Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 25
August 30, 2026 23:30
Eduardo
(ast. Igor Formiga)
50'
75'
(ast. G. Gomez)
Mauricio
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 44% win probability (draw 26%, Mirassol 28%). The final result was Mirassol 1–1 Palmeiras. In 1 previous meetings, Mirassol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Palmeiras.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
3
0.75
Actual xG
1.52
2
Saves
4
48%
Possession
52%
3
Corners
4
13
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Eduardo
· ast. Igor Formiga
50'
Neto Moura
/ Japa
70'
Eduardo
/ G. Cazonatti
70'
70'
Khellven
/
Felipe Anderson
70'
Lucas Evangelista
/
Vitor Roque
75'
ast. G. Gomez ·
Mauricio⚽
Gustavo Silva
/ Carlos Eduardo
76'
Alesson
/ Fernandinho
79'
Bruno Santos
/ Andre Luis
79'
Denilson
85'
87'
Heittor Vinicius
/
Mauricio
90'+6
Arthur Gabriel
90'+8
Arthur Gabriel
90'+8
Arthur Gabriel
Pre-match prediction
28.91%
Mirassol
26.67%
X ←
44.42%
Palmeiras
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.67%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.98
0.75
-0.23
1.32
1.52
+0.2
Palmeiras dominated by xG (1.52 vs 0.75).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
22
Walter
G
Walter
G
6
Reinaldo
D
Reinaldo
D
3
Willian Machado
D
Willian Machado
D
34
João Victor
D
João Victor
D
32
Igor Formiga
1 👟
D
Igor Formiga
1 👟
D
25
Neto Moura
69'
M
Neto Moura
69'
M
27
Denilson
M
Denilson
M
77
Alesson
79'
M
Alesson
79'
M
33
Eduardo
1 ⚽
70'
M
Eduardo
1 ⚽
70'
M
19
Gustavo Silva
76'
M
Gustavo Silva
76'
M
30
Bruno Santos
79'
F
Bruno Santos
79'
F
Bench
23
Alex Muralha
G
Alex Muralha
G
9
André Luís
21'
F
André Luís
21'
F
96
Carlos Eduardo
24'
F
Carlos Eduardo
24'
F
10
Chico
M
Chico
M
18
Elias
D
Elias
D
17
Fernandinho
21'
F
Fernandinho
21'
F
44
Gabriel
D
Gabriel
D
55
Gustavo Cazonatti
30'
M
Gustavo Cazonatti
30'
M
5
Japa
31'
M
Japa
31'
M
2
Lucas Oliveira
D
Lucas Oliveira
D
7
Shaylon
M
Shaylon
M
12
Victor Luís
D
Victor Luís
D
1
Carlos Miguel
G
Carlos Miguel
G
26
Murilo
D
Murilo
D
15
G. Gómez
1 👟
D
G. Gómez
1 👟
D
4
A. Giay
D
A. Giay
D
56
Arthur
M
Arthur
M
8
Andreas Pereira
M
Andreas Pereira
M
17
Marlon Freitas
M
Marlon Freitas
M
18
Maurício
1 ⚽
87'
M
Maurício
1 ⚽
87'
M
7
Felipe Anderson
70'
F
Felipe Anderson
70'
F
42
J. López
F
J. López
F
9
Vitor Roque
70'
F
Vitor Roque
70'
F
Bench
66
André Lucas
D
André Lucas
D
3
Bruno Fuchs
D
Bruno Fuchs
D
32
E. Martínez
M
E. Martínez
M
45
Erick Machado
M
Erick Machado
M
39
Heittor
13'
F
Heittor
13'
F
12
Khellven
30'
D
Khellven
30'
D
48
Larson
M
Larson
M
30
Lucas Evangelista
30'
M
Lucas Evangelista
30'
M
50
Luis Felipe
M
Luis Felipe
M
14
Marcelo Lomba
G
Marcelo Lomba
G
29
M. C. Bilong
F
M. C. Bilong
F
37
Riquelme Fillipi
F
Riquelme Fillipi
F
Best on the pitch
Eduardo
M · Mirassol
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
Walter
G · Mirassol
7.90
· 19 pass
Maurício
M · Palmeiras
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 25 pass
Carlos Miguel
G · Palmeiras
7.30
· 22 pass
João Victor
D · Mirassol
7.30
1 shots
· 53 pass
Denilson
M · Mirassol
7.30
· 61 pass
Mirassol — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter | G | 100 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Reinaldo | D | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Willian Machado | D | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | — | — | — |
| João Victor | D | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| Igor Formiga | D | 100 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 53 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Neto Moura | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Denilson | M | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 57% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Alesson | M | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo | M | 70 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Silva | M | 76 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Bruno Santos | F | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| André Luís | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Eduardo | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Fernandinho | F | 21 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Japa | M | 31 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Palmeiras — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Miguel | G | 100 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Murilo | D | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 72 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Gómez | D | 100 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 2 | 46 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Giay | D | 100 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 34% | 3 | — | — |
| Arthur | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 42% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Andreas Pereira | M | 100 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Marlon Freitas | M | 100 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Maurício | M | 87 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Felipe Anderson | F | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| J. López | F | 100 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 30 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Vitor Roque | F | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Heittor | F | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Khellven | D | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Evangelista | M | 30 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
The final score was Mirassol 1–1 Palmeiras.
What did the model predict before Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Mirassol win, 26% to a draw, and 44% to an Palmeiras win.