MLS
· Regular Season - 15
May 23, 2026 22:30
M. Gonzalez
(ast. J. Pereyra)
90'+3
22'
(ast. Z. Gozo)
Z. Booth
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 46% win probability (draw 24%, Real Salt Lake 29%). The final result was Minnesota United FC 1–1 Real Salt Lake. In 1 previous meetings, Minnesota United FC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Real Salt Lake.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
5
1
Shots on target
1
0.86
Actual xG
0.33
57%
Possession
43%
6
Corners
3
15
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
22'
ast. Z. Gozo ·
Z. Booth⚽
29'
D. Yedlin
45'+4
60'
Lineker Rodrigues
/
A. Hezarkhani
61'
P. Quinton
/
D. Yedlin
K. Duncan
/ B. Hlongwane
65'
75'
N. Caliskan
N. Triantis
/ W. Trapp
77'
A. Markanich
/ M. Gonzalez
77'
79'
V. Olatunji
/
Z. Booth
O. Gene
/ D. Fitz
83'
M. Dieng
/ M. Caldeira
83'
87'
S. Junqua
/
L. Engel
87'
G. Dillon
/
S. Spierings
⚽M. Gonzalez
· ast. J. Pereyra
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
46.11%
Minnesota
24.54%
X ←
29.34%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
0.86
-0.9
1.34
0.33
-1.01
Minnesota United FC dominated by xG (0.86 vs 0.33).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
D. Callender
G
D. Callender
G
23
M. Duggan
D
M. Duggan
D
15
M. Boxall
D
M. Boxall
D
28
J. Díaz
D
J. Díaz
D
13
A. Markanich
77'
M
A. Markanich
77'
M
30
O. Gene
83'
M
O. Gene
83'
M
25
N. Triantis
77'
M
N. Triantis
77'
M
3
K. Duncan
65'
M
K. Duncan
65'
M
8
T. Chancalay
F
T. Chancalay
F
29
Mamadou Dieng
83'
F
Mamadou Dieng
83'
F
26
J. Pereyra
1 👟
F
J. Pereyra
1 👟
F
Bench
1
A. Smir
G
A. Smir
G
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
33'
F
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
33'
F
67
C. Harvey
M
C. Harvey
M
7
Dominik Fitz
15'
M
Dominik Fitz
15'
M
2
D. Padelford
D
D. Padelford
D
22
Marcus Caldeira
15'
F
Marcus Caldeira
15'
F
18
M. Gonzalez
1 ⚽
21'
F
M. Gonzalez
1 ⚽
21'
F
5
N. Romero
D
N. Romero
D
20
W. Trapp
21'
M
W. Trapp
21'
M
1
Rafael Cabral
G
Rafael Cabral
G
4
L. Engel
87'
D
L. Engel
87'
D
15
Justen Glad
D
Justen Glad
D
2
D. Yedlin
61'
D
D. Yedlin
61'
D
8
J. Sanabria
M
J. Sanabria
M
6
Stijn Spierings
87'
M
Stijn Spierings
87'
M
92
N. Caliskan
M
N. Caliskan
M
23
Zach Booth
1 ⚽
79'
M
Zach Booth
1 ⚽
79'
M
39
A. Hezarkhani
60'
F
A. Hezarkhani
60'
F
72
Z. Gozo
1 👟
F
Z. Gozo
1 👟
F
22
S. Solans
F
S. Solans
F
Bench
38
Antonio Riquelme
M
Antonio Riquelme
M
11
Dominik Marczuk
F
Dominik Marczuk
F
27
Griffin Dillon
11'
M
Griffin Dillon
11'
M
21
J. Arias
D
J. Arias
D
70
Lineker Rodrigues
38'
F
Lineker Rodrigues
38'
F
24
Max Kerkvliet
G
Max Kerkvliet
G
26
P. Quinton
37'
D
P. Quinton
37'
D
29
Sam Junqua
11'
D
Sam Junqua
11'
D
17
Victor Olatunji
19'
F
Victor Olatunji
19'
F
Best on the pitch
Zach Booth
M · Real
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
M. Gonzalez
F · Minnesota
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Stijn Spierings
M · Real
7.60
· 31 pass
J. Pereyra
F · Minnesota
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 41 pass
N. Caliskan
M · Real
7.30
· 46 pass
L. Engel
D · Real
7.20
· 48 pass
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Callender | G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Duggan | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Boxall | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
| J. Díaz | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Markanich | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Gene | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Triantis | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Duncan | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Chancalay | F | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 51 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | F | 98 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 41 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Dominik Fitz | M | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Marcus Caldeira | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Gonzalez | F | 21 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| W. Trapp | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Cabral | G | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 29% | — | — | — |
| L. Engel | D | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Justen Glad | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Yedlin | D | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Sanabria | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Stijn Spierings | M | 87 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| N. Caliskan | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Zach Booth | M | 79 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Hezarkhani | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Gozo | F | 98 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Solans | F | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Griffin Dillon | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Lineker Rodrigues | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| P. Quinton | D | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Sam Junqua | D | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Victor Olatunji | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Minnesota United FC vs Real Salt Lake?
The final score was Minnesota United FC 1–1 Real Salt Lake.
What did the model predict before Minnesota United FC vs Real Salt Lake?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Minnesota United FC win, 24% to a draw, and 29% to an Real Salt Lake win.