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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 19 July 18, 2026 01:00
Mirassol
#15 · 23 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Gremio
#14 · 25 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Mirassol
Bruno Santos (ast. Igor Formiga) 16'
Edson Carioca (ast. Denilson) 40'
77' (ast. C. Pavon) Carlos Vinicius
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mirassol a 56% win probability (draw 24%, Gremio 18%). The final result was Mirassol 2–1 Gremio. In 2 previous meetings, Mirassol have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Gremio.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
4
1.38
Actual xG
0.52
3
Saves
1
45%
Possession
55%
5
Corners
4
22
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Bruno Santos · ast. Igor Formiga
16'
Denilson
38'
⚽Edson Carioca · ast. Denilson
40'
41'
Walter Kannemann
46'
L. Perez / M. Villasanti ↕
46'
M. Braithwaite / Gabriel Mec ↕
46'
Willian / F. Amuzu ↕
46'
Pedro Gabriel / Caio Paulista ↕
65'
Gustavo Martins
↕ Edson Carioca / Carlos Eduardo
72'
↕ Bruno Santos / Andre Luis
75'
↕ Japa / Shaylon
76'
77'
ast. C. Pavon · Carlos Vinicius⚽
79'
L. Perez
80'
Riquelme / J. Nardoni ↕
↕ Denilson / Chico Kim
83'
↕ Alesson / Fernandinho
83'
86'
Marcos Rocha / Tete ↕
Pre-match prediction
56.82%
Mirassol ←
24.88%
X
18.31%
Gremio
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Mirassol) 56.82% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mirassol
1.52
1.38
-0.14
Gremio
0.63
0.52
-0.11
Mirassol dominated by xG (1.38 vs 0.52). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 22 48
2 Flamengo Flamengo 21 42
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 22 40
4 Fluminense Fluminense 22 35
5 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 22 33
6 Bahia Bahia 22 33
7 Corinthians Corinthians 22 32
8 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 21 31
9 Botafogo Botafogo 21 30
10 Coritiba Coritiba 22 30
11 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 21 29
12 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 21 26
13 Vitoria Vitoria 22 26
14 Gremio Gremio 21 25
15 Mirassol Mirassol 21 23
16 Internacional Internacional 22 23
17 Santos Santos 21 22
18 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 21 22
19 Remo Remo 22 22
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 21 10
Lineups
Mirassol Mirassol 4-3-3
22 Walter Walter G 6.30
6 Reinaldo Reinaldo D 8.30
44 Gabriel Knesowitsch Gabriel Knesowitsch D 7.50
34 João Victor João Victor D 6.60
32 Igor Formiga Igor Formiga 1 👟 D 7.50
5 Japa Japa 76' M 7.30
21 José Aldo José Aldo M 6.20
8 Denilson Denilson 1 👟 83' M 7.20
77 Alesson Alesson 83' F 6.50
30 Bruno Santos Bruno Santos 1 ⚽ 75' F 7.50
95 Edson Carioca Edson Carioca 1 ⚽ 72' F 7.60
Bench
9 André Luis André Luis 15' F 6.20
27 Antonio Galeano Antonio Galeano F
96 Carlos Eduardo Carlos Eduardo 18' F 6.30
10 Chico Chico 14' M 6.70
20 Daniel Borges Daniel Borges D
18 Elias Elias D
17 Fernandinho Fernandinho 14' F 6.50
1 Georgemy Georgemy G
2 Lucas Oliveira Lucas Oliveira D
7 Shaylon Shaylon 14' M 6.50
90 Thomazella Thomazella G
12 Victor Luis Victor Luis D
Gremio Gremio 4-3-3
1 Weverton Weverton G 6.20
38 Caio Paulista Caio Paulista 45' D 6.20
4 W. Kannemann W. Kannemann D 6.00
6 Gustavo Martins Gustavo Martins D 8.00
7 Cristian Pavón Cristian Pavón 1 👟 D 6.60
37 Gabriel Mec Gabriel Mec 45' M 6.30
20 Mathias Villasanti Mathias Villasanti 45' M 6.90
5 Juan Nardoni Juan Nardoni 80' M 6.30
9 F. Amuzu F. Amuzu 45' F 6.70
95 Carlos Vinícius Carlos Vinícius 1 ⚽ F 7.50
21 Tetê Tetê 86' F 6.30
Bench
17 Dodi Dodi M
19 Erick Noriega Erick Noriega M
12 Gabriel Grando Gabriel Grando G
33 Leonel Pérez Leonel Pérez 45' M 6.90
43 Luis Guedes Luis Guedes D
14 Marcos Rocha Marcos Rocha 11' D 6.90
22 M. Braithwaite M. Braithwaite 45' F 6.20
11 Miguel Monsalve Miguel Monsalve M
54 Pedro Gabriel Pedro Gabriel 45' D 6.90
65 Riquelme Freitas Riquelme Freitas 10' M 6.90
3 Wagner Leonardo Wagner Leonardo D
10 Willian Willian 45' M 6.70
Best on the pitch
Reinaldo
Reinaldo
D · Mirassol
8.30
3 shots · 32 pass
Gustavo Martins
Gustavo Martins
D · Gremio
8.00
· 72 pass
Edson Carioca
Edson Carioca
F · Mirassol
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 15 pass
Gabriel Knesowitsch
Gabriel Knesowitsch
D · Mirassol
7.50
1 shots · 30 pass
Carlos Vinícius
Carlos Vinícius
F · Gremio
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 3 pass
Igor Formiga
Igor Formiga
D · Mirassol
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 37 pass
Mirassol Mirassol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Walter G 90 6.30 — — — 24 17% — — —
Reinaldo D 90 8.30 — — 3 32 24% 4 — —
Gabriel Knesowitsch D 90 7.50 — — 1 30 26% 2 — —
João Victor D 90 6.60 — — — 36 31% — — —
Igor Formiga D 90 7.50 — 1 1 37 32% 5 — —
Japa M 76 7.30 — — — 23 19% 2 — —
José Aldo M 90 6.20 — — 1 51 37% 2 — —
Denilson M 83 7.20 — 1 — 44 40% 2 1 —
Alesson F 83 6.50 — — 1 21 17% 3 — —
Bruno Santos F 75 7.50 1 — 3 10 6% — — —
Edson Carioca F 72 7.60 1 — 2 15 11% 1 — —
André Luis F 15 6.20 — — — 3 3% — — —
Carlos Eduardo F 18 6.30 — — — 6 4% 1 — —
Chico M 14 6.70 — — — 6 4% — — —
Fernandinho F 14 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
Shaylon M 14 6.50 — — — 1 1% — — —
Gremio Gremio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Weverton G 90 6.20 — — — 46 33% — — —
Caio Paulista D 45 6.20 — — — 27 23% — — —
W. Kannemann D 90 6.00 — — — 81 70% 1 1 —
Gustavo Martins D 90 8.00 — — — 72 65% 5 1 —
Cristian Pavón D 90 6.60 — 1 1 49 38% 2 — —
Gabriel Mec M 45 6.30 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
Mathias Villasanti M 45 6.90 — — — 29 27% 1 — —
Juan Nardoni M 80 6.30 — — 2 19 14% 5 — —
F. Amuzu F 45 6.70 — — 1 8 7% — — —
Carlos Vinícius F 90 7.50 1 — 1 3 2% — — —
Tetê F 86 6.30 — — 2 20 18% 1 — —
Leonel Pérez M 45 6.90 — — — 22 20% 1 1 —
Marcos Rocha D 11 6.90 — — — 10 7% — — —
M. Braithwaite F 45 6.20 — — — 11 9% — — —
Pedro Gabriel D 45 6.90 — — — 19 15% 2 — —
Riquelme Freitas M 10 6.90 — — — 6 4% 1 — —
Willian M 45 6.70 — — — 18 15% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mirassol vs Gremio?
The final score was Mirassol 2–1 Gremio.
What did the model predict before Mirassol vs Gremio?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Mirassol win, 24% to a draw, and 18% to an Gremio win.