Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 14
May 04, 2026 01:30
Carlos Eduardo
23'
(pen.)
Edson Carioca
(ast. Carlos Eduardo)
33'
80'
(ast. Z. Labyad)
Dieguinho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mirassol a 46% win probability (draw 30%, Corinthians 23%). The final result was Mirassol 2–1 Corinthians.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
3
0.99
Actual xG
0.39
2
Saves
3
39%
Possession
61%
1
Corners
5
8
Tackles
11
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Edson Carioca
15'
⚽Carlos Eduardo
(pen.)
23'
⚽Edson Carioca
· ast. Carlos Eduardo
33'
38'
Allan
Denilson
/ Yuri Lara
62'
Carlos Eduardo
/ A. Galeano
62'
62'
Kaio Cesar
/
J. Lingard
Edson Carioca
/ Andre Luis
71'
74'
Dieguinho
/
M. Pereira
74'
Z. Labyad
/
R. Garro
74'
Pedro Raul
/
Yuri Alberto
A. Galeano
76'
Neto Moura
78'
80'
ast. Z. Labyad ·
Dieguinho⚽
81'
Alex Santana
/
Breno Bidon
Shaylon
/ Eduardo
86'
Victor Luis
/ Rodrigues
87'
Walter
87'
Andre Luis
90'+4
90'+4
Gabriel Paulista
Pre-match prediction
46.18%
Mirassol ←
30.28%
X
23.54%
Corinthians
we assigned to the actual result (Mirassol)
46.18%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.23
0.99
-0.24
0.59
0.39
-0.2
Mirassol dominated by xG (0.99 vs 0.39).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
Walter
G
Walter
G
12
Victor Luís
87'
D
Victor Luís
87'
D
3
D
34
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
32
Igor Formiga
D
Igor Formiga
D
8
Denilson
62'
M
Denilson
62'
M
25
Neto Moura
M
Neto Moura
M
77
Alesson
M
Alesson
M
7
Shaylon
86'
M
Shaylon
86'
M
96
Carlos Eduardo
1 ⚽
1 👟
62'
M
Carlos Eduardo
1 ⚽
1 👟
62'
M
95
Edson
1 ⚽
71'
F
Edson
1 ⚽
71'
F
Bench
27
A. Galeano
36'
F
A. Galeano
36'
F
23
Alex Muralha
G
Alex Muralha
G
99
André Luís
27'
F
André Luís
27'
F
33
Eduardo
12'
M
Eduardo
12'
M
17
Everton Galdino
F
Everton Galdino
F
26
L. Mugni
M
L. Mugni
M
9
Nathan Fogaça
F
Nathan Fogaça
F
1
G
21
Matheus Bidu
D
Matheus Bidu
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
5
André Ramalho
D
André Ramalho
D
14
Raniele
D
Raniele
D
29
Allan
M
Allan
M
23
Matheus Pereira
74'
M
Matheus Pereira
74'
M
77
J. Lingard
62'
M
J. Lingard
62'
M
8
R. Garro
74'
M
R. Garro
74'
M
7
Breno Bidon
81'
M
Breno Bidon
81'
M
9
Yuri Alberto
74'
F
Yuri Alberto
74'
F
Bench
61
Dieguinho
1 ⚽
24'
M
Dieguinho
1 ⚽
24'
M
51
Kauê Camargo
G
Kauê Camargo
G
20
P. Milans
D
P. Milans
D
Best on the pitch
Carlos Eduardo
M · Mirassol
8.20
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 14 pass
Dieguinho
M · Corinthians
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
Edson
F · Mirassol
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
Neto Moura
M · Mirassol
7.00
1 shots
· 50 pass
Matheus Pereira
M · Corinthians
6.90
· 45 pass
Alesson
M · Mirassol
6.90
2 shots
· 26 pass
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Victor Luís | D | 87 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | — | — | — |
| D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | — | — | — | |
| João Victor | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Neto Moura | M | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 42% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alesson | M | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | M | 62 | 8.20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Edson | F | 71 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Galeano | F | 36 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | 1 | — |
| André Luís | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Eduardo | M | 12 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| Matheus Bidu | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 98 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 76 | 67% | 1 | 1 | — |
| André Ramalho | D | 98 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 86 | 77% | — | — | — |
| Raniele | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 50% | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 60 | 55% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Lingard | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Garro | M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 81 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | 24 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mirassol vs Corinthians?
The final score was Mirassol 2–1 Corinthians.
What did the model predict before Mirassol vs Corinthians?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Mirassol win, 30% to a draw, and 23% to an Corinthians win.