J1 League
· Regular Season - 10
October 17, 2026 09:00
90'+4
(ast. Takuro Kaneko)
Shuta Sasa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mito Hollyhock a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Urawa 32%). The final result was Mito Hollyhock 0–1 Urawa. In 2 previous meetings, Mito Hollyhock have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Urawa.
Match statistics
1
Total shots
28
1
Shots on target
6
0.07
Actual xG
2.37
5
Saves
1
14%
Possession
86%
0
Corners
13
9
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
9'
Taishi Semba
10'
Kaito Taniguchi
/ Malick Fofana
45'
58'
Yoichi Naganuma
/
Kotaro Hayashi
Hayata Yamamoto
/ Kiichi Yamazaki
70'
73'
Jumpei Hayakawa
/
Miki Yamane
73'
Renji Hidano
/
Hiiro Komori
Jakub Słowik
76'
Ryo Nemoto
/ Keisuke Tada
77'
80'
Kaito Yasui
83'
Shuta Sasa
/
Matheus Sávio
83'
Ado Onaiwu
/
Kaito Yasui
Chihiro Kato
/ Yuto Yamashita
90'+1
90'+4
ast. Takuro Kaneko ·
Shuta Sasa⚽
Takumi Mase
/ Yuri Tamura
90'
Pre-match prediction
35.57%
Mito
32.39%
X
32.04%
Urawa ←
we assigned to the actual result (Urawa)
32.04%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.92
0.07
-0.85
0.78
2.37
+1.6
Urawa dominated by xG (2.37 vs 0.07).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
27
J. Słowik
G
J. Słowik
G
3
K. Osaki
D
K. Osaki
D
17
K. Itakura
D
K. Itakura
D
15
Y. Kimoto
D
Y. Kimoto
D
25
T. Mase
89'
D
T. Mase
89'
D
22
K. Taniguchi
45'
M
K. Taniguchi
45'
M
19
T. Semba
10'
M
T. Semba
10'
M
20
Y. Funabashi
M
Y. Funabashi
M
39
H. Yamamoto
70'
M
H. Yamamoto
70'
M
8
C. Kato
89'
F
C. Kato
89'
F
9
R. Nemoto
77'
F
R. Nemoto
77'
F
Bench
34
K. Nishikawa
G
K. Nishikawa
G
29
K. Tada
13'
F
K. Tada
13'
F
24
K. Yamazaki
20'
M
K. Yamazaki
20'
M
2
M. Fofana
45'
D
M. Fofana
45'
D
44
M. Nishihara
M
M. Nishihara
M
33
Patryck Ferreira
F
Patryck Ferreira
F
50
R. Ieizumi
D
R. Ieizumi
D
16
Y. Tamura
1'
D
Y. Tamura
1'
D
48
Y. Yamashita
1'
M
Y. Yamashita
1'
M
1
S. Nishikawa
G
S. Nishikawa
G
18
K. Hayashi
58'
D
K. Hayashi
58'
D
15
K. Kudo
D
K. Kudo
D
3
Danilo Boza
D
Danilo Boza
D
6
M. Yamane
73'
D
M. Yamane
73'
D
12
T. Seko
M
T. Seko
M
2
Y. Miyamoto
M
Y. Miyamoto
M
25
K. Yasui
83'
M
K. Yasui
83'
M
10
Matheus Sávio
83'
F
Matheus Sávio
83'
F
17
H. Komori
73'
F
H. Komori
73'
F
7
T. Kaneko
1 👟
F
T. Kaneko
1 👟
F
Bench
45
A. Onaiwu
7'
F
A. Onaiwu
7'
F
37
H. Ueki
M
H. Ueki
M
39
J. Hayakawa
17'
M
J. Hayakawa
17'
M
23
K. Fukui
G
K. Fukui
G
5
K. Nemoto
D
K. Nemoto
D
36
R. Hidano
17'
F
R. Hidano
17'
F
13
R. Watanabe
M
R. Watanabe
M
33
S. Sasa
1 ⚽
7'
M
S. Sasa
1 ⚽
7'
M
88
Y. Naganuma
32'
M
Y. Naganuma
32'
M
Best on the pitch
S. Sasa
M · Urawa
7.69
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 4 pass
T. Kaneko
F · Urawa
7.52
1 👟
2 shots
· 78 pass
Danilo Boza
D · Urawa
7.31
7 shots
· 106 pass
Y. Miyamoto
M · Urawa
7.20
2 shots
· 121 pass
K. Kudo
D · Urawa
7.06
2 shots
· 71 pass
M. Yamane
D · Urawa
6.93
1 shots
· 76 pass
Mito Hollyhock — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Słowik | G | 90 | 6.67 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 12% | 0 | 1 | — |
| K. Osaki | D | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Itakura | D | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Kimoto | D | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Mase | D | 89 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Taniguchi | M | 45 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Semba | M | 10 | 5.41 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 1% | 0 | — | 1 |
| Y. Funabashi | M | 90 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Yamamoto | M | 70 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Kato | F | 89 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 4% | 4 | — | — |
| R. Nemoto | F | 77 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Tada | F | 13 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Yamazaki | M | 20 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Fofana | D | 45 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Tamura | D | 1 | 6.29 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Yamashita | M | 1 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Urawa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Nishikawa | G | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Hayashi | D | 58 | 6.57 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Kudo | D | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 2 | 71 | 65% | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo Boza | D | 90 | 7.31 | — | — | 7 | 106 | 100% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Yamane | D | 73 | 6.93 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 70% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Seko | M | 90 | 6.82 | — | — | 3 | 87 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Miyamoto | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 121 | 112% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Yasui | M | 83 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 64 | 57% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Sávio | F | 83 | 6.49 | — | — | 4 | 56 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Komori | F | 73 | 6.42 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Kaneko | F | 90 | 7.52 | — | 1 | 2 | 78 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Onaiwu | F | 7 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Hayakawa | M | 17 | 6.68 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Hidano | F | 17 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Sasa | M | 7 | 7.69 | 1 | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Naganuma | M | 32 | 6.43 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa?
The final score was Mito Hollyhock 0–1 Urawa.
What did the model predict before Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Mito Hollyhock win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Urawa win.