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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 23 August 16, 2026 23:30
Mirassol
#16 · 37 pts
1 – 5
Final score
Flamengo
#1 · 73 pts
Joao Victor (ast. Reinaldo) 77'
22' (ast. G. Plata) J. Carrascal
53' (ast. J. Carrascal) Luiz Araujo
56' (ast. Ayrton Lucas) Pedro
66' (ast. J. Carrascal) Pedro
74' (ast. G. de Arrascaeta) Samuel Lino
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Flamengo a 40% win probability (draw 30%, Mirassol 29%). The final result was Mirassol 1–5 Flamengo. In 1 previous meetings, Mirassol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Flamengo.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
8
1.10
Actual xG
2.40
3
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
4
Corners
3
12
Tackles
24
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
↕ Edson Carioca / Alesson
17'
22'
ast. G. Plata · J. Carrascal⚽
Denilson
45'+3
↕ Wallisson / Eduardo
46'
G. Cazonatti
51'
53'
ast. J. Carrascal · Luiz Araujo⚽
↕ Denilson / Japa
54'
↕ G. Cazonatti / Neto Moura
54'
56'
ast. Ayrton Lucas · Pedro⚽
63'
Samuel Lino / Luiz Araujo ↕
63'
Evertton Araujo / E. Pulgar ↕
63'
Jorginho / G. Plata ↕
66'
ast. J. Carrascal · Pedro⚽
69'
J. Goes / Ayrton Lucas ↕
↕ Fernandinho / Gustavo Silva
69'
74'
G. de Arrascaeta / Lucas Paqueta ↕
74'
ast. G. de Arrascaeta · Samuel Lino⚽
⚽Joao Victor · ast. Reinaldo
77'
Neto Moura
85'
Pre-match prediction
29.4%
Mirassol
30.26%
X
40.35%
Flamengo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Flamengo) 40.35% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mirassol
0.85
1.10
+0.25
Flamengo
1.05
2.40
+1.35
Flamengo dominated by xG (2.40 vs 1.10). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Mirassol Mirassol 4-2-3-1
22 Walter Walter 89' G 6.50
6 Reinaldo Reinaldo 1 👟 89' D 6.50
3 Willian Machado Willian Machado 89' D 6.00
34 João Victor João Victor 1 ⚽ 89' D 6.20
32 Igor Formiga Igor Formiga 89' D 5.30
80 Wallisson Wallisson 45' M 6.50
55 Gustavo Cazonatti Gustavo Cazonatti 54' M 6.60
17 Fernandinho Fernandinho 69' M 6.30
8 Denilson Denilson 54' M 6.70
95 Edson Edson 17' M 6.20
30 Bruno Santos Bruno Santos 89' F 6.50
Bench
77 Alesson Alesson 72' F 6.70
23 Alex Muralha Alex Muralha G
9 André Luís André Luís F
10 Chico Chico M
33 Eduardo Eduardo 44' M 6.50
18 Elias Elias D
44 Gabriel Gabriel D
19 Gustavo Silva Gustavo Silva 20' M 6.50
5 Japa Japa 35' M 6.50
2 Lucas Oliveira Lucas Oliveira D
25 Neto Moura Neto Moura 35' M 6.90
12 Victor Luís Victor Luís D
Flamengo Flamengo 4-2-3-1
1 Agustín Rossi Agustín Rossi 89' G 6.50
6 Ayrton Lucas Ayrton Lucas 1 👟 69' D 7.90
4 Léo Pereira Léo Pereira 89' D 7.00
13 Danilo Danilo 89' D 6.90
2 Guillermo Varela Guillermo Varela 89' D 7.30
20 Lucas Paquetá Lucas Paquetá 74' M 8.20
5 Erick Pulgar Erick Pulgar 63' M 6.70
19 Gonzalo Plata Gonzalo Plata 1 👟 63' M 6.90
15 J. Carrascal J. Carrascal 1 ⚽ 2 👟 89' M 8.60
7 Luiz Araújo Luiz Araújo 1 ⚽ 63' M 7.70
9 Pedro Guilherme Pedro Guilherme 2 ⚽ 89' F 8.00
Bench
42 Andrew Andrew G
49 Dyogo Alves Dyogo Alves G
22 Emerson Royal Emerson Royal D
52 Evertton Araujo Evertton Araujo 26' M 6.30
10 Giorgian de Arrascaeta Giorgian de Arrascaeta 1 👟 15' M 6.90
77 Johnny Goes Johnny Goes 20' D 6.50
21 Jorginho Jorginho 26' M 6.90
3 Léo Ortiz Léo Ortiz D
99 Lorran Lorran M
16 Samuel Lino Samuel Lino 1 ⚽ 26' M 7.50
8 Saúl Saúl M
64 Wallace Wallace F
Best on the pitch
J. Carrascal
J. Carrascal
M · Flamengo
8.60
1 ⚽ 2 👟
3 shots · 42 pass
Lucas Paquetá
Lucas Paquetá
M · Flamengo
8.20
1 shots · 51 pass
Pedro Guilherme
Pedro Guilherme
F · Flamengo
8.00
2 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
Ayrton Lucas
Ayrton Lucas
D · Flamengo
7.90
1 👟
· 31 pass
Luiz Araújo
Luiz Araújo
M · Flamengo
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 15 pass
Samuel Lino
Samuel Lino
M · Flamengo
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 11 pass
Mirassol Mirassol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Walter G 89 6.50 — — — 20 17% — — —
Reinaldo D 89 6.50 — 1 1 35 27% 2 — —
Willian Machado D 89 6.00 — — 1 46 40% 1 — —
João Victor D 89 6.20 1 — 1 34 30% — — —
Igor Formiga D 89 5.30 — — — 52 44% 1 — —
Wallisson M 45 6.50 — — 1 17 12% — — —
Gustavo Cazonatti M 54 6.60 — — — 36 34% 1 1 —
Fernandinho M 69 6.30 — — 1 13 10% 1 — —
Denilson M 54 6.70 — — — 32 32% — 1 —
Edson M 17 6.20 — — — 6 4% 1 — —
Bruno Santos F 89 6.50 — — 3 17 16% — — —
Alesson F 72 6.70 — — — 22 17% 1 — —
Eduardo M 44 6.50 — — 3 21 21% 1 — —
Gustavo Silva M 20 6.50 — — — 5 4% — — —
Japa M 35 6.50 — — 2 16 14% 2 — —
Neto Moura M 35 6.90 — — — 15 14% 1 1 —
Flamengo Flamengo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Agustín Rossi G 89 6.50 — — — 31 22% — — —
Ayrton Lucas D 69 7.90 — 1 — 31 27% 4 — —
Léo Pereira D 89 7.00 — — — 70 62% 2 — —
Danilo D 89 6.90 — — — 68 62% 1 — —
Guillermo Varela D 89 7.30 — — — 42 36% — — —
Lucas Paquetá M 74 8.20 — — 1 51 47% 5 — —
Erick Pulgar M 63 6.70 — — — 38 36% 1 — —
Gonzalo Plata M 63 6.90 — 1 1 33 26% 4 — —
J. Carrascal M 89 8.60 1 2 3 42 34% 2 — —
Luiz Araújo M 63 7.70 1 — 1 15 12% 2 — —
Pedro Guilherme F 89 8.00 2 — 3 22 15% 1 — —
Evertton Araujo M 26 6.30 — — — 21 20% — — —
Giorgian de Arrascaeta M 15 6.90 — 1 — 7 7% 1 — —
Johnny Goes D 20 6.50 — — — 10 10% — — —
Jorginho M 26 6.90 — — — 24 24% — — —
Samuel Lino M 26 7.50 1 — 1 11 9% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mirassol vs Flamengo?
The final score was Mirassol 1–5 Flamengo.
What did the model predict before Mirassol vs Flamengo?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Mirassol win, 30% to a draw, and 40% to an Flamengo win.