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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 25 August 30, 2026 23:30
Mirassol
#16 · 37 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Palmeiras
#2 · 70 pts
Eduardo (ast. Igor Formiga) 50'
75' (ast. G. Gomez) Mauricio
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Palmeiras a 44% win probability (draw 26%, Mirassol 28%). The final result was Mirassol 1–1 Palmeiras. In 1 previous meetings, Mirassol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Palmeiras.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
3
0.75
Actual xG
1.52
2
Saves
4
48%
Possession
52%
3
Corners
4
13
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Eduardo · ast. Igor Formiga
50'
↕ Neto Moura / Japa
70'
↕ Eduardo / G. Cazonatti
70'
70'
Khellven / Felipe Anderson ↕
70'
Lucas Evangelista / Vitor Roque ↕
75'
ast. G. Gomez · Mauricio⚽
↕ Gustavo Silva / Carlos Eduardo
76'
↕ Alesson / Fernandinho
79'
↕ Bruno Santos / Andre Luis
79'
Denilson
85'
87'
Heittor Vinicius / Mauricio ↕
90'+6
Arthur Gabriel
90'+8
Arthur Gabriel
90'+8
Arthur Gabriel
Pre-match prediction
28.91%
Mirassol
26.67%
X ←
44.42%
Palmeiras
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.67% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mirassol
0.98
0.75
-0.23
Palmeiras
1.32
1.52
+0.2
Palmeiras dominated by xG (1.52 vs 0.75). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Mirassol Mirassol 4-2-3-1
22 Walter Walter G 7.90
6 Reinaldo Reinaldo D 7.00
3 Willian Machado Willian Machado D 7.00
34 João Victor João Victor D 7.30
32 Igor Formiga Igor Formiga 1 👟 D 6.60
25 Neto Moura Neto Moura 69' M 7.20
27 Denilson Denilson M 7.30
77 Alesson Alesson 79' M 6.30
33 Eduardo Eduardo 1 ⚽ 70' M 8.00
19 Gustavo Silva Gustavo Silva 76' M 7.20
30 Bruno Santos Bruno Santos 79' F 6.20
Bench
23 Alex Muralha Alex Muralha G
9 André Luís André Luís 21' F 6.50
96 Carlos Eduardo Carlos Eduardo 24' F 6.90
10 Chico Chico M
18 Elias Elias D
17 Fernandinho Fernandinho 21' F 6.70
44 Gabriel Gabriel D
55 Gustavo Cazonatti Gustavo Cazonatti 30' M 6.30
5 Japa Japa 31' M 6.30
2 Lucas Oliveira Lucas Oliveira D
7 Shaylon Shaylon M
12 Victor Luís Victor Luís D
Palmeiras Palmeiras 3-4-2-1
1 Carlos Miguel Carlos Miguel G 7.30
26 Murilo Murilo D 7.00
15 G. Gómez G. Gómez 1 👟 D 7.00
4 A. Giay A. Giay D 6.70
56 Arthur Arthur M 6.30
8 Andreas Pereira Andreas Pereira M 7.00
17 Marlon Freitas Marlon Freitas M 6.90
18 Maurício Maurício 1 ⚽ 87' M 7.30
7 Felipe Anderson Felipe Anderson 70' F 6.90
42 J. López J. López F 7.20
9 Vitor Roque Vitor Roque 70' F 6.50
Bench
66 André Lucas André Lucas D
3 Bruno Fuchs Bruno Fuchs D
32 E. Martínez E. Martínez M
45 Erick Machado Erick Machado M
39 Heittor Heittor 13' F 6.30
12 Khellven Khellven 30' D 6.60
48 Larson Larson M
30 Lucas Evangelista Lucas Evangelista 30' M 6.90
50 Luis Felipe Luis Felipe M
14 Marcelo Lomba Marcelo Lomba G
29 M. C. Bilong M. C. Bilong F
37 Riquelme Fillipi Riquelme Fillipi F
Best on the pitch
Eduardo
Eduardo
M · Mirassol
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 31 pass
Walter
Walter
G · Mirassol
7.90
· 19 pass
Maurício
Maurício
M · Palmeiras
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 25 pass
Carlos Miguel
Carlos Miguel
G · Palmeiras
7.30
· 22 pass
João Victor
João Victor
D · Mirassol
7.30
1 shots · 53 pass
Denilson
Denilson
M · Mirassol
7.30
· 61 pass
Mirassol Mirassol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Walter G 100 7.90 — — — 19 17% — — —
Reinaldo D 100 7.00 — — 3 31 23% — — —
Willian Machado D 100 7.00 — — — 51 45% — — —
João Victor D 100 7.30 — — 1 53 50% 2 — —
Igor Formiga D 100 6.60 — 1 — 53 46% 1 — —
Neto Moura M 69 7.20 — — — 42 36% 1 1 —
Denilson M 100 7.30 — — — 61 57% 3 1 —
Alesson M 79 6.30 — — 1 14 12% 1 — —
Eduardo M 70 8.00 1 — 1 31 30% — — —
Gustavo Silva M 76 7.20 — — 1 26 23% 3 — —
Bruno Santos F 79 6.20 — — 3 15 11% — — —
André Luís F 21 6.50 — — — 4 3% — — —
Carlos Eduardo F 24 6.90 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
Fernandinho F 21 6.70 — — — 5 4% — — —
Gustavo Cazonatti M 30 6.30 — — — 5 3% 1 — —
Japa M 31 6.30 — — — 8 7% — — —
Palmeiras Palmeiras — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Carlos Miguel G 100 7.30 — — — 22 13% — — —
Murilo D 100 7.00 — — — 72 62% 1 — —
G. Gómez D 100 7.00 — 1 2 46 41% 2 — —
A. Giay D 100 6.70 — — 1 44 34% 3 — —
Arthur M 90 6.30 — — — 50 42% 1 2 1
Andreas Pereira M 100 7.00 — — — 45 35% 1 — —
Marlon Freitas M 100 6.90 — — 1 61 54% — — —
Maurício M 87 7.30 1 — 1 25 19% — — —
Felipe Anderson F 70 6.90 — — — 35 27% 2 — —
J. López F 100 7.20 — — 3 30 21% 1 — —
Vitor Roque F 70 6.50 — — — 11 9% 1 — —
Heittor F 13 6.30 — — 1 5 3% — — —
Khellven D 30 6.60 — — 1 8 7% 1 — —
Lucas Evangelista M 30 6.90 — — — 10 7% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
The final score was Mirassol 1–1 Palmeiras.
What did the model predict before Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Mirassol win, 26% to a draw, and 44% to an Palmeiras win.