Copa Libertadores
· Round of 16
August 14, 2026 00:00
Eduardo
(ast. Edson Carioca)
15'
82'
(ast. Janner Corozo)
Michael Estrada
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mirassol a 42% win probability (draw 27%, LDU de Quito 30%). The final result was Mirassol 1–1 LDU de Quito. In 3 previous meetings, Mirassol have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for LDU de Quito.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
0.73
Actual xG
1.87
2
Saves
2
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
5
20
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Eduardo
· ast. Edson Carioca
15'
35'
Yerlin Quinonez
Neto Moura
41'
Japa
55'
Japa
/ Wallisson Luiz
59'
Alesson
/ Fernandinho
71'
Edson Carioca
/ Carlos Eduardo
78'
Eduardo
/ Shaylon
78'
Neto Moura
/ Denilson
78'
82'
ast. Janner Corozo ·
Michael Estrada⚽
84'
Deyverson
/
Michael Estrada
84'
Alexander Alvarado
/
Sebastián González
90'
Juan Rodríguez
/
Fernando Cornejo
Pre-match prediction
42.7%
Mirassol
27.14%
X ←
30.16%
LDU
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.14%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
0.73
-0.67
1.24
1.87
+0.63
LDU de Quito dominated by xG (1.87 vs 0.73).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Walter
G
Walter
G
6
Reinaldo
D
Reinaldo
D
3
Willian Machado
D
Willian Machado
D
34
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
32
Igor Formiga
D
Igor Formiga
D
5
Japa
59'
M
Japa
59'
M
25
Neto Moura
78'
M
Neto Moura
78'
M
77
Alesson
71'
M
Alesson
71'
M
33
Eduardo
1 ⚽
78'
M
Eduardo
1 ⚽
78'
M
95
Edson Carioca
1 👟
78'
M
Edson Carioca
1 👟
78'
M
30
Bruno Santos
F
Bruno Santos
F
Bench
23
Alex Muralha
G
Alex Muralha
G
99
André Luís
F
André Luís
F
96
Carlos Eduardo
18'
F
Carlos Eduardo
18'
F
10
Chico
M
Chico
M
20
Daniel Borges
D
Daniel Borges
D
8
Denilson
18'
M
Denilson
18'
M
17
Fernandinho
25'
F
Fernandinho
25'
F
2
Lucas Oliveira
D
Lucas Oliveira
D
7
Shaylon
18'
M
Shaylon
18'
M
90
Thomazella
G
Thomazella
G
12
Victor Luís
D
Victor Luís
D
80
Wallisson
37'
M
Wallisson
37'
M
1
G. Valle
G
G. Valle
G
67
J. Carabalí
D
J. Carabalí
D
44
L. Segovia
D
L. Segovia
D
4
Ricardo Ade
D
Ricardo Ade
D
28
J. Cuero
D
J. Cuero
D
5
Sebastían González Baquero
84'
M
Sebastían González Baquero
84'
M
8
J. Pretell
M
J. Pretell
M
20
F. Cornejo
M
F. Cornejo
M
23
Yerlin Quinonez
F
Yerlin Quinonez
F
11
M. Estrada
1 ⚽
84'
F
M. Estrada
1 ⚽
84'
F
13
J. Corozo
1 👟
F
J. Corozo
1 👟
F
Bench
99
Alejandro Tobar
M
Alejandro Tobar
M
10
Alexander Antonio Alvarado Carriel
12'
M
Alexander Antonio Alvarado Carriel
12'
M
22
Alexander Domínguez Carabalí
G
Alexander Domínguez Carabalí
G
16
Deyverson
12'
F
Deyverson
12'
F
32
Edison Gomez
M
Edison Gomez
M
30
G. Allala
D
G. Allala
D
26
I. Zambrano
M
I. Zambrano
M
31
J. RodrÃguez
3'
M
J. RodrÃguez
3'
M
25
Patrick Ortiz
M
Patrick Ortiz
M
3
Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo
D
Richard Alexander Mina Caicedo
D
7
Rodney Redes
F
27
Ruddy Mina
M
Ruddy Mina
M
Best on the pitch
Eduardo
M · Mirassol
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
Willian Machado
D · Mirassol
7.30
· 49 pass
Igor Formiga
D · Mirassol
7.30
· 36 pass
Japa
M · Mirassol
7.30
· 13 pass
J. Carabalí
D · LDU
7.30
· 50 pass
Reinaldo
D · Mirassol
7.20
2 shots
· 36 pass
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Willian Machado | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 49 | 37% | — | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 6 | — | — |
| Japa | M | 59 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Neto Moura | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 29% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Alesson | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 78 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Edson Carioca | M | 78 | 6.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Santos | F | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Denilson | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Fernandinho | F | 25 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Shaylon | M | 18 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Wallisson | M | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
LDU de Quito — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Valle | G | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | — | — | — |
| J. Carabalí | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 36% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Segovia | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Ricardo Ade | D | 96 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 42 | 33% | — | — | — |
| J. Cuero | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| Sebastían González Baquero | M | 84 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Pretell | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| F. Cornejo | M | 93 | 5.90 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Yerlin Quinonez | F | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Estrada | F | 84 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 12% | — | — | — |
| J. Corozo | F | 96 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Alexander Antonio Alvarado Carriel | M | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Deyverson | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. RodrÃguez | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mirassol vs LDU de Quito?
The final score was Mirassol 1–1 LDU de Quito.
What did the model predict before Mirassol vs LDU de Quito?
The model assigned 42% probability to a Mirassol win, 27% to a draw, and 30% to an LDU de Quito win.