Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 3
April 30, 2026 00:00
Eduardo
(ast. Alesson)
10'
Alesson
(ast. Carlos Eduardo)
80'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mirassol a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Always Ready 26%). The final result was Mirassol 2–0 Always Ready. In 1 previous meetings, Mirassol have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Always Ready.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
1.45
Actual xG
0.35
3
Saves
2
47%
Possession
53%
7
Corners
6
14
Tackles
19
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Eduardo
· ast. Alesson
10'
35'
Fernando Saucedo
35'
Carlitos Rodriguez
/
Yhormar Hurtado
Alesson
36'
38'
Richet Gomez
46'
Fernando Nava
/
Rai Lima
46'
Dieguito Rodriguez
/
Marcelo Suárez
Igor Formiga
56'
Igor Formiga
/ Daniel Borges
60'
Shaylon
/ Carlos Eduardo
60'
61'
Carlitos Rodriguez
68'
Juan Godoy
/
Fernando Saucedo
Eduardo
/ Denilson
72'
André Luis
/ Nathan Fogaça
72'
João Victor
75'
Walter
78'
José Aldo
/ Rodrigues
78'
⚽Alesson
· ast. Carlos Eduardo
80'
Denilson
82'
82'
Máximo Mamani
/
Carlitos Rodriguez
Pre-match prediction
46.09%
Mirassol ←
27.51%
X
26.4%
Always
we assigned to the actual result (Mirassol)
46.09%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.47
1.45
-0.02
1.07
0.35
-0.72
Mirassol dominated by xG (1.45 vs 0.35).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Walter
G
Walter
G
6
Reinaldo
D
Reinaldo
D
3
D
34
João Victor
75'
D
João Victor
75'
D
32
Igor Formiga
60'
D
Igor Formiga
60'
D
21
José Aldo
78'
M
José Aldo
78'
M
25
Neto Moura
M
Neto Moura
M
77
Alesson
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
Alesson
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
33
Eduardo
1 ⚽
72'
M
Eduardo
1 ⚽
72'
M
7
Shaylon
60'
M
Shaylon
60'
M
99
André Luis
72'
F
André Luis
72'
F
Bench
23
Alex Muralha
G
Alex Muralha
G
27
Antonio Galeano
F
Antonio Galeano
F
96
Carlos Eduardo
1 👟
30'
F
Carlos Eduardo
1 👟
30'
F
8
Denilson
18'
M
Denilson
18'
M
95
Edson Carioca
F
Edson Carioca
F
26
Lucas Mugni
M
Lucas Mugni
M
9
Nathan Fogaça
18'
F
Nathan Fogaça
18'
F
12
Victor Luis
D
Victor Luis
D
1
G
5
Marcelo Suárez
45'
D
Marcelo Suárez
45'
D
21
Alex Rambal
D
Alex Rambal
D
22
Richet Gomez
D
Richet Gomez
D
27
Y. D. Hurtado Torres
35'
D
13
H. Cuellar
M
H. Cuellar
M
10
M
6
Rai Lima
45'
M
Rai Lima
45'
M
20
F. Saucedo
68'
M
F. Saucedo
68'
M
7
Joel Amoroso
M
Joel Amoroso
M
9
E. Triverio
F
E. Triverio
F
Bench
18
Carlitos Rodriguez
47'
D
Carlitos Rodriguez
47'
D
17
F. Nava
45'
F
F. Nava
45'
F
23
Juan Godoy
22'
F
Juan Godoy
22'
F
26
Máximo Mamani
8'
M
Máximo Mamani
8'
M
Best on the pitch
Alesson
M · Mirassol
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 24 pass
Neto Moura
M · Mirassol
7.90
· 48 pass
Walter
G · Mirassol
7.30
· 18 pass
D · Mirassol
7.30
1 shots
· 43 pass
José Aldo
M · Mirassol
7.30
· 48 pass
M · Always
7.30
2 shots
· 34 pass
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 33% | 1 | — | — | |
| João Victor | D | 75 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | — | — | 1 |
| Igor Formiga | D | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| José Aldo | M | 78 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| Neto Moura | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| Alesson | M | 90 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Eduardo | M | 72 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | 60 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| André Luis | F | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 30 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nathan Fogaça | F | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
Always Ready — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Marcelo Suárez | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Alex Rambal | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Richet Gomez | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Y. D. Hurtado Torres | D | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 4 | — | — |
| H. Cuellar | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 30% | 2 | — | — | |
| Rai Lima | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Saucedo | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | — | 1 | — |
| Joel Amoroso | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Triverio | F | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlitos Rodriguez | D | 47 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | 1 | — |
| F. Nava | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Godoy | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Máximo Mamani | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mirassol vs Always Ready?
The final score was Mirassol 2–0 Always Ready.
What did the model predict before Mirassol vs Always Ready?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Mirassol win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Always Ready win.