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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 32 October 24, 2026 21:30 José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirasol
Mirassol
#16 · 37 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Sao Paulo
#10 · 43 pts
Rafael 7' (og)
39' (ast. Damian Bobadilla) Pedro Lima
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mirassol a 49% win probability (draw 23%, Sao Paulo 27%). The final result was Mirassol 1–1 Sao Paulo. In 1 previous meetings, Mirassol have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sao Paulo.

Match statistics
18
Total shots
14
4
Shots on target
3
1.32
Actual xG
1.13
2
Saves
4
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
7
10
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Rafael (og)
7'
17'
Djhordney Ferreira
26'
Iago Amaral Borduchi
39'
ast. Damian Bobadilla · Pedro Lima⚽
Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve
61'
64'
Gustavo Santana / Lucas Moura ↕
64'
Pablo Maia / Marcos Antonio ↕
↕ Neto Moura / Shaylon Kallyson Cardozo
67'
↕ Bruno Santos de Oliveira / Carlos Eduardo
67'
↕ Denilson Alves Borges / Wallisson
67'
Willian Estefani Machado
70'
↕ Alesson dos Santos Batista / Fernandinho
74'
77'
Pedro Ferreira / Djhordney Ferreira ↕
77'
Wendell / Iago Amaral Borduchi ↕
↕ Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve / Jose Roberto
78'
Wallisson
83'
87'
Victor Sá / Damian Bobadilla ↕
Pre-match prediction
49.31%
Mirassol
23.11%
X ←
27.58%
Sao
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 23.11% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mirassol
1.83
1.32
-0.51
Sao
1.27
1.13
-0.14
xG dominance was balanced (1.32 – 1.13). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Mirassol Mirassol 4-2-3-1
22 Walter Walter G 6.97
6 Reinaldo Reinaldo D 7.34
3 Willian Machado Willian Machado D 7.12
34 João Victor João Victor D 6.97
32 Igor Formiga Igor Formiga D 6.91
27 Denilson Denilson 67' M 6.41
25 Neto Moura Neto Moura 67' M 6.57
77 Alesson Alesson 74' M 6.29
33 Eduardo Eduardo 78' M 6.04
95 Edson Edson M 6.82
30 Bruno Santos Bruno Santos 67' F 6.67
Bench
96 Carlos Eduardo Carlos Eduardo 23' F 6.68
10 Chico Chico M 0.00
20 Daniel Borges Daniel Borges D 0.00
17 Fernandinho Fernandinho 16' F 6.50
44 Gabriel Gabriel D 0.00
19 Gustavo Silva Gustavo Silva M 0.00
5 Japa Japa M 0.00
2 Lucas Oliveira Lucas Oliveira D 0.00
7 Shaylon Shaylon 23' M 6.25
90 Thomazella Thomazella G 0.00
80 Wallisson Wallisson 23' M 5.96
99 Zé Roberto Zé Roberto 12' F 6.52
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 3-4-2-1
23 Rafael Rafael 1 ⚽ G 6.53
54 Osorio Luis Osorio Luis D 6.64
5 R. Arboleda R. Arboleda D 6.87
28 Newton Newton D 6.56
12 Iago Iago 77' M 6.72
8 Marcos Antônio Marcos Antônio 64' M 6.70
48 D. Ferreira D. Ferreira 77' M 6.14
32 Pedro Lima Pedro Lima 1 ⚽ M 7.83
16 D. Bobadilla D. Bobadilla 1 👟 87' M 6.80
7 Lucas Moura Lucas Moura 64' M 6.22
10 Luciano Luciano F 7.08
Bench
17 André Silva André Silva F 0.00
31 Carlos Coronel Carlos Coronel G 0.00
43 G. Santana G. Santana 26' F 6.47
19 Lucas Ramon Lucas Ramon D 0.00
45 Lucca Marques Alencar Lucca Marques Alencar F 0.00
29 Pablo Maia Pablo Maia 26' M 6.90
46 Pedro Ferreira Pedro Ferreira 13' M 6.42
2 R. Tolói R. Tolói D 0.00
49 Ryan Francisco Ryan Francisco F 0.00
35 Sabino Sabino D 0.00
27 Victor Sá Victor Sá 3' F 6.44
18 Wendell Wendell 13' D 6.28
Best on the pitch
Pedro Lima
Pedro Lima
M · Sao
7.83
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
Reinaldo
Reinaldo
D · Mirassol
7.34
2 shots · 38 pass
Willian Machado
Willian Machado
D · Mirassol
7.12
3 shots · 63 pass
Luciano
Luciano
F · Sao
7.08
3 shots · 37 pass
Walter
Walter
G · Mirassol
6.97
· 31 pass
João Victor
João Victor
D · Mirassol
6.97
1 shots · 59 pass
Mirassol Mirassol — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Walter G 90 6.97 — — 0 31 29% 0 — —
Reinaldo D 90 7.34 — — 2 38 30% 1 — —
Willian Machado D 90 7.12 — — 3 63 61% 0 1 —
João Victor D 90 6.97 — — 1 59 56% 1 — —
Igor Formiga D 90 6.91 — — 0 46 35% 1 — —
Denilson M 67 6.41 — — 0 38 29% 2 — —
Neto Moura M 67 6.57 — — 1 24 23% 0 — —
Alesson M 74 6.29 — — 3 19 18% 1 — —
Eduardo M 78 6.04 — — 1 15 14% 0 1 —
Edson M 90 6.82 — — 2 25 20% 1 — —
Bruno Santos F 67 6.67 — — 4 14 10% 1 — —
Carlos Eduardo F 23 6.68 — — 0 5 4% 1 — —
Fernandinho F 16 6.50 — — 0 4 4% 0 — —
Shaylon M 23 6.25 — — 0 17 14% 0 — —
Wallisson M 23 5.96 — — 0 9 9% 1 1 —
Zé Roberto F 12 6.52 — — 1 7 4% 0 — —
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rafael G 90 6.53 1 — 0 31 22% 0 — —
Osorio Luis D 90 6.64 — — 1 58 50% 3 — —
R. Arboleda D 90 6.87 — — 0 58 55% 2 — —
Newton D 90 6.56 — — 0 55 47% 2 — —
Iago M 77 6.72 — — 1 42 37% 5 1 —
Marcos Antônio M 64 6.70 — — 0 43 38% 0 — —
D. Ferreira M 77 6.14 — — 1 36 35% 1 1 —
Pedro Lima M 90 7.83 1 — 2 34 29% 0 — —
D. Bobadilla M 87 6.80 — 1 1 41 34% 2 — —
Lucas Moura M 64 6.22 — — 3 21 19% 1 — —
Luciano F 90 7.08 — — 3 37 35% 0 — —
G. Santana F 26 6.47 — — 1 5 3% 0 — —
Pablo Maia M 26 6.90 — — 1 25 24% 1 — —
Pedro Ferreira M 13 6.42 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
Victor Sá F 3 6.44 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Wendell D 13 6.28 — — 0 9 8% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?
The final score was Mirassol 1–1 Sao Paulo.
What did the model predict before Mirassol vs Sao Paulo?
The model assigned 49% probability to a Mirassol win, 23% to a draw, and 27% to an Sao Paulo win.