Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 19
July 18, 2026 01:00
✓Model correct — prediction Mirassol
Bruno Santos
(ast. Igor Formiga)
16'
Edson Carioca
(ast. Denilson)
40'
77'
(ast. C. Pavon)
Carlos Vinicius
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mirassol a 56% win probability (draw 24%, Gremio 18%). The final result was Mirassol 2–1 Gremio. In 2 previous meetings, Mirassol have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Gremio.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
4
1.38
Actual xG
0.52
3
Saves
1
45%
Possession
55%
5
Corners
4
22
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Bruno Santos
· ast. Igor Formiga
16'
Denilson
38'
⚽Edson Carioca
· ast. Denilson
40'
41'
Walter Kannemann
46'
L. Perez
/
M. Villasanti
46'
M. Braithwaite
/
Gabriel Mec
46'
Willian
/
F. Amuzu
46'
Pedro Gabriel
/
Caio Paulista
65'
Gustavo Martins
Edson Carioca
/ Carlos Eduardo
72'
Bruno Santos
/ Andre Luis
75'
Japa
/ Shaylon
76'
77'
ast. C. Pavon ·
Carlos Vinicius⚽
79'
L. Perez
80'
Riquelme
/
J. Nardoni
Denilson
/ Chico Kim
83'
Alesson
/ Fernandinho
83'
86'
Marcos Rocha
/
Tete
Pre-match prediction
56.82%
Mirassol ←
24.88%
X
18.31%
Gremio
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Mirassol)
56.82%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.52
1.38
-0.14
0.63
0.52
-0.11
Mirassol dominated by xG (1.38 vs 0.52).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
Walter
G
Walter
G
6
Reinaldo
D
Reinaldo
D
44
Gabriel
D
Gabriel
D
34
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
32
Igor Formiga
1 👟
D
Igor Formiga
1 👟
D
5
Japa
76'
M
Japa
76'
M
21
José Aldo
M
José Aldo
M
8
Denilson
1 👟
83'
M
Denilson
1 👟
83'
M
77
Alesson
83'
F
Alesson
83'
F
30
Bruno Santos
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bruno Santos
1 ⚽
75'
F
95
Edson
1 ⚽
72'
F
Edson
1 ⚽
72'
F
Bench
27
A. Galeano
F
A. Galeano
F
9
André Luís
15'
F
André Luís
15'
F
96
Carlos Eduardo
18'
F
Carlos Eduardo
18'
F
10
Chico
14'
M
Chico
14'
M
20
Daniel Borges
D
Daniel Borges
D
18
Elias
D
Elias
D
17
Fernandinho
14'
F
Fernandinho
14'
F
1
Georgemy
G
Georgemy
G
2
Lucas Oliveira
D
Lucas Oliveira
D
7
Shaylon
14'
M
Shaylon
14'
M
90
Thomazella
G
Thomazella
G
12
Victor Luís
D
Victor Luís
D
1
Weverton
G
Weverton
G
38
Caio Paulista
45'
D
Caio Paulista
45'
D
4
W. Kannemann
D
W. Kannemann
D
6
Gustavo Martins
D
Gustavo Martins
D
7
C. Pavón
1 👟
D
C. Pavón
1 👟
D
37
Gabriel Mec
45'
M
Gabriel Mec
45'
M
20
Mathias Villasanti
45'
M
5
J. Nardoni
80'
M
J. Nardoni
80'
M
9
F. Amuzu
45'
F
F. Amuzu
45'
F
95
Carlos Vinícius
1 ⚽
F
Carlos Vinícius
1 ⚽
F
21
Tetê
86'
F
Tetê
86'
F
Bench
17
Dodi
M
Dodi
M
19
Erick Noriega
M
Erick Noriega
M
12
Gabriel Grando
G
Gabriel Grando
G
33
Leonel Pérez
45'
M
Leonel Pérez
45'
M
43
Luis Eduardo
D
Luis Eduardo
D
14
Marcos Rocha
11'
D
Marcos Rocha
11'
D
22
M. Braithwaite
45'
F
M. Braithwaite
45'
F
11
M. Monsalve
M
M. Monsalve
M
54
Pedro Gabriel
45'
D
Pedro Gabriel
45'
D
65
Riquelme Freitas
10'
M
Riquelme Freitas
10'
M
3
Wagner Leonardo
D
Wagner Leonardo
D
10
Willian
45'
M
Willian
45'
M
Best on the pitch
Reinaldo
D · Mirassol
8.30
3 shots
· 32 pass
Gustavo Martins
D · Gremio
8.00
· 72 pass
Edson
F · Mirassol
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
Gabriel
D · Mirassol
7.50
1 shots
· 30 pass
Carlos Vinícius
F · Gremio
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
Igor Formiga
D · Mirassol
7.50
1 👟
1 shots
· 37 pass
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| Gabriel | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | 1 | 1 | 37 | 32% | 5 | — | — |
| Japa | M | 76 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| José Aldo | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 83 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 44 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alesson | F | 83 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Bruno Santos | F | 75 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Edson | F | 72 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| André Luís | F | 15 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Chico | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Fernandinho | F | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weverton | G | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Caio Paulista | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| W. Kannemann | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 81 | 70% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 72 | 65% | 5 | 1 | — |
| C. Pavón | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 49 | 38% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Mathias Villasanti | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Nardoni | M | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| F. Amuzu | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 90 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Tetê | F | 86 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Leonel Pérez | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marcos Rocha | D | 11 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Braithwaite | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Gabriel | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Riquelme Freitas | M | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Willian | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mirassol vs Gremio?
The final score was Mirassol 2–1 Gremio.
What did the model predict before Mirassol vs Gremio?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Mirassol win, 24% to a draw, and 18% to an Gremio win.