MLS
· Regular Season - 15
May 23, 2026 22:30
M. Gonzalez
(ast. J. Pereyra)
90'+3
22'
(ast. Z. Gozo)
Z. Booth
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 46% win probability (draw 24%, Real Salt Lake 29%). The final result was Minnesota United FC 1–1 Real Salt Lake.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
5
1
Shots on target
1
0.86
Actual xG
0.33
57%
Possession
43%
6
Corners
3
15
Tackles
21
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
22'
ast. Z. Gozo ·
Z. Booth⚽
29'
D. Yedlin
45'+4
60'
Lineker Rodrigues
/
A. Hezarkhani
61'
P. Quinton
/
D. Yedlin
K. Duncan
/ B. Hlongwane
65'
75'
N. Caliskan
N. Triantis
/ W. Trapp
77'
A. Markanich
/ M. Gonzalez
77'
79'
V. Olatunji
/
Z. Booth
O. Gene
/ D. Fitz
83'
M. Dieng
/ M. Caldeira
83'
87'
S. Junqua
/
L. Engel
87'
G. Dillon
/
S. Spierings
⚽M. Gonzalez
· ast. J. Pereyra
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
46.11%
Minnesota
24.54%
X ←
29.34%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.76
0.86
-0.9
1.34
0.33
-1.01
Minnesota United FC dominated by xG (0.86 vs 0.33).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
Drake Callender
G
Drake Callender
G
23
Morris Duggan
D
Morris Duggan
D
15
Michael Boxall
D
Michael Boxall
D
28
Jefferson Díaz
D
Jefferson Díaz
D
13
Anthony Markanich
77'
M
Anthony Markanich
77'
M
30
Owen Gene
83'
M
Owen Gene
83'
M
25
Nectarios Triantis
77'
M
Nectarios Triantis
77'
M
3
Kyle Duncan
65'
M
Kyle Duncan
65'
M
8
Tomás Chancalay
F
Tomás Chancalay
F
29
Mamadou Dieng
83'
F
Mamadou Dieng
83'
F
26
Joaquín Pereyra
1 👟
F
Joaquín Pereyra
1 👟
F
Bench
1
Alec Smir
G
Alec Smir
G
21
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
33'
F
Bongokuhle Hlongwane
33'
F
67
Carlos Harvey
M
Carlos Harvey
M
2
Devin Padelford
D
Devin Padelford
D
7
Dominik Fitz
15'
M
Dominik Fitz
15'
M
22
Marcus Caldeira
15'
F
Marcus Caldeira
15'
F
18
Mauricio González
1 ⚽
21'
F
Mauricio González
1 ⚽
21'
F
5
Nicolás Romero
D
Nicolás Romero
D
20
Wil Trapp
21'
M
Wil Trapp
21'
M
1
Rafael Cabral
G
Rafael Cabral
G
4
Lukas Engel
87'
D
Lukas Engel
87'
D
15
Justen Glad
D
Justen Glad
D
2
DeAndre Yedlin
61'
D
DeAndre Yedlin
61'
D
8
Juan Sanabria
M
Juan Sanabria
M
6
Stijn Spierings
87'
M
Stijn Spierings
87'
M
92
Noel Caliskan
M
Noel Caliskan
M
23
Zach Booth
1 ⚽
79'
M
Zach Booth
1 ⚽
79'
M
39
Aiden Hezarkhani
60'
F
Aiden Hezarkhani
60'
F
72
Zavier Gozo
1 👟
F
Zavier Gozo
1 👟
F
22
Sergi Solans
F
Sergi Solans
F
Bench
38
Antonio Riquelme
M
Antonio Riquelme
M
11
Dominik Marczuk
F
Dominik Marczuk
F
27
Griffin Dillon
11'
M
Griffin Dillon
11'
M
21
Juan Jose Arias
D
Juan Jose Arias
D
70
Lineker Rodrigues
38'
F
Lineker Rodrigues
38'
F
24
Max Kerkvliet
G
Max Kerkvliet
G
26
Philip Quinton
37'
D
Philip Quinton
37'
D
29
Sam Junqua
11'
D
Sam Junqua
11'
D
17
Victor Olatunji
19'
F
Victor Olatunji
19'
F
Best on the pitch
Zach Booth
M · Real
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 14 pass
Mauricio González
F · Minnesota
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Stijn Spierings
M · Real
7.60
· 31 pass
Joaquín Pereyra
F · Minnesota
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 41 pass
Noel Caliskan
M · Real
7.30
· 46 pass
Lukas Engel
D · Real
7.20
· 48 pass
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Callender | G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Morris Duggan | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| Michael Boxall | D | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 38 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Díaz | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Anthony Markanich | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Owen Gene | M | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| Nectarios Triantis | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Kyle Duncan | M | 65 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Chancalay | F | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 51 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Joaquín Pereyra | F | 98 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 41 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Dominik Fitz | M | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Marcus Caldeira | F | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Mauricio González | F | 21 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Wil Trapp | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
Real Salt Lake — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael Cabral | G | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 29% | — | — | — |
| Lukas Engel | D | 87 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Justen Glad | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| DeAndre Yedlin | D | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Juan Sanabria | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Stijn Spierings | M | 87 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 27% | 5 | — | — |
| Noel Caliskan | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Zach Booth | M | 79 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Aiden Hezarkhani | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Zavier Gozo | F | 98 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 24 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| Sergi Solans | F | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Griffin Dillon | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Lineker Rodrigues | F | 38 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Philip Quinton | D | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Sam Junqua | D | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Victor Olatunji | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Minnesota United FC vs Real Salt Lake?
The final score was Minnesota United FC 1–1 Real Salt Lake.
What did the model predict before Minnesota United FC vs Real Salt Lake?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Minnesota United FC win, 24% to a draw, and 29% to an Real Salt Lake win.