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MLS · Regular Season - 8 April 19, 2026 02:30
Minnesota United FC
#14 · 29 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Portland Timbers
#10 · 32 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Minnesota United FC
T. Chancalay (ast. J. Diaz) 16'
K. Yeboah (ast. T. Chancalay) 60'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 53% win probability (draw 23%, Portland Timbers 22%). The final result was Minnesota United FC 2–0 Portland Timbers. In 1 previous meetings, Minnesota United FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Portland Timbers.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
2
2.37
Actual xG
1.54
2
Saves
5
44%
Possession
56%
3
Corners
4
23
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽T. Chancalay · ast. J. Diaz
16'
T. Chancalay
26'
55'
K. Kelsy / F. Mora ↕
⚽K. Yeboah · ast. T. Chancalay
60'
66'
A. Aravena / Antony ↕
↕ N. Romero / D. Padelford
66'
N. Triantis
73'
↕ O. Gene / W. Trapp
74'
↕ T. Chancalay / M. Gonzalez
74'
80'
A. Lassiter / A. Bonetig ↕
↕ J. Pereyra / J. Rodriguez
90'
↕ K. Yeboah / M. Dieng
90'
Pre-match prediction
53.13%
Minnesota ←
23.91%
X
22.96%
Portland
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Minnesota United FC) 53.13% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Minnesota
3.05
2.37
-0.68
Portland
1.05
1.54
+0.49
Minnesota United FC dominated by xG (2.37 vs 1.54). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 26 50
2 St. Louis City St. Louis City 27 47
3 FC Dallas FC Dallas 27 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 27 45
5 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 27 44
6 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 28 41
7 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 27 38
8 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 27 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 28 36
10 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 27 32
11 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 27 32
12 San Diego San Diego 27 32
13 Austin Austin 27 31
14 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 27 29
15 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 27 21
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC 3-4-2-1
12
G 7.30
5 N. Romero N. Romero 66' D 7.30
23 M. Duggan M. Duggan D 7.00
28 J. Díaz J. Díaz 1 👟 D 7.50
13 A. Markanich A. Markanich M 6.50
30 O. Gene O. Gene 74' M 7.60
25 Nectarios Triantis Nectarios Triantis M 7.90
3 K. Duncan K. Duncan M 7.20
8 T. Chancalay T. Chancalay 1 ⚽ 1 👟 74' F 8.90
26 J. Pereyra J. Pereyra 89' F 6.90
9 K. Yeboah K. Yeboah 1 ⚽ 89' F 7.70
Bench
1
Alec Smir G
21 B. Hlongwane B. Hlongwane F
2 D. Padelford D. Padelford 24' D 6.90
27 D. Taylor D. Taylor D
10 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez 1' M
33 K. Chandler K. Chandler D
29 Mamadou Dieng Mamadou Dieng 1' F
18 M. Gonzalez M. Gonzalez 16' F 6.30
20 W. Trapp W. Trapp 16' M 6.90
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 4-2-3-1
41
G 6.70
27 J. Fory J. Fory D 7.20
6 A. Bonetig A. Bonetig 80' D 6.50
20 Finn Surman Finn Surman D 7.70
5
D 6.50
30
M 6.50
17 C. Bassett C. Bassett M 6.70
11 Antony Antony 66' M 6.00
10 David Pereira da Costa David Pereira da Costa M 6.70
99 K. Velde K. Velde M 6.30
9 F. Mora F. Mora 55' F 6.50
Bench
28 A. Aravena A. Aravena 24' F 7.20
21 D. Chará D. Chará M
23 Ian Smith Ian Smith D
80 J. Ortiz J. Ortiz M
19 Kevin Kelsy Kevin Kelsy 35' F 6.50
Best on the pitch
T. Chancalay
T. Chancalay
F · Minnesota
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 39 pass
Nectarios Triantis
Nectarios Triantis
M · Minnesota
7.90
1 shots · 50 pass
Finn Surman
Finn Surman
D · Portland
7.70
· 54 pass
K. Yeboah
K. Yeboah
F · Minnesota
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 26 pass
O. Gene
O. Gene
M · Minnesota
7.60
1 shots · 42 pass
J. Díaz
J. Díaz
D · Minnesota
7.50
1 👟
· 45 pass
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.30 — — — 23 13% — — —
N. Romero D 66 7.30 — — 1 27 23% 1 — —
M. Duggan D 90 7.00 — — — 33 31% — — —
J. Díaz D 90 7.50 — 1 — 45 40% 6 — —
A. Markanich M 90 6.50 — — 1 30 21% 3 — —
O. Gene M 74 7.60 — — 1 42 36% 6 — —
Nectarios Triantis M 90 7.90 — — 1 50 41% 4 1 —
K. Duncan M 90 7.20 — — — 44 40% 1 — —
T. Chancalay F 74 8.90 1 1 1 39 35% 1 1 —
J. Pereyra F 89 6.90 — — 3 53 46% — — —
K. Yeboah F 89 7.70 1 — 2 26 18% 1 — —
D. Padelford D 24 6.90 — — — 7 5% — — —
J. Rodríguez M 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Mamadou Dieng F 1 — — — — 2 2% — — —
M. Gonzalez F 16 6.30 — — 2 8 7% — — —
W. Trapp M 16 6.90 — — — 7 6% — — —
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 29 18% — — —
J. Fory D 90 7.20 — — — 64 58% 5 — —
A. Bonetig D 80 6.50 — — — 44 42% 2 — —
Finn Surman D 90 7.70 — — — 54 50% 5 — —
D 90 6.50 — — — 28 19% — — —
M 90 6.50 — — 1 97 85% 1 — —
C. Bassett M 90 6.70 — — 2 70 66% 2 — —
Antony M 66 6.00 — — — 37 30% — — —
David Pereira da Costa M 90 6.70 — — 2 52 46% 3 — —
K. Velde M 90 6.30 — — 3 37 30% 1 — —
F. Mora F 55 6.50 — — 1 14 12% — — —
A. Aravena F 24 7.20 — — 1 12 10% — — —
Kevin Kelsy F 35 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Minnesota United FC vs Portland Timbers?
The final score was Minnesota United FC 2–0 Portland Timbers.
What did the model predict before Minnesota United FC vs Portland Timbers?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Minnesota United FC win, 23% to a draw, and 22% to an Portland Timbers win.