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← Brasileirão Série D

Mixto - Gama

Brasileirão Série D June 20, 2026 23:00
Mixto
#3 · 12 pts
vs
Gama
#1 · 26 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
26.87%
Win
Mixto
22.38%
Draw
50.75%
Win
Gama
1.46
Expected xG
2.66
Most likely result 1–2 (8.4%)
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
78%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Gama a 50% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 26% for Mixto. Expected goals are 1.5 for Mixto and 2.7 for Gama (total 4.1), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.4% probability.

Season Stats

Mixto
2W 6D 2L
Gama
8W 2D 0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.3
0.9
Conceded
0.6
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
90%
20%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%
30%
Clean Sht
60%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in Brasileirão Série D. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
90%
O 1.5
20%
O 2.5
10%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
Mixto
1W 4D 0L · at home
Gama
4W 1D 0L · away
1.4
gls/g
1.6
1.0
Conceded
0.4
20%
Win %
80%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
80%
20%
O 2.5
20%
20%
O 3.5
0%
80%
BTTS
40%
20%
Clean Sht
60%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Mixto Gama →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.6% 4.3% 5.7% 5.1% 3.4% 1.8%
1 2.4% 6.3% 8.4% 7.4% 5.0% 2.6%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.1% 5.4% 3.6% 1.9%
3 0.8% 2.2% 3.0% 2.6% 1.8% 0.9%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

Mixto Mixto
D Ceilândia 1–1
D União Rondonópolis 2–2
D CEOV Operário 1–1
W Goiatuba EC 2–0
L Capital Brasilia 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Gama Gama
D Aparecidense 2–2
W Inhumas 0–2
W Primavera MG 4–0
W Brasiliense 3–2
W Luverdense 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 42%

Playing profile

Mixto Mixto
Attack
26
Defence
77
Form
53
Gama Gama
Attack
60
Defence
81
Form
74
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A4

# Team G Pts
1 Capital Brasilia Capital Brasilia 10 23
2 Goiatuba EC Goiatuba EC 10 19
3 Mixto Mixto 10 12
4 Ceilândia Ceilândia 10 12
5 União Rondonópolis União Rondonópolis 10 9
6 CEOV Operário CEOV Operário 10 5

What's at stake · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A4

Top 2 advance to the next round

Mixto Gama
Current #3 #1
→ Mixto #3 #1
→ Draw #3 #1
→ Gama #3 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Mixto vs Gama?
The model gives Mixto a 26% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 50% for an Gama win.
How many goals are expected in Mixto vs Gama?
Expected goals: Mixto 1.5, Gama 2.7 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Mixto vs Gama?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.4%.