MLS
· Regular Season - 10
April 25, 2026 22:45
9'
(ast. T. Tillman)
D. Martinez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 43% win probability (draw 27%, Los Angeles FC 28%). The final result was Minnesota United FC 0–1 Los Angeles FC.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
7
1.88
Actual xG
0.80
6
Saves
4
62%
Possession
38%
11
Corners
2
20
Tackles
22
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
9'
ast. T. Tillman ·
D. Martinez⚽
46'
R. Porteous
/
A. Long
52'
Timothy Tillman
Kelvin Yeboah
53'
59'
M. Choiniere
/
S. Eustaquio
60'
J. Ebobisse
/
D. Martinez
M. Dieng
/ T. Chancalay
62'
B. Hlongwane
/ K. Duncan
63'
J. Rodriguez
/ J. Pereyra
63'
N. Triantis
/ O. Gene
78'
W. Trapp
/ M. Gonzalez
78'
84'
J. Terry
/
N. Ordaz
86'
Ryan Hollingshead
90'+2
S. Palencia
/
A. Smolyakov
90'+5
Sergi Palencia
Pre-match prediction
43.88%
Minnesota
27.84%
X
28.28%
Los ←
we assigned to the actual result (Los Angeles FC)
28.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.66
1.88
+0.22
1.04
0.80
-0.24
Minnesota United FC dominated by xG (1.88 vs 0.80).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
12
G
2
Devin Padelford
D
Devin Padelford
D
23
Morris Duggan
D
Morris Duggan
D
28
Jefferson Díaz
D
Jefferson Díaz
D
13
Anthony Markanich
M
Anthony Markanich
M
20
Wil Trapp
78'
M
Wil Trapp
78'
M
25
Nectarios Triantis
78'
M
Nectarios Triantis
78'
M
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
62'
M
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
62'
M
10
J. Rodríguez
63'
F
J. Rodríguez
63'
F
9
Kelvin Yeboah
F
Kelvin Yeboah
F
29
Mamadou Dieng
63'
F
Mamadou Dieng
63'
F
Bench
1
Alec Smir
G
Alec Smir
G
27
D.J. Taylor
D
D.J. Taylor
D
26
Joaquín Pereyra
32'
M
Joaquín Pereyra
32'
M
33
Kieran Chandler
D
Kieran Chandler
D
3
Kyle Duncan
33'
D
Kyle Duncan
33'
D
18
Mauricio González
17'
F
Mauricio González
17'
F
5
Nicolás Romero
D
Nicolás Romero
D
30
Owen Gene
17'
M
Owen Gene
17'
M
8
Tomás Chancalay
32'
F
Tomás Chancalay
32'
F
1
G
4
Eddie Segura
D
Eddie Segura
D
91
Nkosi Tafari
D
Nkosi Tafari
D
33
Aaron Long
45'
D
Aaron Long
45'
D
29
Artem Smoliakov
M
Artem Smoliakov
M
11
T. Tillman
1 👟
M
T. Tillman
1 👟
M
46
Stephen Eustaquio
59'
M
Stephen Eustaquio
59'
M
24
Ryan Hollingshead
M
Ryan Hollingshead
M
99
Denis Bouanga
F
Denis Bouanga
F
27
Nathan Ordaz
84'
F
Nathan Ordaz
84'
F
30
David Martínez Morales
1 ⚽
60'
F
David Martínez Morales
1 ⚽
60'
F
Bench
18
Jacob Shaffelburg
F
Jacob Shaffelburg
F
17
Jeremy Ebobisse
35'
F
Jeremy Ebobisse
35'
F
22
Jude Terry
11'
M
Jude Terry
11'
M
66
Mathieu Choinière
36'
M
Mathieu Choinière
36'
M
5
R. Porteous
50'
D
R. Porteous
50'
D
21
Ryan Raposo
M
Ryan Raposo
M
14
Sergi Palencia
3'
D
Sergi Palencia
3'
D
19
Tyler Boyd
F
Tyler Boyd
F
Best on the pitch
Nkosi Tafari
D · Los
8.50
· 43 pass
David Martínez Morales
F · Los
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 25 pass
T. Tillman
M · Los
7.90
1 👟
· 49 pass
J. Rodríguez
F · Minnesota
7.90
5 shots
· 58 pass
R. Porteous
D · Los
7.30
· 22 pass
Aaron Long
D · Los
7.30
· 23 pass
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Devin Padelford | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Morris Duggan | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 61% | 2 | — | — |
| Jefferson Díaz | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 80 | 73% | 2 | — | — |
| Anthony Markanich | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Wil Trapp | M | 78 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 79 | 72% | 4 | — | — |
| Nectarios Triantis | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 56 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | M | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | F | 63 | 7.90 | — | — | 5 | 58 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| Kelvin Yeboah | F | 95 | 5.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Pereyra | M | 32 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Kyle Duncan | D | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Mauricio González | F | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Owen Gene | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Chancalay | F | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
Los Angeles FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Eddie Segura | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Nkosi Tafari | D | 95 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| Aaron Long | D | 45 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Artem Smoliakov | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| T. Tillman | M | 95 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 49 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Stephen Eustaquio | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Hollingshead | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Denis Bouanga | F | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 4 | 24 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Nathan Ordaz | F | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| David Martínez Morales | F | 60 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Jeremy Ebobisse | F | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Jude Terry | M | 11 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Mathieu Choinière | M | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Porteous | D | 50 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 4 | — | — |
| Sergi Palencia | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC?
The final score was Minnesota United FC 0–1 Los Angeles FC.
What did the model predict before Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Minnesota United FC win, 27% to a draw, and 28% to an Los Angeles FC win.