MLS
· Regular Season - 13
May 14, 2026 02:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Minnesota United FC, result Colorado Rapids wins
26'
(ast. P. Aaronson)
M. Navarro
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 54% win probability (draw 25%, Colorado Rapids 19%). The final result was Minnesota United FC 0–1 Colorado Rapids.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
2
Shots on target
2
1.05
Actual xG
0.62
1
Saves
2
55%
Possession
45%
5
Corners
5
15
Tackles
18
5
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
M. Duggan
1'
K. Yeboah
21'
26'
ast. P. Aaronson ·
M. Navarro⚽
M. Boxall
/ N. Romero
46'
49'
C. Ronan
51'
J. Travis
J. Rodriguez
/ T. Chancalay
64'
O. Gene
/ N. Triantis
64'
K. Duncan
/ B. Hlongwane
64'
64'
D. Sealy
/
C. Ronan
64'
K. Thompson
/
J. Travis
69'
K. Thompson
J. Diaz
75'
81'
R. Cannon
/
G. Minoungou
T. Chancalay
82'
A. Markanich
/ M. Dieng
83'
W. Trapp
84'
85'
Rafael Navarro
90'
D. Yapi
/
P. Aaronson
Pre-match prediction
54.36%
Minnesota
25.85%
X
19.78%
Colorado ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Colorado Rapids)
19.78%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.77
1.05
-0.72
0.74
0.62
-0.12
Minnesota United FC dominated by xG (1.05 vs 0.62).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
D. Callender
G
D. Callender
G
23
M. Duggan
D
M. Duggan
D
15
M. Boxall
45'
D
M. Boxall
45'
D
28
J. Díaz
D
J. Díaz
D
13
A. Markanich
83'
M
A. Markanich
83'
M
20
W. Trapp
M
W. Trapp
M
30
O. Gene
64'
M
O. Gene
64'
M
3
K. Duncan
64'
M
K. Duncan
64'
M
26
J. Pereyra
F
J. Pereyra
F
9
K. Yeboah
F
K. Yeboah
F
10
J. Rodríguez
64'
F
J. Rodríguez
64'
F
Bench
1
A. Smir
G
A. Smir
G
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
29'
F
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
29'
F
27
D.J. Taylor
D
D.J. Taylor
D
2
D. Padelford
D
D. Padelford
D
29
Mamadou Dieng
10'
F
Mamadou Dieng
10'
F
18
M. Gonzalez
F
M. Gonzalez
F
5
N. Romero
48'
D
N. Romero
48'
D
25
N. Triantis
29'
D
N. Triantis
29'
D
8
T. Chancalay
29'
F
T. Chancalay
29'
F
41
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
G
29
M. Navarro
1 ⚽
D
M. Navarro
1 ⚽
D
22
L. Herrington
D
L. Herrington
D
24
N. Cobb
D
N. Cobb
D
2
K. Rosenberry
D
K. Rosenberry
D
13
W. Frederick II
M
W. Frederick II
M
20
C. Ronan
64'
M
C. Ronan
64'
M
99
J. Travis
64'
M
J. Travis
64'
M
10
P. Aaronson
1 👟
M
P. Aaronson
1 👟
M
93
G. Minoungou
81'
F
G. Minoungou
81'
F
9
Rafael Navarro
F
Rafael Navarro
F
Bench
31
A. Beaudry
G
A. Beaudry
G
16
A. Harris
F
A. Harris
F
11
Alexis Manyoma
M
Alexis Manyoma
M
15
Ali Fadal
M
Ali Fadal
M
7
D. Sealy
29'
F
D. Sealy
29'
F
77
D. Yapi
3'
F
D. Yapi
3'
F
19
I. Murphy
D
I. Murphy
D
33
K. Thompson
29'
D
K. Thompson
29'
D
4
R. Cannon
12'
D
R. Cannon
12'
D
Best on the pitch
Rafael Navarro
F · Colorado
7.60
1 shots
· 18 pass
J. Rodríguez
F · Minnesota
7.50
1 shots
· 41 pass
J. Pereyra
F · Minnesota
7.20
2 shots
· 42 pass
P. Aaronson
M · Colorado
6.90
1 👟
3 shots
· 23 pass
C. Ronan
M · Colorado
6.90
· 48 pass
W. Trapp
M · Minnesota
6.90
· 53 pass
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Callender | G | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| M. Duggan | D | 93 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 66 | 51% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Boxall | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Díaz | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 50% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Markanich | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Trapp | M | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 47% | 3 | 1 | — |
| O. Gene | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Duncan | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | F | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Yeboah | F | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Rodríguez | F | 64 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Romero | D | 48 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Triantis | D | 29 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
| T. Chancalay | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
Colorado Rapids — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen | G | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 24% | — | — | — |
| M. Navarro | D | 93 | 6.90 | 1 | — | — | 46 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Herrington | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Cobb | D | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Rosenberry | D | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 23% | — | — | — |
| W. Frederick II | M | 93 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Ronan | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 40% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Travis | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 3 | 1 | — |
| P. Aaronson | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 3 | 23 | 18% | 4 | — | — |
| G. Minoungou | F | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Navarro | F | 93 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 11% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Sealy | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| D. Yapi | F | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| K. Thompson | D | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Cannon | D | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Minnesota United FC vs Colorado Rapids?
The final score was Minnesota United FC 0–1 Colorado Rapids.
What did the model predict before Minnesota United FC vs Colorado Rapids?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Minnesota United FC win, 25% to a draw, and 19% to an Colorado Rapids win.