Kelvin Yeboah
(ast. Morris Duggan)
48'
Marcus Caldeira
(ast. Cherrion Valerius)
78'
18'
Lyle Foster
90'+2
(ast. Nick Markanich)
Duncan McGuire
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 45% win probability (draw 21%, Houston Dynamo 32%). The final result was Minnesota United FC 2–2 Houston Dynamo.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
15
6
Shots on target
6
1.23
Actual xG
1.68
4
Saves
4
46%
Possession
54%
2
Corners
5
15
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
18'
Lyle Foster⚽
⚽Kelvin Yeboah
· ast. Morris Duggan
48'
63'
Nick Markanich
/
Lyle Foster
63'
Franco Negri
/
Felipe·De Andrade Vieira
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
/ Marcus Caldeira
63'
Aziel Jackson
/ Mauricio González Carabalí
63'
Owen Gene
/ Nectarios Triantis
63'
Mauricio González Carabalí
66'
75'
Blake Gillingham
/
Jonathan Bond
⚽Marcus Caldeira
· ast. Cherrion Valerius
78'
Wil Trapp
82'
84'
Duane Holmes
/
Lawrence Ennali
84'
Matthew Arana
/
Diadie Samassekou
Tomás Chancalay
/ Carlos Harvey
88'
Cherrion Valerius
/ Kyle Duncan
88'
89'
Duncan McGuire
/
Agustín Bouzat
90'+2
ast. Nick Markanich ·
Duncan McGuire⚽
Kelvin Yeboah
/ Maurice Malone
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
45.88%
Minnesota
21.57%
X ←
32.55%
Houston
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.98
1.23
-0.75
1.68
1.68
+0.0
Houston Dynamo dominated by xG (1.68 vs 1.23).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
D. Callender
G
D. Callender
G
23
M. Duggan
1 👟
D
M. Duggan
1 👟
D
15
M. Boxall
D
M. Boxall
D
52
Cherrion Valerius
1 👟
88'
D
Cherrion Valerius
1 👟
88'
D
13
A. Markanich
M
A. Markanich
M
20
W. Trapp
M
W. Trapp
M
30
O. Gene
63'
M
O. Gene
63'
M
21
B. Hlongwane
63'
M
B. Hlongwane
63'
M
8
T. Chancalay
88'
F
T. Chancalay
88'
F
9
K. Yeboah
1 ⚽
F
K. Yeboah
1 ⚽
F
16
A. Jackson
63'
F
A. Jackson
63'
F
Bench
67
C. Harvey
2'
M
C. Harvey
2'
M
27
D. Taylor
D
D. Taylor
D
94
Kayne Rizvanovich
G
Kayne Rizvanovich
G
3
K. Duncan
2'
D
K. Duncan
2'
D
22
Marcus Caldeira
1 ⚽
27'
F
Marcus Caldeira
1 ⚽
27'
F
18
M. Gonzalez
27'
F
M. Gonzalez
27'
F
11
M. Malone
1'
F
M. Malone
1'
F
5
N. Romero
D
N. Romero
D
25
N. Triantis
27'
D
N. Triantis
27'
D
31
J. Bond
75'
G
J. Bond
75'
G
11
L. Ennali
84'
D
L. Ennali
84'
D
5
Lucas Halter
D
Lucas Halter
D
3
Antônio Carlos
D
Antônio Carlos
D
36
Felipe Andrade
63'
D
Felipe Andrade
63'
D
30
A. Bouzat
89'
M
A. Bouzat
89'
M
6
Artur
M
Artur
M
18
D. Samassékou
84'
M
D. Samassékou
84'
M
20
Guilherme
F
Guilherme
F
9
L. Foster
1 ⚽
63'
F
L. Foster
1 ⚽
63'
F
19
M. Bogusz
F
M. Bogusz
F
Bench
24
A. Ibrahim
F
A. Ibrahim
F
26
B. Gillingham
15'
G
B. Gillingham
15'
G
14
D. Holmes
6'
M
D. Holmes
6'
M
23
D. McGuire
1 ⚽
1'
F
D. McGuire
1 ⚽
1'
F
21
F. Negri
27'
D
F. Negri
27'
D
37
G. Rivera
M
G. Rivera
M
22
M. Arana
6'
M
M. Arana
6'
M
17
N. Markanich
1 👟
27'
F
N. Markanich
1 👟
27'
F
Best on the pitch
Marcus Caldeira
F · Minnesota
8.16
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 4 pass
D. McGuire
F · Houston
8.14
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 2 pass
K. Yeboah
F · Minnesota
8.06
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 20 pass
L. Foster
F · Houston
7.93
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 14 pass
M. Duggan
D · Minnesota
7.11
1 👟
1 shots
· 71 pass
N. Markanich
F · Houston
6.98
1 👟
2 shots
· 5 pass
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Callender | G | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Duggan | D | 90 | 7.11 | — | 1 | 1 | 71 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Boxall | D | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Cherrion Valerius | D | 88 | 6.77 | — | 1 | 0 | 39 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Markanich | M | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Trapp | M | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 3 | 62 | 57% | 0 | 1 | — |
| O. Gene | M | 63 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Hlongwane | M | 63 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Chancalay | F | 88 | 6.32 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 34% | 5 | — | — |
| K. Yeboah | F | 96 | 8.06 | 1 | — | 4 | 20 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Jackson | F | 63 | 6.27 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Harvey | M | 2 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Duncan | D | 2 | 6.11 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Marcus Caldeira | F | 27 | 8.16 | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Gonzalez | F | 27 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Malone | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Triantis | D | 27 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Houston Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bond | G | 75 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Ennali | D | 84 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Lucas Halter | D | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| Antônio Carlos | D | 90 | 6.54 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 63% | 0 | — | — |
| Felipe Andrade | D | 63 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Bouzat | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Artur | M | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 56% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Samassékou | M | 84 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| Guilherme | F | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 3 | 49 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Foster | F | 63 | 7.93 | 1 | — | 3 | 14 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Bogusz | F | 90 | 6.16 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Gillingham | G | 15 | 5.67 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Holmes | M | 6 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| D. McGuire | F | 1 | 8.14 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Negri | D | 27 | 6.37 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Arana | M | 6 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Markanich | F | 27 | 6.98 | — | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo?
The final score was Minnesota United FC 2–2 Houston Dynamo.
What did the model predict before Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Minnesota United FC win, 21% to a draw, and 32% to an Houston Dynamo win.