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
5
15
Tackles
18
5
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
M. Duggan
1'
K. Yeboah
21'
26'
ast. P. Aaronson · M. Navarro⚽
↕ M. Boxall / N. Romero
46'
49'
C. Ronan
51'
J. Travis
↕ J. Rodriguez / T. Chancalay
64'
↕ O. Gene / N. Triantis
64'
↕ K. Duncan / B. Hlongwane
64'
64'
D. Sealy / C. Ronan ↕
64'
K. Thompson / J. Travis ↕
69'
K. Thompson
J. Diaz
75'
81'
R. Cannon / G. Minoungou ↕
T. Chancalay
82'
↕ A. Markanich / M. Dieng
83'
W. Trapp
84'
85'
Rafael Navarro
90'
D. Yapi / P. Aaronson ↕
Pre-match prediction
54.36%
Minnesota
25.85%
X
19.78%
Colorado ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Colorado Rapids) 19.78% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Minnesota
1.77
1.05
-0.72
Colorado
0.74
0.62
-0.12
Minnesota United FC dominated by xG (1.05 vs 0.62). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 33 61
2 FC Dallas FC Dallas 33 55
3 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 33 52
4 St. Louis City St. Louis City 33 51
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 33 51
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 33 47
7 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 33 44
8 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 33 43
9 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 33 43
10 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 33 43
11 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 33 42
12 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 33 41
13 San Diego San Diego 33 38
14 Austin Austin 33 34
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 33 23
Lineups
12 D. Callender D. Callender G 6.70
23 M. Duggan M. Duggan D 5.70
15 M. Boxall M. Boxall 45' D 6.50
28 J. Díaz J. Díaz D 6.60
13 A. Markanich A. Markanich 83' M 6.50
20 W. Trapp W. Trapp M 6.90
30 O. Gene O. Gene 64' M 6.90
3 K. Duncan K. Duncan 64' M 6.30
26 J. Pereyra J. Pereyra F 7.20
9 K. Yeboah K. Yeboah F 6.20
10 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez 64' F 7.50
Bench
1 A. Smir A. Smir G
21 B. Hlongwane B. Hlongwane 29' F 6.30
2 D. Padelford D. Padelford D
27 D. Taylor D. Taylor D
29 Mamadou  Dieng Mamadou Dieng 10' F 6.30
18 M. Gonzalez M. Gonzalez F
5 N. Romero N. Romero 48' D 6.90
25 N. Triantis N. Triantis 29' D 6.60
8 T. Chancalay T. Chancalay 29' F 6.70
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 4-2-2-2
41 N. Defreitas N. Defreitas G 6.60
29 M. Navarro M. Navarro 1 ⚽ D 6.90
22 L. Herrington L. Herrington D 6.90
24 N. Cobb N. Cobb D 6.60
2 K. Rosenberry K. Rosenberry D 6.30
13 W. Frederick II W. Frederick II M 6.60
20 C. Ronan C. Ronan 64' M 6.90
99 J. Travis J. Travis 64' M 6.70
10 P. Aaronson P. Aaronson 1 👟 M 6.90
93 G. Minoungou G. Minoungou 81' F 6.70
9 Rafael Navarro Rafael Navarro F 7.60
Bench
31 A. Beaudry A. Beaudry G
16 A. Harris A. Harris F
11 Alexis Manyoma Alexis Manyoma M
15 Ali Fadal Ali Fadal M
7 D. Sealy D. Sealy 29' F 6.70
77 D. Yapi D. Yapi 3' F
19 I. Murphy I. Murphy D
33 K. Thompson K. Thompson 29' D 6.70
4 R. Cannon R. Cannon 12' D 6.50
Best on the pitch
Rafael Navarro
Rafael Navarro
F · Colorado
7.60
1 shots · 18 pass
J. Rodríguez
J. Rodríguez
F · Minnesota
7.50
1 shots · 41 pass
J. Pereyra
J. Pereyra
F · Minnesota
7.20
2 shots · 42 pass
P. Aaronson
P. Aaronson
M · Colorado
6.90
1 👟
3 shots · 23 pass
C. Ronan
C. Ronan
M · Colorado
6.90
· 48 pass
W. Trapp
W. Trapp
M · Minnesota
6.90
· 53 pass
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Callender G 93 6.70 — — — 24 15% — — —
M. Duggan D 93 5.70 — — — 66 51% — 1 —
M. Boxall D 45 6.50 — — — 25 25% 1 — —
J. Díaz D 93 6.60 — — 2 63 50% 3 1 —
A. Markanich M 83 6.50 — — 1 25 17% 1 — —
W. Trapp M 93 6.90 — — — 53 47% 3 1 —
O. Gene M 64 6.90 — — — 38 34% 3 — —
K. Duncan M 64 6.30 — — — 24 20% — — —
J. Pereyra F 93 7.20 — — 2 42 33% 1 — —
K. Yeboah F 93 6.20 — — 1 17 11% 1 1 —
J. Rodríguez F 64 7.50 — — 1 41 38% 1 — —
B. Hlongwane F 29 6.30 — — — 6 5% — — —
Mamadou Dieng F 10 6.30 — — — — — — — —
N. Romero D 48 6.90 — — — 27 26% 1 — —
N. Triantis D 29 6.60 — — — 18 15% — — —
T. Chancalay F 29 6.70 — — 1 10 8% — 1 —
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Defreitas G 93 6.60 — — — 34 24% — — —
M. Navarro D 93 6.90 1 — — 46 36% 2 — —
L. Herrington D 93 6.90 — — — 56 47% 2 — —
N. Cobb D 93 6.60 — — — 51 46% 1 — —
K. Rosenberry D 93 6.30 — — — 37 23% — — —
W. Frederick II M 93 6.60 — — — 27 21% 1 — —
C. Ronan M 64 6.90 — — — 48 40% — 1 —
J. Travis M 64 6.70 — — — 21 16% 3 1 —
P. Aaronson M 90 6.90 — 1 3 23 18% 4 — —
G. Minoungou F 81 6.70 — — — 16 12% — — —
Rafael Navarro F 93 7.60 — — 1 18 11% 3 1 —
D. Sealy F 29 6.70 — — — 9 7% — — —
D. Yapi F 3 — — — — 1 1% — — —
K. Thompson D 29 6.70 — — — 7 5% 1 1 —
R. Cannon D 12 6.50 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Minnesota United FC vs Colorado Rapids?
The final score was Minnesota United FC 0–1 Colorado Rapids.
What did the model predict before Minnesota United FC vs Colorado Rapids?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Minnesota United FC win, 25% to a draw, and 19% to an Colorado Rapids win.