Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 15
May 10, 2026 23:30
Eduardo
(ast. Willian Machado)
71'
(og)
81'
Joao Victor
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mirassol a 53% win probability (draw 25%, Chapecoense-sc 20%). The final result was Mirassol 1–1 Chapecoense-sc.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
4
1.13
Actual xG
0.42
4
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
8
Corners
1
12
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
Andre Luis
/ Everton Galdino
13'
18'
Bruno Pacheco
32'
Victor Caetano
32'
Everton
Igor Formiga
/ Daniel Borges
39'
Carlos Eduardo
/ Nathan Fogaca
46'
54'
Mauricio Garcez
/
Marcinho
Shaylon
/ A. Galeano
66'
Denilson
/ Eduardo
66'
66'
Y. Bolasie
70'
Rafael Carvalheira
/
Joao Vitor
71'
Giovanni Augusto
/
Y. Bolasie
⚽Eduardo
· ast. Willian Machado
71'
Jose Aldo
74'
79'
Italo
/
Enio
79'
Jean Carlos
/
Victor Caetano
81'
(og)
Joao Victor⚽
90'+7
Joao Paulo
Pre-match prediction
53.84%
Mirassol
25.99%
X ←
20.16%
Chapecoense-sc
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.99%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.52
1.13
-0.4
0.70
0.42
-0.28
Mirassol dominated by xG (1.13 vs 0.42).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
Walter
G
Walter
G
6
Reinaldo
D
Reinaldo
D
3
Willian Machado
1 👟
D
Willian Machado
1 👟
D
34
João Victor
1 ⚽
D
João Victor
1 ⚽
D
32
Igor Formiga
39'
D
Igor Formiga
39'
D
8
Denilson
66'
M
Denilson
66'
M
21
José Aldo
M
José Aldo
M
77
Alesson
M
Alesson
M
7
Shaylon
66'
M
Shaylon
66'
M
96
Carlos Eduardo
45'
M
Carlos Eduardo
45'
M
99
André Luis
13'
F
André Luis
13'
F
Bench
23
Alex Muralha
G
Alex Muralha
G
27
Antonio Galeano
32'
F
Antonio Galeano
32'
F
10
Chico
M
Chico
M
20
Daniel Borges
59'
D
Daniel Borges
59'
D
33
Eduardo
1 ⚽
32'
M
Eduardo
1 ⚽
32'
M
17
Everton Galdino
85'
F
Everton Galdino
85'
F
2
Lucas Oliveira
D
Lucas Oliveira
D
9
Nathan Fogaça
53'
F
Nathan Fogaça
53'
F
97
Rodrigues
D
Rodrigues
D
29
Tiquinho Soares
F
Tiquinho Soares
F
12
Victor Luis
D
Victor Luis
D
5
Yuri
M
Yuri
M
98
Anderson
G
Anderson
G
4
João Paulo
D
João Paulo
D
3
Eduardo Doma
D
Eduardo Doma
D
25
Victor Caetano
79'
D
Victor Caetano
79'
D
91
Bruno Pacheco
M
Bruno Pacheco
M
27
Camilo
M
Camilo
M
5
João Vitor
70'
M
João Vitor
70'
M
26
Everton
M
Everton
M
7
Marcinho
54'
F
Marcinho
54'
F
11
Yannick Bolasie
71'
F
Yannick Bolasie
71'
F
97
Ênio
79'
F
Ênio
79'
F
Bench
10
Giovanni Augusto
27'
M
Giovanni Augusto
27'
M
22
Higor Meritão
M
Higor Meritão
M
77
Italo
19'
F
20
Jean Carlos
19'
M
Jean Carlos
19'
M
2
Marcos Vinícius
D
Marcos Vinícius
D
31
Maurício Garcez
44'
F
Maurício Garcez
44'
F
99
Rafael Carvalheira
28'
F
Rafael Carvalheira
28'
F
1
Rafael Santos
G
Rafael Santos
G
17
Vinicius Balieiro
M
Vinicius Balieiro
M
35
Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida
D
Vinícius Eduardo de Almeida
D
37
Walter Clar
D
Walter Clar
D
Best on the pitch
Eduardo Doma
D · Chapecoense-sc
7.70
1 shots
· 44 pass
Reinaldo
D · Mirassol
7.50
5 shots
· 52 pass
Willian Machado
D · Mirassol
7.50
1 👟
· 65 pass
Eduardo
M · Mirassol
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
Denilson
M · Mirassol
7.30
· 43 pass
José Aldo
M · Mirassol
7.30
3 shots
· 79 pass
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | — | 5 | 52 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Willian Machado | D | 98 | 7.50 | — | 1 | — | 65 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 98 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 75 | 70% | — | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 39 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 66 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| José Aldo | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 79 | 63% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alesson | M | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| André Luis | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| Antonio Galeano | F | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Borges | D | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 32 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Everton Galdino | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 19 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Fogaça | F | 53 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson | G | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — |
| João Paulo | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | 1 | — |
| Eduardo Doma | D | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Caetano | D | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | — | 1 | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Camilo | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 44% | — | — | — |
| João Vitor | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Everton | M | 98 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 16% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Marcinho | F | 54 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Yannick Bolasie | F | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Ênio | F | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Giovanni Augusto | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Italo | F | 19 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jean Carlos | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Maurício Garcez | F | 44 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Carvalheira | F | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc?
The final score was Mirassol 1–1 Chapecoense-sc.
What did the model predict before Mirassol vs Chapecoense-sc?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Mirassol win, 25% to a draw, and 20% to an Chapecoense-sc win.