Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 3
April 30, 2026 00:00
Eduardo
(ast. Alesson)
10'
Alesson
(ast. Carlos Eduardo)
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mirassol a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Always Ready 26%). The final result was Mirassol 2–0 Always Ready. In 1 previous meetings, Mirassol have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Always Ready.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
1.45
Actual xG
0.35
3
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
7
Corners
6
14
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Eduardo
· ast. Alesson
10'
35'
Fernando Saucedo
35'
Carlitos Rodriguez
/
Yhormar Hurtado
Alesson
36'
38'
Richet Gomez
46'
Fernando Nava
/
Rai Lima
46'
Dieguito Rodriguez
/
Marcelo Suárez
Igor Formiga
56'
Igor Formiga
/ Daniel Borges
60'
Shaylon
/ Carlos Eduardo
60'
61'
Carlitos Rodriguez
68'
Juan Godoy
/
Fernando Saucedo
Eduardo
/ Denilson
72'
André Luis
/ Nathan Fogaça
72'
João Victor
75'
Walter
78'
José Aldo
/ Rodrigues
78'
⚽Alesson
· ast. Carlos Eduardo
80'
Denilson
82'
82'
Máximo Mamani
/
Carlitos Rodriguez
Pre-match prediction
46.09%
Mirassol ←
27.51%
X
26.4%
Always
we assigned to the actual result (Mirassol)
46.09%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.47
1.45
-0.02
1.07
0.35
-0.72
Mirassol dominated by xG (1.45 vs 0.35).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Walter
G
Walter
G
6
Reinaldo
D
Reinaldo
D
3
D
34
João Victor
75'
D
João Victor
75'
D
32
Igor Formiga
60'
D
Igor Formiga
60'
D
21
José Aldo
78'
M
José Aldo
78'
M
25
Neto Moura
M
Neto Moura
M
77
Alesson
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Alesson
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
33
Eduardo
1 ⚽
72'
M
Eduardo
1 ⚽
72'
M
7
Shaylon
60'
M
Shaylon
60'
M
99
André Luís
72'
F
André Luís
72'
F
Bench
27
A. Galeano
F
A. Galeano
F
23
Alex Muralha
G
Alex Muralha
G
96
Carlos Eduardo
1 👟
30'
F
Carlos Eduardo
1 👟
30'
F
8
Denilson
18'
M
Denilson
18'
M
95
Edson
F
Edson
F
26
L. Mugni
M
L. Mugni
M
9
Nathan Fogaça
18'
F
Nathan Fogaça
18'
F
12
Victor Luís
D
Victor Luís
D
1
G
5
Marcelo Suárez
45'
D
Marcelo Suárez
45'
D
21
A. Rambal
D
A. Rambal
D
22
Richet Gomez
D
27
Y. Hurtado
35'
D
Y. Hurtado
35'
D
13
H. Cuellar
M
H. Cuellar
M
10
M
6
Rai Lima
45'
M
20
F. Saucedo
68'
M
F. Saucedo
68'
M
7
J. Amoroso
M
J. Amoroso
M
9
E. Triverio
F
E. Triverio
F
Bench
18
C. Rodriguez
47'
D
C. Rodriguez
47'
D
17
Fernando Nava
45'
F
23
J. Godoy
22'
F
J. Godoy
22'
F
26
M. Mamani
8'
M
M. Mamani
8'
M
Best on the pitch
Alesson
M · Mirassol
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 24 pass
Neto Moura
M · Mirassol
7.90
· 48 pass
Walter
G · Mirassol
7.30
· 18 pass
D · Mirassol
7.30
1 shots
· 43 pass
José Aldo
M · Mirassol
7.30
· 48 pass
M · Always
7.30
2 shots
· 34 pass
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 33% | 1 | — | — | |
| João Victor | D | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | — | — | 1 |
| Igor Formiga | D | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| José Aldo | M | 78 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Neto Moura | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| Alesson | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Eduardo | M | 72 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| André Luís | F | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 30 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nathan Fogaça | F | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
Always Ready — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Marcelo Suárez | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Rambal | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Richet Gomez | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. Hurtado | D | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| H. Cuellar | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 30% | 2 | — | — | |
| Rai Lima | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Saucedo | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Amoroso | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Triverio | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Rodriguez | D | 47 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fernando Nava | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Godoy | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Mamani | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mirassol vs Always Ready?
The final score was Mirassol 2–0 Always Ready.
What did the model predict before Mirassol vs Always Ready?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Mirassol win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Always Ready win.