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J1 League · Regular Season - 9 October 11, 2026 08:00
Mito Hollyhock
#17 · 9 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Shimizu S-pulse
#13 · 14 pts
Chihiro Kato (ast. Kaito Taniguchi) 48'
75' (ast. Yudai Shimamoto) Tomoya Fujii
90'+1 (ast. Tomoya Fujii) Hidehiro Sugai
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mito Hollyhock a 35% win probability (draw 35%, Shimizu S-pulse 28%). The final result was Mito Hollyhock 1–2 Shimizu S-pulse.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
4
0.60
Actual xG
1.30
2
Saves
1
61%
Possession
39%
7
Corners
1
8
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
↕ Yoshiki Torikai / Kotaro Uchino
20'
24'
Oh Se-hun
Kotaro Uchino
26'
45'
Yudai Shimamoto / Koya Kitagawa ↕
45'
Ryo Germain / Oh Se-hun ↕
45'
Tomoya Fujii / Kenta Inoue ↕
↕ Hugo Leonardo / Yu Funabashi
45'
⚽Chihiro Kato · ast. Kaito Taniguchi
48'
↕ Kotaro Uchino / Ryo Nemoto
67'
↕ Jin Okumura / Keisuke Tada
67'
67'
Kosuke Kinoshita / Kai Matsuzaki ↕
Takumi Mase
70'
75'
ast. Yudai Shimamoto · Tomoya Fujii⚽
81'
84'
Taiki Hirato / Dieguinho ↕
↕ Chihiro Kato / Hayata Yamamoto
85'
90'+1
ast. Tomoya Fujii · Hidehiro Sugai⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.78%
Mito
35.69%
X
28.52%
Shimizu ←
we assigned to the actual result (Shimizu S-pulse) 28.52% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mito
0.74
0.60
-0.14
Shimizu
0.50
1.30
+0.8
Shimizu S-pulse dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.60). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2
34 K. Nishikawa K. Nishikawa G 5.51
6 K. Okamoto K. Okamoto D 6.23
17 K. Itakura K. Itakura D 6.73
50 R. Ieizumi R. Ieizumi D 6.51
25 T. Mase T. Mase D 5.91
11 Y. Torikai Y. Torikai 20' M 6.02
38 Leonardo Hugo Leonardo Hugo 45' M 6.75
19 T. Semba T. Semba M 5.85
30 J. Okumura J. Okumura 67' M 5.49
22 K. Taniguchi K. Taniguchi 1 👟 F 7.16
8 C. Kato C. Kato 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.78
Bench
39 H. Yamamoto H. Yamamoto 5' M 6.27
27 J. Słowik J. Słowik G 0.00
29 K. Tada K. Tada 23' F 6.13
18 K. Uchino K. Uchino 47' F 6.12
2 M. Fofana M. Fofana D 0.00
9 R. Nemoto R. Nemoto 23' F 6.19
20 Y. Funabashi Y. Funabashi 45' M 6.00
15 Y. Kimoto Y. Kimoto D 0.00
48 Y. Yamashita Y. Yamashita M 0.00
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 4-3-3
16 T. Umeda T. Umeda G 5.85
25 Mateus Brunetti Mateus Brunetti D 6.79
15 Y. Honda Y. Honda D 7.05
3 Y. Takahashi Y. Takahashi D 6.36
24 H. Sugai H. Sugai 1 ⚽ D 7.00
17 M. Yumiba M. Yumiba M 6.39
2 Dieguinho Dieguinho 84' M 6.68
21 K. Matsuzaki K. Matsuzaki 67' M 6.07
8 K. Inoue K. Inoue 45' F 6.46
9 Oh Se-Hun Oh Se-Hun 45' F 5.88
49 K. Kitagawa K. Kitagawa 45' F 6.00
Bench
51 J. Sumiyoshi J. Sumiyoshi D 0.00
19 K. Kinoshita K. Kinoshita 23' F 6.64
81 K. Kozuka K. Kozuka M 0.00
13 R. Germain R. Germain 45' F 6.54
70 S. Takagi S. Takagi D 0.00
50 T. Fujii T. Fujii 1 ⚽ 1 👟 45' M 8.50
18 T. Hirato T. Hirato 6' M 6.23
1 Y. Oki Y. Oki G 0.00
47 Y. Shimamoto Y. Shimamoto 1 👟 45' M 6.84
Best on the pitch
T. Fujii
T. Fujii
M · Shimizu
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 19 pass
C. Kato
C. Kato
F · Mito
7.78
1 ⚽
1 shots · 14 pass
K. Taniguchi
K. Taniguchi
F · Mito
7.16
1 👟
1 shots · 35 pass
Y. Honda
Y. Honda
D · Shimizu
7.05
· 44 pass
H. Sugai
H. Sugai
D · Shimizu
7.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
Y. Shimamoto
Y. Shimamoto
M · Shimizu
6.84
1 👟
2 shots · 22 pass
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
K. Nishikawa G 90 5.51 — — 0 58 39% 0 — —
K. Okamoto D 90 6.23 — — 0 63 48% 1 — —
K. Itakura D 90 6.73 — — 0 101 89% 1 — —
R. Ieizumi D 90 6.51 — — 0 75 63% 0 — —
T. Mase D 90 5.91 — — 0 39 31% 1 1 —
Y. Torikai M 20 6.02 — — 0 7 4% 0 — —
Leonardo Hugo M 45 6.75 — — 1 35 34% 2 — —
T. Semba M 90 5.85 — — 0 46 33% 1 — —
J. Okumura M 67 5.49 — — 3 20 10% 1 — —
K. Taniguchi F 90 7.16 — 1 1 35 27% 1 — —
C. Kato F 85 7.78 1 — 1 14 12% 0 — —
H. Yamamoto M 5 6.27 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
K. Tada F 23 6.13 — — 0 3 2% 0 — —
K. Uchino F 47 6.12 — — 1 6 3% 0 1 —
R. Nemoto F 23 6.19 — — 0 6 4% 0 — —
Y. Funabashi M 45 6.00 — — 0 31 24% 0 — —
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Umeda G 90 5.85 — — 0 31 9% 0 — —
Mateus Brunetti D 90 6.79 — — 1 55 38% 2 — —
Y. Honda D 90 7.05 — — 0 44 38% 3 — —
Y. Takahashi D 90 6.36 — — 1 40 29% 0 — —
H. Sugai D 90 7.00 1 — 1 20 14% 0 — —
M. Yumiba M 90 6.39 — — 0 32 22% 0 — —
Dieguinho M 84 6.68 — — 0 30 28% 1 — —
K. Matsuzaki M 67 6.07 — — 0 22 9% 0 — —
K. Inoue F 45 6.46 — — 0 8 5% 0 — —
Oh Se-Hun F 45 5.88 — — 0 12 4% 1 1 —
K. Kitagawa F 45 6.00 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
K. Kinoshita F 23 6.64 — — 1 5 2% 0 — —
R. Germain F 45 6.54 — — 0 12 8% 0 — —
T. Fujii M 45 8.50 1 1 3 19 16% 1 — —
T. Hirato M 6 6.23 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Y. Shimamoto M 45 6.84 — 1 2 22 19% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse?
The final score was Mito Hollyhock 1–2 Shimizu S-pulse.
What did the model predict before Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Mito Hollyhock win, 35% to a draw, and 28% to an Shimizu S-pulse win.