Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 7
March 19, 2026 01:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mirassol a 34% win probability (draw 31%, Coritiba 34%). The final result was Mirassol 0–1 Coritiba.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
4
1.56
Actual xG
1.07
69%
Possession
31%
7
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
34.79%
Mirassol
31.21%
X
34.0%
Coritiba ←
we assigned to the actual result (Coritiba)
34.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.28
1.56
+0.28
1.22
1.07
-0.15
Mirassol dominated by xG (1.56 vs 1.07).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mirassol vs Coritiba?
The final score was Mirassol 0–1 Coritiba.
What did the model predict before Mirassol vs Coritiba?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Mirassol win, 31% to a draw, and 34% to an Coritiba win.