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MLS · Regular Season - 22 August 30, 2026 02:30
Minnesota United FC
#14 · 29 pts
3 – 3
Final score
Orlando City SC
#7 · 34 pts
M. Caldeira (ast. K. Yeboah) 71'
A. Markanich (ast. J. Pereyra) 74'
K. Yeboah 76'
28' D. Dike
64' (ast. J. Ellis) A. Griezmann
90'+3 (ast. A. Griezmann) T. Spicer
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 57% win probability (draw 20%, Orlando City SC 22%). The final result was Minnesota United FC 3–3 Orlando City SC.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
5
9
Shots on target
5
3.64
Actual xG
1.09
2
Saves
6
44%
Possession
56%
8
Corners
1
15
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
28'
D. Dike⚽
A. Markanich
32'
↕ D. Callender / A. Smir
46'
54'
A. Griezmann
59'
H. Sarajian / D. Dike ↕
59'
Luis Otavio / J. Gerbet ↕
64'
ast. J. Ellis · A. Griezmann⚽
M. Boxall
66'
⚽M. Caldeira · ast. K. Yeboah
71'
↕ M. Caldeira / N. Triantis
72'
↕ W. Trapp / M. Gonzalez
72'
73'
T. Spicer / J. Ellis ↕
⚽A. Markanich · ast. J. Pereyra
74'
⚽K. Yeboah
76'
81'
M. Ojeda / Z. Taifi ↕
81'
M. Pasalic / E. Atuesta ↕
↕ K. Yeboah / T. Chancalay
85'
90'+2
M. Pasalic
↕ J. Pereyra / C. Harvey
90'+2
90'+3
ast. A. Griezmann · T. Spicer⚽
Pre-match prediction
57.81%
Minnesota
20.12%
X ←
22.07%
Orlando
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 20.12% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Minnesota
2.23
3.64
+1.41
Orlando
1.27
1.09
-0.18
Minnesota United FC dominated by xG (3.64 vs 1.09). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 25 49
2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 26 44
3 St. Louis City St. Louis City 26 44
4 FC Dallas FC Dallas 26 44
5 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 26 42
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 27 41
7 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 26 36
8 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 27 33
9 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 26 32
10 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 25 32
11 San Diego San Diego 26 31
12 Austin Austin 26 30
13 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 26 29
14 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 26 29
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 25 18
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 3-4-1-2
12 Drake Callender Drake Callender 45' G 6.70
23 Morris Duggan Morris Duggan D 6.70
15 M. Boxall M. Boxall D 6.30
28 Jefferson Díaz Jefferson Díaz D 6.60
13 Anthony Markanich Anthony Markanich 1 ⚽ M 7.30
20 Wil Trapp Wil Trapp 72' M 6.70
30 Owen Gene Owen Gene M 7.00
3 Kyle Duncan Kyle Duncan M 6.90
26 J. Pereyra J. Pereyra 1 👟 89' F 8.20
9 Kelvin Yeboah Kelvin Yeboah 1 ⚽ 1 👟 85' F 7.70
22 Marcus Caldeira Marcus Caldeira 1 ⚽ 72' F 6.60
Bench
1 Alec Smir Alec Smir 45' G 6.60
16 Aziel Jackson Aziel Jackson M
67 Carlos Harvey Carlos Harvey 1' M
2 Devin Padelford Devin Padelford D
29 Mamadou Dieng Mamadou Dieng F
18 Mauricio González Mauricio González 18' F 6.70
25 Nectarios Triantis Nectarios Triantis 18' D 6.20
5 Nicolás Romero Nicolás Romero D
8 Tomás Chancalay Tomás Chancalay 13' F 6.30
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC 4-4-2
71 Maxime Crépeau Maxime Crépeau G 7.50
19 Zakaria Taifi Zakaria Taifi 81' D 5.90
6 Robin Jansson Robin Jansson D 6.00
4 David Brekalo David Brekalo D 6.30
24 G. Dorsey G. Dorsey D 6.70
77 Iván Angulo Iván Angulo M 6.90
35 Joran Gerbet Joran Gerbet 59' M 6.90
20 Eduard Atuesta Eduard Atuesta 81' M 6.30
22 Justin Ellis Justin Ellis 1 👟 73' M 6.90
7 A. Griezmann A. Griezmann 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.70
9 Daryl Dike Daryl Dike 1 ⚽ 59' F 7.30
Bench
23 Harvey Sarajian Harvey Sarajian 31' F 6.30
57 Iago Iago D
12 Javier Otero Javier Otero G
5 Luis Otávio Luis Otávio 31' M 6.90
87 Marco Pašalić Marco Pašalić 9' F 6.20
10 Martín Ojeda Martín Ojeda 9' M 6.30
11 Tiago Souza Tiago Souza F
14 T. Spicer T. Spicer 1 ⚽ 17' F 7.50
16 W. Cartagena W. Cartagena M
Best on the pitch
A. Griezmann
A. Griezmann
F · Orlando
8.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 57 pass
J. Pereyra
J. Pereyra
F · Minnesota
8.20
1 👟
3 shots · 46 pass
Kelvin Yeboah
Kelvin Yeboah
F · Minnesota
7.70
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 15 pass
T. Spicer
T. Spicer
F · Orlando
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
Maxime Crépeau
Maxime Crépeau
G · Orlando
7.50
· 35 pass
Daryl Dike
Daryl Dike
F · Orlando
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Drake Callender G 45 6.70 — — — 13 12% — — —
Morris Duggan D 90 6.70 — — — 50 44% 3 — —
M. Boxall D 90 6.30 — — — 29 27% 2 1 —
Jefferson Díaz D 90 6.60 — — 1 54 51% 1 — —
Anthony Markanich M 90 7.30 1 — 4 26 20% 1 1 —
Wil Trapp M 72 6.70 — — — 40 36% 1 — —
Owen Gene M 90 7.00 — — — 48 44% — — —
Kyle Duncan M 90 6.90 — — 1 37 32% 2 — —
J. Pereyra F 89 8.20 — 1 3 46 38% 3 — —
Kelvin Yeboah F 85 7.70 1 1 4 15 11% 2 — —
Marcus Caldeira F 72 6.60 1 — 2 17 10% — — —
Alec Smir G 45 6.60 — — — 12 7% — — —
Carlos Harvey M 1 — — — 1 4 3% — — —
Mauricio González F 18 6.70 — — 1 4 4% — — —
Nectarios Triantis D 18 6.20 — — — 9 8% — — —
Tomás Chancalay F 13 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Maxime Crépeau G 90 7.50 — — — 35 20% — — —
Zakaria Taifi D 81 5.90 — — — 26 20% 1 — —
Robin Jansson D 90 6.00 — — — 61 55% — — —
David Brekalo D 90 6.30 — — — 56 48% 1 — —
G. Dorsey D 90 6.70 — — — 32 29% 3 — —
Iván Angulo M 90 6.90 — — — 69 58% 5 — —
Joran Gerbet M 59 6.90 — — — 52 50% 2 — —
Eduard Atuesta M 81 6.30 — — — 60 50% 2 — —
Justin Ellis M 73 6.90 — 1 — 55 48% — — —
A. Griezmann F 90 8.70 1 1 2 57 46% — 1 —
Daryl Dike F 59 7.30 1 — 1 15 10% — — —
Harvey Sarajian F 31 6.30 — — — 9 8% 1 — —
Luis Otávio M 31 6.90 — — — 16 15% 1 — —
Marco Pašalić F 9 6.20 — — — 8 5% — 1 —
Martín Ojeda M 9 6.30 — — 1 9 9% — — —
T. Spicer F 17 7.50 1 — 1 9 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC?
The final score was Minnesota United FC 3–3 Orlando City SC.
What did the model predict before Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Minnesota United FC win, 20% to a draw, and 22% to an Orlando City SC win.