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Mirassol - LDU de Quito

Copa Libertadores August 11, 2026 22:00
Mirassol
#2 · 12 pts
vs
LDU de Quito
#1 · 12 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.99%
Win
Mirassol
26.06%
Draw
28.94%
Win
LDU de Quito
1.63
Expected xG
1.14

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.39%)
1X2 Result ✓ 70.6% hit rate (17 picks)
1 45%
X 26%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 55%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mirassol a 44% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 28% for LDU de Quito. Expected goals are 1.6 for Mirassol and 1.1 for LDU de Quito (total 2.8), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.39% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Mirassol have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for LDU de Quito.

Season Stats

Mirassol
4W 0D 2L
LDU de Quito
4W 0D 2L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.3
0.7
Conceded
0.8
3.7
Shots OT
3.3
4.2
Corners
3.5
51%
Poss.
47%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
17%
O 2.5
17%
17%
BTTS
17%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Copa Libertadores. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Mirassol
3W 0D 0L · at home
LDU de Quito
1W 0D 2L · away
1.7
gls/g
0.3
0.0
Conceded
1.0
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
33%
67%
O 1.5
33%
0%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
100%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
67%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Mirassol LDU de Quito →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2% 7.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.2% 11.6% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.5% 5.4% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.5% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% —
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Mirassol Mirassol
L Lanus 1–0
W Always Ready 1–2
W LDU de Quito 2–0
W Always Ready 2–0
L LDU de Quito 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
W Always Ready 3–2
W Lanus 2–0
L Mirassol 2–0
L Lanus 1–0
W Mirassol 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Mirassol Mirassol
Attack
31
Defence
68
Form
52
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
Attack
28
Defence
77
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Mirassol
0
Draw
1
LDU de Quito
8 May 2026 Copa Libertadores 2–0
15 Apr 2026 Copa Libertadores 0–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mirassol vs LDU de Quito?
The model gives Mirassol a 44% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 28% for an LDU de Quito win.
How many goals are expected in Mirassol vs LDU de Quito?
Expected goals: Mirassol 1.6, LDU de Quito 1.1 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Mirassol vs LDU de Quito?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.39%.