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Mito Hollyhock - Tokyo Verdy

J1 League May 16, 2026 07:00
Mito Hollyhock
#7 · 18 pts
vs
Tokyo Verdy
#4 · 25 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.21%
Win
Mito Hollyhock
29.35%
Draw
38.44%
Win
Tokyo Verdy
0.92
Expected xG
1.09

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Tokyo Verdy a 38% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Mito Hollyhock. Expected goals are 0.9 for Mito Hollyhock and 1.1 for Tokyo Verdy (total 2.0), with a 68% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 14.5% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Mito Hollyhock have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tokyo Verdy.

Score Matrix
↕ Mito Hollyhock Tokyo Verdy →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3% 14.5% 7.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.3% 13.4% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 5.7% 6.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.8% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% —
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 0.1% 0.1% — — — —
Recent form
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
L Urawa 1–4
L Kashima 3–0
D Yokohama F. Marinos 1–1
D Machida Zelvia 2–2
L FC Tokyo 5–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 28%
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
D Machida Zelvia 0–0
L FC Tokyo 2–1
L Kawasaki Frontale 1–0
W Kashiwa Reysol 1–0
W Kashima 2–1
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 19%
Playing profile
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
Attack
31
Defence
45
Form
42
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
Attack
30
Defence
69
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
Mito Hollyhock
0
Draw
1
Tokyo Verdy
L 8 Feb 2026 J1 League 1–3
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 16 31
1 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 16 31
1 Kashima Kashima 16 39
1 Kashima Kashima 16 39
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 15 28
2 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 16 31
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 16 35
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 16 35
3 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 16 33
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 17 25
3 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 14 28
3 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 17 25
4 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 16 25
4 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 16 25
4 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 16 25
4 Urawa Urawa 16 24
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 24
5 Urawa Urawa 16 24
5 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 15 24
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 16 24
6 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 16 24
6 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 16 24
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 16 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 16 23
7 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 16 18
7 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 16 23
7 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 16 18
7 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 16 23
8 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 17 21
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 16 17
8 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 16 17
8 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 17 21
9 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 16 14
9 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 16 20
9 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 15 20
9 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 16 14
10 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 16 12
10 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 16 19
10 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 15 12
10 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 16 19
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?
The model gives Mito Hollyhock a 32% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 38% for an Tokyo Verdy win.
How many goals are expected in Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?
Expected goals: Mito Hollyhock 0.9, Tokyo Verdy 1.1 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 68%.
What is the most likely score in Mito Hollyhock vs Tokyo Verdy?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.5%.