✗Model wrong — prediction Mlada Boleslav, result Draw
Michal Ševčík
(ast. Josef Kolářík)
78'
39'
(ast. Marcel Čermák)
Dario Kreiker
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mlada Boleslav a 64% win probability (draw 25%, Dukla Praha 10%). The final result was Mlada Boleslav 1–1 Dukla Praha. In 3 previous meetings, Mlada Boleslav have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Dukla Praha.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
6
1.52
Actual xG
0.74
5
Saves
4
65%
Possession
35%
4
Corners
2
11
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
30'
Marcel Čermák
39'
ast. Marcel Čermák ·
Dario Kreiker⚽
46'
Diego Velasquez
/
Dario Kreiker
48'
Samson Tijani
Dominik Kostka
57'
60'
Dantaye Gilbert
David Kozel
/ Josef Kolářík
61'
Filip Matoušek
/ Daniel Langhamer
61'
61'
Marios Pourzitidis
/
Zlatan Šehović
61'
Marek Hanousek
/
Samson Tijani
72'
Bruno Unušić
/
Marcel Čermák
⚽Michal Ševčík
· ast. Josef Kolářík
78'
Solomon John
/ Matouš Krulich
81'
Filip Lehký
/ Martin Šubert
81'
83'
Rajmund Mikuš
/
Lukas Penxa
Matouš Krulich
86'
86'
Daniel Kozma
Roman Macek
90'+3
Michal Ševčík
/ Denis Donát
90'
Pre-match prediction
64.09%
Mlada
25.24%
X ←
10.67%
Dukla
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
1.52
-0.02
0.30
0.74
+0.44
Mlada Boleslav dominated by xG (1.52 vs 0.74).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
59
G
44
Ondrej Karafiat
D
Ondrej Karafiat
D
3
Martin Králik
D
Martin Králik
D
32
Filip Matoušek
61'
D
Filip Matoušek
61'
D
11
M
19
David Kozel
61'
M
David Kozel
61'
M
7
Roman Macek
M
Roman Macek
M
31
D. Kostka
M
20
Solomon John
81'
F
Solomon John
81'
F
10
Filip Lehký
81'
F
Filip Lehký
81'
F
22
Michal Ševčík
1 ⚽
F
Michal Ševčík
1 ⚽
F
Bench
28
Daniel Langhamer
34'
M
Daniel Langhamer
34'
M
49
Josef Kolářík
1 👟
34'
M
Josef Kolářík
1 👟
34'
M
37
Matouš Krulich
14'
F
Matouš Krulich
14'
F
59
Hugo Jan Bačkovský
G
Hugo Jan Bačkovský
G
3
Z. Šehović
61'
D
Z. Šehović
61'
D
22
D
18
Dominik Hašek
D
Dominik Hašek
D
39
D. Kozma
D
D. Kozma
D
14
Samson Tijani
61'
M
19
M. Čermák
1 👟
72'
M
M. Čermák
1 👟
72'
M
47
Dario Kreiker
1 ⚽
45'
M
Dario Kreiker
1 ⚽
45'
M
15
Dantaye Gilbert
M
Dantaye Gilbert
M
6
Lukas Penxa
83'
M
Lukas Penxa
83'
M
11
Kevin-Prince Milla
F
Kevin-Prince Milla
F
Bench
5
Diego Velasquez
50'
M
Diego Velasquez
50'
M
23
Jaroslav Svozil
D
Jaroslav Svozil
D
25
Marek Hanousek
34'
M
Marek Hanousek
34'
M
37
Marios Pourzitidis
34'
D
Marios Pourzitidis
34'
D
95
M. Cernak
M
8
Pavel Gaszczyk
M
Pavel Gaszczyk
M
10
Rajmund Mikuš
12'
M
Rajmund Mikuš
12'
M
17
Tomáš Pekhart
F
Tomáš Pekhart
F
Best on the pitch
Michal Ševčík
F · Mlada
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 31 pass
Roman Macek
M · Mlada
7.70
· 68 pass
Dario Kreiker
M · Dukla
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 7 pass
D · Dukla
7.30
· 28 pass
Z. Šehović
D · Dukla
7.30
1 shots
· 14 pass
Ondrej Karafiat
D · Mlada
7.20
2 shots
· 75 pass
Mlada Boleslav — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 35 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| Ondrej Karafiat | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 75 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Martin Králik | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Filip Matoušek | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 59 | 50% | 1 | — | — | |
| David Kozel | M | 61 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Roman Macek | M | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 68 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| D. Kostka | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 40 | 36% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Solomon John | F | 81 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Filip Lehký | F | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Michal Ševčík | F | 94 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 31 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Daniel Langhamer | M | 34 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Josef Kolářík | M | 34 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Matouš Krulich | F | 14 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Dukla Praha — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Jan Bačkovský | G | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 40 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Z. Šehović | D | 61 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 1 | — | — | |
| Dominik Hašek | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Kozma | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 5 | 1 | — |
| Samson Tijani | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Čermák | M | 72 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 1 | 22 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dario Kreiker | M | 45 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Dantaye Gilbert | M | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Lukas Penxa | M | 83 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Kevin-Prince Milla | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Diego Velasquez | M | 50 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Marek Hanousek | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Marios Pourzitidis | D | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
| Rajmund Mikuš | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Praha?
The final score was Mlada Boleslav 1–1 Dukla Praha.
What did the model predict before Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Praha?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Mlada Boleslav win, 25% to a draw, and 10% to an Dukla Praha win.