✓Model correct — prediction Mirassol
Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve
(ast. Edson Carioca)
48'
André Luis
(ast. Fernandinho)
87'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mirassol a 62% win probability (draw 18%, Internacional 18%). The final result was Mirassol 2–0 Internacional. In 1 previous meetings, Mirassol have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Internacional.
Match statistics
24
Total shots
13
7
Shots on target
4
3.20
Actual xG
0.72
3
Saves
5
62%
Possession
38%
5
Corners
2
16
Tackles
19
2
🟨 Yellow cards
6
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
15'
Matheus Cunha
17'
Kauan Jesus Santos Oliveira
/
Alexandro Bernabéi
43'
Vitinho
Neto Moura
45'+5
45'
Felix Torres
/
Alerrandro
Neto Moura
/ Alesson dos Santos Batista
45'
⚽Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve
· ast. Edson Carioca
48'
57'
Bruno Gomes
59'
joao victor
/
José Carlos Ferreira Júnior
60'
Johan Carbonero
/
Matheus Bahia
61'
Rodrigo Villagra
Edson Carioca
/ Fernandinho
68'
Denilson Alves Borges
/ Wallisson
68'
Bruno Santos de Oliveira
/ André Luis
74'
André Luis
77'
Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve
/ Chico Kim
79'
81'
Johan Carbonero
82'
João Bezerra
/
Thiago Maia
⚽André Luis
· ast. Fernandinho
87'
89'
Gabriel Mercado
90'+1
Kauan Jesus Santos Oliveira
⚽Reinaldo
(missed pen.)
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
62.34%
Mirassol ←
18.7%
X
18.97%
Internacional
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Mirassol)
62.34%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.34
3.20
+0.86
1.12
0.72
-0.4
Mirassol dominated by xG (3.20 vs 0.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Walter
G
Walter
G
6
Reinaldo
D
Reinaldo
D
3
Willian Machado
D
Willian Machado
D
34
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
32
Igor Formiga
D
Igor Formiga
D
27
Denilson
68'
M
Denilson
68'
M
25
Neto Moura
45'
M
Neto Moura
45'
M
95
Edson
1 👟
68'
M
Edson
1 👟
68'
M
33
Eduardo
1 ⚽
79'
M
Eduardo
1 ⚽
79'
M
7
Shaylon
M
Shaylon
M
30
Bruno Santos
74'
F
Bruno Santos
74'
F
Bench
77
Alesson
45'
F
Alesson
45'
F
9
André Luís
1 ⚽
16'
F
André Luís
1 ⚽
16'
F
96
Carlos Eduardo
F
Carlos Eduardo
F
10
Chico
11'
M
Chico
11'
M
20
Daniel Borges
D
Daniel Borges
D
17
Fernandinho
1 👟
22'
F
Fernandinho
1 👟
22'
F
44
Gabriel
D
Gabriel
D
5
Japa
M
Japa
M
2
Lucas Oliveira
D
Lucas Oliveira
D
90
Thomazella
G
Thomazella
G
80
Wallisson
22'
M
Wallisson
22'
M
99
Zé Roberto
F
Zé Roberto
F
23
Matheus Cunha
15'
G
Matheus Cunha
15'
G
18
Juninho
59'
D
Juninho
59'
D
25
G. Mercado
D
G. Mercado
D
15
Bruno Gomes
D
Bruno Gomes
D
6
Matheus Bahia
60'
M
Matheus Bahia
60'
M
29
Thiago Maia
82'
M
Thiago Maia
82'
M
5
R. Villagra
M
R. Villagra
M
35
B. Aguirre
M
B. Aguirre
M
26
A. Bernabéi
17'
M
A. Bernabéi
17'
M
28
Vitinho
M
Vitinho
M
9
Alerrandro
45'
F
Alerrandro
45'
F
Bench
8
Bruno Henrique
M
Bruno Henrique
M
30
Calebe
M
Calebe
M
4
F. Torres
45'
D
F. Torres
45'
D
49
J. Bezerra
8'
F
J. Bezerra
8'
F
7
J. Carbonero
30'
F
J. Carbonero
30'
F
22
Kauan
73'
G
Kauan
73'
G
17
N. Eliasson
M
N. Eliasson
M
27
Paulinho
M
Paulinho
M
16
Ronaldo
M
Ronaldo
M
41
Victor Gabriel
D
Victor Gabriel
D
44
Victor Joao
31'
F
Victor Joao
31'
F
Best on the pitch
Eduardo
M · Mirassol
8.17
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 26 pass
Igor Formiga
D · Mirassol
8.00
1 shots
· 74 pass
Reinaldo
D · Mirassol
7.81
5 shots
· 53 pass
Edson
M · Mirassol
7.55
1 👟
1 shots
· 25 pass
João Victor
D · Mirassol
7.51
2 shots
· 89 pass
Walter
G · Mirassol
7.41
· 29 pass
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 90 | 7.41 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 90 | 7.81 | — | — | 5 | 53 | 38% | 0 | — | — |
| Willian Machado | D | 90 | 7.41 | — | — | 1 | 79 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 90 | 7.51 | — | — | 2 | 89 | 84% | 0 | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 64% | 3 | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 68 | 7.06 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 66% | 2 | — | — |
| Neto Moura | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 71 | 63% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Edson | M | 68 | 7.55 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 79 | 8.17 | 1 | — | 4 | 26 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 61 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Santos | F | 74 | 6.39 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Alesson | F | 45 | 6.99 | — | — | 4 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| André Luís | F | 16 | 7.13 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Chico | M | 11 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Fernandinho | F | 22 | 6.97 | — | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Wallisson | M | 22 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 5 | — | — |
Internacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Cunha | G | 15 | 4.73 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | 1 |
| Juninho | D | 59 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Mercado | D | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 0 | 50 | 45% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Gomes | D | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 37% | 7 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Bahia | M | 60 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Thiago Maia | M | 82 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Villagra | M | 90 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Aguirre | M | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 5 | 46 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bernabéi | M | 17 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Vitinho | M | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 2 | 38 | 30% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Alerrandro | F | 45 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Torres | D | 45 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 39 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bezerra | F | 8 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Carbonero | F | 30 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Kauan | G | 73 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 9% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Victor Joao | F | 31 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mirassol vs Internacional?
The final score was Mirassol 2–0 Internacional.
What did the model predict before Mirassol vs Internacional?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Mirassol win, 18% to a draw, and 18% to an Internacional win.