MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 25, 2026 22:45
9'
(ast. T. Tillman)
D. Martinez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Los Angeles FC 28%). The final result was Minnesota United FC 0–1 Los Angeles FC.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
7
1.88
Actual xG
0.80
6
Saves
4
62%
Possession
38%
11
Corners
2
20
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
9'
ast. T. Tillman ·
D. Martinez⚽
46'
R. Porteous
/
A. Long
52'
Timothy Tillman
Kelvin Yeboah
53'
59'
M. Choiniere
/
S. Eustaquio
60'
J. Ebobisse
/
D. Martinez
M. Dieng
/ T. Chancalay
62'
B. Hlongwane
/ K. Duncan
63'
J. Rodriguez
/ J. Pereyra
63'
N. Triantis
/ O. Gene
78'
W. Trapp
/ M. Gonzalez
78'
84'
J. Terry
/
N. Ordaz
86'
Ryan Hollingshead
90'+2
S. Palencia
/
A. Smolyakov
90'+5
Sergi Palencia
Pre-match prediction
43.88%
Minnesota
27.84%
X
28.28%
Los ←
we assigned to the actual result (Los Angeles FC)
28.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
1.88
+0.22
1.04
0.80
-0.24
Minnesota United FC dominated by xG (1.88 vs 0.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
G
2
D. Padelford
D
D. Padelford
D
23
M. Duggan
D
M. Duggan
D
28
J. Díaz
D
J. Díaz
D
13
A. Markanich
M
A. Markanich
M
20
W. Trapp
78'
M
W. Trapp
78'
M
25
Nectarios Triantis
78'
M
Nectarios Triantis
78'
M
21
B. Hlongwane
62'
M
B. Hlongwane
62'
M
10
J. Rodríguez
63'
F
J. Rodríguez
63'
F
9
K. Yeboah
F
K. Yeboah
F
29
Mamadou Dieng
63'
F
Mamadou Dieng
63'
F
Bench
1
Alec Smir
G
27
D. Taylor
D
D. Taylor
D
26
J. Pereyra
32'
M
J. Pereyra
32'
M
33
K. Chandler
D
K. Chandler
D
3
K. Duncan
33'
D
K. Duncan
33'
D
18
M. Gonzalez
17'
F
M. Gonzalez
17'
F
5
N. Romero
D
N. Romero
D
30
O. Gene
17'
M
O. Gene
17'
M
8
T. Chancalay
32'
F
T. Chancalay
32'
F
1
G
4
E. Segura
D
E. Segura
D
91
N. Tafari
D
N. Tafari
D
33
Aaron Long
45'
D
Aaron Long
45'
D
29
Artem Smoliakov
M
11
T. Tillman
1 👟
M
T. Tillman
1 👟
M
46
Stephen Eustaquio
59'
M
Stephen Eustaquio
59'
M
24
R. Hollingshead
M
R. Hollingshead
M
99
D. Bouanga
F
D. Bouanga
F
27
N. Ordaz
84'
F
N. Ordaz
84'
F
30
D. Martínez
1 ⚽
60'
F
D. Martínez
1 ⚽
60'
F
Bench
17
J. Ebobisse
35'
F
J. Ebobisse
35'
F
18
J. Shaffelburg
F
J. Shaffelburg
F
22
Jude Terry
11'
M
Jude Terry
11'
M
66
M. Choinière
36'
M
M. Choinière
36'
M
5
R. Porteous
50'
D
R. Porteous
50'
D
21
R. Raposo
M
R. Raposo
M
14
Sergi Palencia
3'
D
Sergi Palencia
3'
D
19
T. Boyd
F
T. Boyd
F
Best on the pitch
N. Tafari
D · Los
8.50
· 43 pass
D. Martínez
F · Los
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
T. Tillman
M · Los
7.90
1 👟
· 49 pass
J. Rodríguez
F · Minnesota
7.90
5 shots
· 58 pass
R. Porteous
D · Los
7.30
· 22 pass
Aaron Long
D · Los
7.30
· 23 pass
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| D. Padelford | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Duggan | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Díaz | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 80 | 73% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Markanich | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| W. Trapp | M | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 79 | 72% | 4 | — | — |
| Nectarios Triantis | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Hlongwane | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | F | 63 | 7.90 | — | — | 5 | 58 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Yeboah | F | 95 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | M | 32 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Duncan | D | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| M. Gonzalez | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Gene | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Chancalay | F | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
Los Angeles FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| E. Segura | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Tafari | D | 95 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Aaron Long | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Artem Smoliakov | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| T. Tillman | M | 95 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 49 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Stephen Eustaquio | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Hollingshead | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Bouanga | F | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| N. Ordaz | F | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Martínez | F | 60 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Ebobisse | F | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jude Terry | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Choinière | M | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Porteous | D | 50 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| Sergi Palencia | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC?
The final score was Minnesota United FC 0–1 Los Angeles FC.
What did the model predict before Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Minnesota United FC win, 27% to a draw, and 28% to an Los Angeles FC win.