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MLS · Regular Season - 26 September 20, 2026 02:30
Minnesota United FC
#14 · 29 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Los Angeles Galaxy
#8 · 33 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Minnesota United FC, result Los Angeles Galaxy wins
M. Caldeira (ast. W. Trapp) 23'
K. Yeboah 28' (pen.)
12' P. Ruiz
76' (ast. M. Reus) Joao Klauss
80' (ast. Lucas Calegari) M. Reus
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 60% win probability (draw 18%, Los Angeles Galaxy 20%). The final result was Minnesota United FC 2–3 Los Angeles Galaxy. In 1 previous meetings, Minnesota United FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Los Angeles Galaxy.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
5
1.88
Actual xG
1.59
2
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
5
Corners
8
14
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
12'
P. Ruiz⚽
⚽M. Caldeira · ast. W. Trapp
23'
26'
R. Taylor
⚽K. Yeboah (pen.)
28'
60'
Joao Klauss / K. Furuhashi ↕
60'
M. Reus / H. Miller ↕
↕ K. Yeboah / T. Chancalay
67'
68'
J. Nelson / J. Aude ↕
69'
L. Sanabria / E. Thommy ↕
C. Harvey
69'
↕ M. Duggan / J. Diaz
73'
76'
ast. M. Reus · Joao Klauss⚽
80'
ast. Lucas Calegari · M. Reus⚽
↕ W. Trapp / N. Triantis
82'
↕ M. Caldeira / M. Malone
82'
90'+2
M. Yoshida / R. Taylor ↕
Pre-match prediction
60.83%
Minnesota
18.3%
X
20.87%
Los ←
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Los Angeles Galaxy) 20.87% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Minnesota
2.45
1.88
-0.57
Los
1.36
1.59
+0.23
xG dominance was balanced (1.88 – 1.59). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 25 49
2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 26 44
3 St. Louis City St. Louis City 26 44
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 26 44
5 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 26 42
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 27 41
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 26 36
8 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 27 33
9 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 26 32
10 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 25 32
11 San Diego San Diego 26 31
12 Austin Austin 26 30
13 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 26 29
14 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 26 29
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 25 18
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 3-4-1-2
12 Drake Callender Drake Callender G 6.60
5 Nicolás Romero Nicolás Romero D 6.70
23 Morris Duggan Morris Duggan 73' D 6.50
67 Carlos Harvey Carlos Harvey D 6.30
13 Anthony Markanich Anthony Markanich M 7.70
20 Wil Trapp Wil Trapp 1 👟 81' M 6.60
30 Owen Gene Owen Gene M 6.20
3 Kyle Duncan Kyle Duncan M 7.20
26 J. Pereyra J. Pereyra F 7.00
9 Kelvin Yeboah Kelvin Yeboah 1 ⚽ 66' F 7.60
22 Marcus Caldeira Marcus Caldeira 1 ⚽ 81' F 7.50
Bench
1 Alec Smir Alec Smir G
16 Aziel Jackson Aziel Jackson M
21 Bongokuhle Hlongwane Bongokuhle Hlongwane F
27 D.J. Taylor D.J. Taylor D
28 Jefferson Díaz Jefferson Díaz 22' D 6.20
11 Maurice Malone Maurice Malone 14' F 6.30
18 Mauricio González Mauricio González F
25 Nectarios Triantis Nectarios Triantis 14' D 6.90
8 Tomás Chancalay Tomás Chancalay 29' F 6.20
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 4-2-3-1
12 JT Marcinkowski JT Marcinkowski G 5.90
3 Julián Aude Julián Aude 68' D 6.50
15 Justin Haak Justin Haak D 7.00
5 Jakob Glesnes Jakob Glesnes D 5.90
2 Calegari Calegari 1 👟 D 6.60
17 P. Ruiz P. Ruiz 1 ⚽ M 7.90
27 Erik Thommy Erik Thommy 68' M 6.20
26 Harbor Miller Harbor Miller 59' M 6.30
11 Hirving Lozano Hirving Lozano M 6.90
21 Robert Taylor Robert Taylor M 6.20
7 Kyogo Furuhashi Kyogo Furuhashi 59' F 6.60
Bench
25 Carlos Garcés Carlos Garcés D
16 Isaiah Parente Isaiah Parente M
99 João Klauss João Klauss 1 ⚽ 36' F 8.20
14 John Nelson John Nelson 27' D 6.90
8 Lucas Sanabria Lucas Sanabria 27' M 6.60
18 Marco Reus Marco Reus 1 ⚽ 1 👟 36' M 8.20
4 Maya Yoshida Maya Yoshida 3' D
1 Novak Mićović Novak Mićović G
76 Troy Elgersma Troy Elgersma M
Best on the pitch
Marco Reus
Marco Reus
M · Los
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 18 pass
João Klauss
João Klauss
F · Los
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots · 8 pass
P. Ruiz
P. Ruiz
M · Los
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 82 pass
Anthony Markanich
Anthony Markanich
M · Minnesota
7.70
2 shots · 32 pass
Kelvin Yeboah
Kelvin Yeboah
F · Minnesota
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
Marcus Caldeira
Marcus Caldeira
F · Minnesota
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots · 12 pass
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Drake Callender G 95 6.60 — — — 29 15% — — —
Nicolás Romero D 95 6.70 — — — 37 33% 3 — —
Morris Duggan D 73 6.50 — — 1 38 33% 1 — —
Carlos Harvey D 95 6.30 — — — 39 32% 3 1 —
Anthony Markanich M 95 7.70 — — 2 32 22% 1 — —
Wil Trapp M 81 6.60 — 1 — 44 40% 1 — —
Owen Gene M 95 6.20 — — — 42 33% 1 — —
Kyle Duncan M 95 7.20 — — — 31 26% 1 — —
J. Pereyra F 95 7.00 — — 2 44 35% 1 — —
Kelvin Yeboah F 66 7.60 1 — 1 14 10% 2 — —
Marcus Caldeira F 81 7.50 1 — 2 12 10% — — —
Jefferson Díaz D 22 6.20 — — 1 15 14% — — —
Maurice Malone F 14 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Nectarios Triantis D 14 6.90 — — 1 8 6% — — —
Tomás Chancalay F 29 6.20 — — 1 9 5% — — —
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
JT Marcinkowski G 95 5.90 — — — 22 10% — — —
Julián Aude D 68 6.50 — — — 37 35% 2 — —
Justin Haak D 95 7.00 — — 1 61 57% 2 — —
Jakob Glesnes D 95 5.90 — — — 68 57% 1 — —
Calegari D 95 6.60 — 1 1 45 38% — — —
P. Ruiz M 95 7.90 1 — 1 82 73% 1 — —
Erik Thommy M 68 6.20 — — — 29 26% — — —
Harbor Miller M 59 6.30 — — 1 26 20% 1 — —
Hirving Lozano M 95 6.90 — — 1 38 32% 2 — —
Robert Taylor M 92 6.20 — — 3 46 34% 1 1 —
Kyogo Furuhashi F 59 6.60 — — 1 10 7% 1 — —
João Klauss F 36 8.20 1 — 4 8 2% — — —
John Nelson D 27 6.90 — — — 8 7% 1 — —
Lucas Sanabria M 27 6.60 — — — 9 8% 1 — —
Marco Reus M 36 8.20 1 1 1 18 17% — — —
Maya Yoshida D 3 — — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The final score was Minnesota United FC 2–3 Los Angeles Galaxy.
What did the model predict before Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Minnesota United FC win, 18% to a draw, and 20% to an Los Angeles Galaxy win.