MLS
· Regular Season - 18
August 02, 2026 02:30
T. Chancalay
(ast. W. Trapp)
3'
(pen.)
64'
A. Dreyer
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Minnesota United FC a 49% win probability (draw 25%, San Diego 25%). The final result was Minnesota United FC 1–1 San Diego. In 1 previous meetings, Minnesota United FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for San Diego.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
8
Shots on target
2
0.92
Actual xG
1.47
1
Saves
7
32%
Possession
68%
8
Corners
4
16
Tackles
23
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽T. Chancalay
· ast. W. Trapp
3'
60'
L. Bombino
/
K. Sargeant
60'
A. Mighten
/
D. Vazquez
61'
Gabriel Pirani
/
A. Alvarado Jr
64'
(pen.)
A. Dreyer⚽
64'
A. Dreyer
D. Callender
64'
A. Markanich
/ D. Padelford
65'
M. Dieng
/ K. Yeboah
65'
T. Chancalay
/ M. Gonzalez
80'
K. Duncan
/ B. Hlongwane
80'
83'
A. Godoy
/
O. Valakari
Pre-match prediction
49.05%
Minnesota
25.16%
X ←
25.78%
San
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.16%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.46
0.92
-0.54
0.97
1.47
+0.5
San Diego dominated by xG (1.47 vs 0.92).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
D. Callender
G
D. Callender
G
13
A. Markanich
65'
D
A. Markanich
65'
D
23
M. Duggan
D
M. Duggan
D
15
M. Boxall
D
M. Boxall
D
28
J. Díaz
D
J. Díaz
D
3
K. Duncan
80'
D
K. Duncan
80'
D
8
T. Chancalay
1 ⚽
80'
M
T. Chancalay
1 ⚽
80'
M
30
O. Gene
M
O. Gene
M
20
W. Trapp
1 👟
M
W. Trapp
1 👟
M
26
J. Pereyra
M
J. Pereyra
M
29
Mamadou Dieng
65'
F
Mamadou Dieng
65'
F
Bench
1
A. Smir
G
A. Smir
G
21
B. Hlongwane
17'
F
B. Hlongwane
17'
F
67
C. Harvey
M
C. Harvey
M
7
D. Fitz
M
D. Fitz
M
2
D. Padelford
32'
D
D. Padelford
32'
D
24
J. Gressel
M
J. Gressel
M
9
K. Yeboah
32'
F
K. Yeboah
32'
F
22
Marcus Caldeira
F
Marcus Caldeira
F
18
M. Gonzalez
17'
F
M. Gonzalez
17'
F
1
C. dos Santos
G
C. dos Santos
G
5
Kieran Sargeant
60'
D
Kieran Sargeant
60'
D
26
M. Duah
D
M. Duah
D
97
C. McVey
D
C. McVey
D
3
D. Þórhallsson
D
D. Þórhallsson
D
8
O. Valakari
83'
M
O. Valakari
83'
M
6
J. Tverskov
M
J. Tverskov
M
70
A. Alvarado
60'
M
A. Alvarado
60'
M
19
D. Vazquez
61'
F
D. Vazquez
61'
F
7
M. Ingvartsen
F
M. Ingvartsen
F
10
A. Dreyer
1 ⚽
F
A. Dreyer
1 ⚽
F
Bench
20
A. Godoy
14'
M
A. Godoy
14'
M
77
A. Mighten
36'
F
A. Mighten
36'
F
14
B. B. Zamble
F
B. B. Zamble
F
18
D. Ferree
G
D. Ferree
G
12
Gabriel Pirani
37'
M
Gabriel Pirani
37'
M
25
I. Pilcher
D
I. Pilcher
D
27
L. Bombino
37'
D
L. Bombino
37'
D
9
L. Morgan
F
L. Morgan
F
33
O. Verhoeven
D
O. Verhoeven
D
Best on the pitch
C. dos Santos
G · San
8.90
· 22 pass
C. McVey
D · San
7.70
· 122 pass
J. Pereyra
M · Minnesota
7.70
4 shots
· 34 pass
J. Tverskov
M · San
7.60
· 114 pass
M. Duah
D · San
7.30
· 127 pass
W. Trapp
M · Minnesota
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 40 pass
Minnesota United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Callender | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Markanich | D | 65 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Duggan | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Boxall | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 27% | — | — | — |
| J. Díaz | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Duncan | D | 80 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Chancalay | M | 80 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 35 | 24% | — | — | — |
| O. Gene | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Trapp | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 40 | 36% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | M | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | 4 | 34 | 29% | 3 | — | — |
| Mamadou Dieng | F | 65 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| B. Hlongwane | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | — | — | — |
| D. Padelford | D | 32 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Yeboah | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Gonzalez | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
San Diego — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. dos Santos | G | 97 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Kieran Sargeant | D | 60 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| M. Duah | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 127 | 117% | 1 | — | — |
| C. McVey | D | 97 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 122 | 116% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Þórhallsson | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Valakari | M | 83 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 37% | 5 | — | — |
| J. Tverskov | M | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 114 | 104% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Alvarado | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 62 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Vazquez | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Ingvartsen | F | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 4 | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Dreyer | F | 97 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 50 | 39% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Godoy | M | 14 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Mighten | F | 36 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Gabriel Pirani | M | 37 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Bombino | D | 37 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Minnesota United FC vs San Diego?
The final score was Minnesota United FC 1–1 San Diego.
What did the model predict before Minnesota United FC vs San Diego?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Minnesota United FC win, 25% to a draw, and 25% to an San Diego win.