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ML Vitebsk - Torpedo Zhodino

Premier League August 01, 2026 17:00
#2 · 44 pts
vs
#9 · 27 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.39%
Win
ML Vitebsk
22.24%
Draw
30.37%
Win
Torpedo Zhodino
2.01
Expected xG
1.66

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.66%)
1X2 Result
1 47%
X 22%
2 30%
Double Chance ✓ 92.0% hit rate (25 picks)
1X 70%
X2 53%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 48%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives ML Vitebsk a 47% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 30% for Torpedo Zhodino. Expected goals are 2.0 for ML Vitebsk and 1.7 for Torpedo Zhodino (total 3.7), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.66% probability. In 1 previous meetings, ML Vitebsk have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Torpedo Zhodino.

Season Stats

ML Vitebsk
9W 4D 1L
Torpedo Zhodino
6W 5D 4L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.5
0.9
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
79%
O 1.5
73%
71%
O 2.5
33%
64%
BTTS
33%
36%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
ML Vitebsk
2W 3D 1L · at home
Torpedo Zhodino
3W 2D 1L · away
1.5
gls/g
1.8
0.8
Conceded
0.7
33%
Win %
50%
83%
Win or Draw
83%
67%
O 1.5
83%
50%
O 2.5
33%
17%
O 3.5
33%
67%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
50%
33%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ ML Vitebsk Torpedo Zhodino →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.6% 4.3% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%
1 5.1% 8.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.2% 8.6% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.5% 5.7% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.7% 2.9% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Recent form

W Arsenal 5–1
D FC Dnepr Mogilev 1–1
D Dinamo Minsk 0–0
D Belshina 1–1
W Dinamo Brest 1–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
L FC Vitebsk 6–0
L Neman 1–0
L FC Gomel 1–2
W Arsenal 2–4
D FC Dnepr Mogilev 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 39%

Playing profile

ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk
Attack
37
Defence
83
Form
60
Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino
Attack
17
Defence
59
Form
34
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
ML Vitebsk
0
Draw
0
Torpedo Zhodino
21 Mar 2026 Premier League 1–0

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 FC Isloch Minsk R. FC Isloch Minsk R. 22 45
2 ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk 21 44
3 Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk 21 43
4 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 23 40
5 FC Gomel FC Gomel 23 39
6 Neman Neman 22 37
7 FC Vitebsk FC Vitebsk 23 36
8 FC Minsk FC Minsk 23 34
9 Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino 22 27
10 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 22 25
11 Baranovichi Baranovichi 23 25
12 Arsenal Arsenal 23 23
13 Belshina Belshina 22 21
14 Bate Borisov Bate Borisov 22 18
15 FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev 23 16
16 Naftan Naftan 23 14
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
The model gives ML Vitebsk a 47% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 30% for an Torpedo Zhodino win.
How many goals are expected in ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
Expected goals: ML Vitebsk 2.0, Torpedo Zhodino 1.7 (total 3.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in ML Vitebsk vs Torpedo Zhodino?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.66%.