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Mirassol - Gremio

Copa do Brasil August 02, 2026 23:00
Mirassol
vs
Gremio
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.25%
Win
Mirassol
28.54%
Draw
28.2%
Win
Gremio
1.57
Expected xG
1.14

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.85%)
1X2 Result
1 43%
X 29%
2 28%
Double Chance
1X 72%
X2 57%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 71%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mirassol a 43% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Gremio. Expected goals are 1.6 for Mirassol and 1.1 for Gremio (total 2.7), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.85% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Mirassol have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Gremio.

Season Stats

Mirassol
1W 1D 0L
Gremio
2W 3D 1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.8
1.0
Conceded
1.2
—
Shots OT
5.0
—
Corners
8.8
—
Poss.
53%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
83%
50%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
88%
BTTS
Mirassol
1W 0D 0L · at home
Gremio
1W 2D 1L · away
2.0
gls/g
2.2
1.0
Conceded
1.8
100%
Win %
25%
100%
Win or Draw
75%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
75%
0%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
75%
0%
Clean Sht
25%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 4
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Mirassol Gremio →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7% 7.6% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.5% 11.9% 6.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.3% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.3% 4.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% —
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Mirassol Mirassol
W RB Bragantino 2–1
D RB Bragantino 1–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 35%
Gremio Gremio
W Confiança 0–3
W Confiança 2–0
D CSA 0–0
L CSA 3–2
D Athletic Club 3–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 39%

Playing profile

Mirassol Mirassol
Attack
31
Defence
68
Form
53
Gremio Gremio
Attack
41
Defence
56
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Mirassol
0
Draw
0
Gremio
18 Jul 2026 Brasileirão Série A 2–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mirassol vs Gremio?
The model gives Mirassol a 43% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 28% for an Gremio win.
How many goals are expected in Mirassol vs Gremio?
Expected goals: Mirassol 1.6, Gremio 1.1 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in Mirassol vs Gremio?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.85%.