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Mixco - Marquense

Liga Nacional August 08, 2026 19:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.26%
Win
Mixco
30.61%
Draw
29.13%
Win
Marquense
2.15
Expected xG
0.51

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (18.05%)
1X2 Result
1 40%
X 31%
2 29%
Double Chance
1X 71%
X2 60%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 50%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Mixco a 40% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 29% for Marquense. Expected goals are 2.2 for Mixco and 0.5 for Marquense (total 2.7), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 18.05% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Mixco have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Marquense.

Season Stats

Mixco
7W 2D 6L
Marquense
7W 1D 7L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.1
1.4
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
67%
47%
O 2.5
53%
33%
BTTS
47%
27%
Clean Sht
33%
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Mixco
9W 0D 1L · at home
Marquense
2W 0D 8L · away
1.8
gls/g
0.8
0.5
Conceded
2.0
90%
Win %
20%
90%
Win or Draw
20%
70%
O 1.5
70%
40%
O 2.5
60%
20%
O 3.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%
60%
Clean Sht
10%
10%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Mixco Marquense →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2%
1 15.0% 7.7% 2.0% 0.3%
2 16.1% 8.3% 2.1% 0.4%
3 11.6% 5.9% 1.5% 0.3%
4 6.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1%
5 2.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

W Suchitepéquez 2–0
L Municipal 2–0
L Municipal 5–0
L Municipal 0–2
W Cobán Imperial 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 42%
L Municipal 1–2
L Antigua GFC 3–1
L Xelajú 2–0
D Xelajú 1–1
L Guastatoya 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Mixco Mixco
Attack
25
Defence
62
Form
52
Marquense Marquense
Attack
24
Defence
50
Form
39
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mixco vs Marquense?
The model gives Mixco a 40% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 29% for an Marquense win.
How many goals are expected in Mixco vs Marquense?
Expected goals: Mixco 2.2, Marquense 0.5 (total 2.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Mixco vs Marquense?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 18.05%.