MLS
· Regular Season - 26
September 20, 2026 02:30
✗Model wrong — prediction Minnesota United FC, result Los Angeles Galaxy wins
M. Caldeira
(ast. W. Trapp)
23'
K. Yeboah
28'
(pen.)
12'
P. Ruiz
76'
(ast. M. Reus)
Joao Klauss
80'
(ast. Lucas Calegari)
M. Reus
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 60% win probability (draw 18%, Los Angeles Galaxy 20%). The final result was Minnesota United FC 2–3 Los Angeles Galaxy. In 1 previous meetings, Minnesota United FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Los Angeles Galaxy.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
14
5
Shots on target
5
1.88
Actual xG
1.59
2
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
5
Corners
8
14
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
12'
P. Ruiz⚽
⚽M. Caldeira
· ast. W. Trapp
23'
26'
R. Taylor
⚽K. Yeboah
(pen.)
28'
60'
Joao Klauss
/
K. Furuhashi
60'
M. Reus
/
H. Miller
K. Yeboah
/ T. Chancalay
67'
68'
J. Nelson
/
J. Aude
69'
L. Sanabria
/
E. Thommy
C. Harvey
69'
M. Duggan
/ J. Diaz
73'
76'
ast. M. Reus ·
Joao Klauss⚽
80'
ast. Lucas Calegari ·
M. Reus⚽
W. Trapp
/ N. Triantis
82'
M. Caldeira
/ M. Malone
82'
90'+2
M. Yoshida
/
R. Taylor
Pre-match prediction
60.83%
Minnesota
18.3%
X
20.87%
Los ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Los Angeles Galaxy)
20.87%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.45
1.88
-0.57
1.36
1.59
+0.23
xG dominance was balanced (1.88 – 1.59).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
D. Callender
G
D. Callender
G
5
N. Romero
D
N. Romero
D
23
M. Duggan
73'
D
M. Duggan
73'
D
67
C. Harvey
D
C. Harvey
D
13
A. Markanich
M
A. Markanich
M
20
W. Trapp
1 👟
81'
M
W. Trapp
1 👟
81'
M
30
O. Gene
M
O. Gene
M
3
K. Duncan
M
K. Duncan
M
26
J. Pereyra
F
J. Pereyra
F
9
K. Yeboah
1 ⚽
66'
F
K. Yeboah
1 ⚽
66'
F
22
Marcus Caldeira
1 ⚽
81'
F
Marcus Caldeira
1 ⚽
81'
F
Bench
16
A. Jackson
M
A. Jackson
M
1
A. Smir
G
A. Smir
G
21
B. Hlongwane
F
B. Hlongwane
F
27
D. Taylor
D
D. Taylor
D
28
J. Díaz
22'
D
J. Díaz
22'
D
18
M. Gonzalez
F
M. Gonzalez
F
11
M. Malone
14'
F
M. Malone
14'
F
25
N. Triantis
14'
D
N. Triantis
14'
D
8
T. Chancalay
29'
F
T. Chancalay
29'
F
12
J. Marcinkowski
G
J. Marcinkowski
G
3
J. Aude
68'
D
J. Aude
68'
D
15
J. Haak
D
J. Haak
D
5
J. Glesnes
D
J. Glesnes
D
2
Calegari
1 👟
D
Calegari
1 👟
D
17
P. Ruiz
1 ⚽
M
P. Ruiz
1 ⚽
M
27
E. Thommy
68'
M
E. Thommy
68'
M
26
Harbor Miller
59'
M
Harbor Miller
59'
M
11
H. Lozano
M
H. Lozano
M
21
R. Taylor
M
R. Taylor
M
7
K. Furuhashi
59'
F
K. Furuhashi
59'
F
Bench
25
C. Garcés
D
C. Garcés
D
16
Isaiah Parente
M
Isaiah Parente
M
14
J. Nelson
27'
D
J. Nelson
27'
D
99
João Klauss
1 ⚽
36'
F
João Klauss
1 ⚽
36'
F
8
L. Sanabria
27'
M
L. Sanabria
27'
M
18
M. Reus
1 ⚽
1 👟
36'
M
M. Reus
1 ⚽
1 👟
36'
M
4
M. Yoshida
3'
D
M. Yoshida
3'
D
1
N. Mićović
G
N. Mićović
G
76
T. Elgersma
M
T. Elgersma
M
Best on the pitch
M. Reus
M · Los
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 18 pass
João Klauss
F · Los
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 8 pass
P. Ruiz
M · Los
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 82 pass
A. Markanich
M · Minnesota
7.70
2 shots
· 32 pass
K. Yeboah
F · Minnesota
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Marcus Caldeira
F · Minnesota
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Callender | G | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 15% | — | — | — |
| N. Romero | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 33% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Duggan | D | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Harvey | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 32% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Markanich | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Trapp | M | 81 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 44 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Gene | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Duncan | M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | F | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Yeboah | F | 66 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcus Caldeira | F | 81 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Díaz | D | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Malone | F | 14 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Triantis | D | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| T. Chancalay | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
Los Angeles Galaxy — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Marcinkowski | G | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Aude | D | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Haak | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 57% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Glesnes | D | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Calegari | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 45 | 38% | — | — | — |
| P. Ruiz | M | 95 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 82 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Thommy | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Harbor Miller | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Lozano | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Taylor | M | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 46 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Furuhashi | F | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Nelson | D | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| João Klauss | F | 36 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 8 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Sanabria | M | 27 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Reus | M | 36 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Yoshida | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The final score was Minnesota United FC 2–3 Los Angeles Galaxy.
What did the model predict before Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles Galaxy?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Minnesota United FC win, 18% to a draw, and 20% to an Los Angeles Galaxy win.