Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 23
August 16, 2026 23:30
Joao Victor
(ast. Reinaldo)
77'
22'
(ast. G. Plata)
J. Carrascal
53'
(ast. J. Carrascal)
Luiz Araujo
56'
(ast. Ayrton Lucas)
Pedro
66'
(ast. J. Carrascal)
Pedro
74'
(ast. G. de Arrascaeta)
Samuel Lino
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 40% win probability (draw 30%, Mirassol 29%). The final result was Mirassol 1–5 Flamengo. In 1 previous meetings, Mirassol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Flamengo.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
8
1.10
Actual xG
2.40
3
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
3
12
Tackles
24
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
Edson Carioca
/ Alesson
17'
22'
ast. G. Plata ·
J. Carrascal⚽
Denilson
45'+3
Wallisson
/ Eduardo
46'
G. Cazonatti
51'
53'
ast. J. Carrascal ·
Luiz Araujo⚽
Denilson
/ Japa
54'
G. Cazonatti
/ Neto Moura
54'
56'
ast. Ayrton Lucas ·
Pedro⚽
63'
Samuel Lino
/
Luiz Araujo
63'
Evertton Araujo
/
E. Pulgar
63'
Jorginho
/
G. Plata
66'
ast. J. Carrascal ·
Pedro⚽
69'
J. Goes
/
Ayrton Lucas
Fernandinho
/ Gustavo Silva
69'
74'
G. de Arrascaeta
/
Lucas Paqueta
74'
ast. G. de Arrascaeta ·
Samuel Lino⚽
⚽Joao Victor
· ast. Reinaldo
77'
Neto Moura
85'
Pre-match prediction
29.4%
Mirassol
30.26%
X
40.35%
Flamengo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Flamengo)
40.35%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.85
1.10
+0.25
1.05
2.40
+1.35
Flamengo dominated by xG (2.40 vs 1.10).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Walter
89'
G
Walter
89'
G
6
Reinaldo
1 👟
89'
D
Reinaldo
1 👟
89'
D
3
Willian Machado
89'
D
Willian Machado
89'
D
34
João Victor
1 ⚽
89'
D
João Victor
1 ⚽
89'
D
32
Igor Formiga
89'
D
Igor Formiga
89'
D
80
Wallisson
45'
M
Wallisson
45'
M
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
54'
M
Gustavo Cazonatti
54'
M
17
Fernandinho
69'
M
Fernandinho
69'
M
8
Denilson
54'
M
Denilson
54'
M
95
Edson
17'
M
Edson
17'
M
30
Bruno Santos
89'
F
Bruno Santos
89'
F
Bench
77
Alesson
72'
F
Alesson
72'
F
23
Alex Muralha
G
Alex Muralha
G
9
André Luís
F
André Luís
F
10
Chico
M
Chico
M
33
Eduardo
44'
M
Eduardo
44'
M
18
Elias
D
Elias
D
44
Gabriel
D
Gabriel
D
19
Gustavo Silva
20'
M
Gustavo Silva
20'
M
5
Japa
35'
M
Japa
35'
M
2
Lucas Oliveira
D
Lucas Oliveira
D
25
Neto Moura
35'
M
Neto Moura
35'
M
12
Victor Luís
D
Victor Luís
D
1
A. Rossi
89'
G
A. Rossi
89'
G
6
Ayrton Lucas
1 👟
69'
D
Ayrton Lucas
1 👟
69'
D
4
Léo Pereira
89'
D
Léo Pereira
89'
D
13
Danilo
89'
D
Danilo
89'
D
2
G. Varela
89'
D
G. Varela
89'
D
20
Lucas Paquetá
74'
M
Lucas Paquetá
74'
M
5
E. Pulgar
63'
M
E. Pulgar
63'
M
19
G. Plata
1 👟
63'
M
G. Plata
1 👟
63'
M
15
J. Carrascal
1 ⚽
2 👟
89'
M
J. Carrascal
1 ⚽
2 👟
89'
M
7
Luiz Araújo
1 ⚽
63'
M
Luiz Araújo
1 ⚽
63'
M
9
Pedro
2 ⚽
89'
F
Pedro
2 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
42
Andrew
G
Andrew
G
49
Dyogo
G
Dyogo
G
22
Emerson Royal
D
Emerson Royal
D
52
Evertton Araújo
26'
M
Evertton Araújo
26'
M
10
G. de Arrascaeta
1 👟
15'
M
G. de Arrascaeta
1 👟
15'
M
77
Johnny Góes
20'
D
Johnny Góes
20'
D
21
Jorginho
26'
M
Jorginho
26'
M
3
Léo Ortiz
D
Léo Ortiz
D
99
Lorran
M
Lorran
M
16
Samuel Lino
1 ⚽
26'
M
Samuel Lino
1 ⚽
26'
M
8
Saúl
M
Saúl
M
64
Wallace
F
Wallace
F
Best on the pitch
J. Carrascal
M · Flamengo
8.60
1 ⚽ 2 👟
3 shots
· 42 pass
Lucas Paquetá
M · Flamengo
8.20
1 shots
· 51 pass
Pedro
F · Flamengo
8.00
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 22 pass
Ayrton Lucas
D · Flamengo
7.90
1 👟
· 31 pass
Luiz Araújo
M · Flamengo
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 15 pass
Samuel Lino
M · Flamengo
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 89 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 35 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Willian Machado | D | 89 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 89 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 89 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 52 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Wallisson | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 54 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fernandinho | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 54 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Edson | M | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Santos | F | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Alesson | F | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 44 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 21 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Silva | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Japa | M | 35 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Neto Moura | M | 35 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
Flamengo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rossi | G | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Ayrton Lucas | D | 69 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| Léo Pereira | D | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 70 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| Danilo | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Varela | D | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Paquetá | M | 74 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 47% | 5 | — | — |
| E. Pulgar | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 36% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Plata | M | 63 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Carrascal | M | 89 | 8.60 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Luiz Araújo | M | 63 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro | F | 89 | 8.00 | 2 | — | 3 | 22 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Evertton Araújo | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| G. de Arrascaeta | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Johnny Góes | D | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Jorginho | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Lino | M | 26 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mirassol vs Flamengo?
The final score was Mirassol 1–5 Flamengo.
What did the model predict before Mirassol vs Flamengo?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Mirassol win, 30% to a draw, and 40% to an Flamengo win.