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Czech Liga · Regular Season - 29 April 12, 2026 15:30
Mlada Boleslav
#2 · 37 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Dukla Praha
#5 · 26 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Mlada Boleslav, result Pareggio
Michal Ševčík (ast. Josef Kolářík) 78'
39' (ast. Marcel Čermák) Dario Kreiker

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mlada Boleslav a 64% win probability (draw 25%, Dukla Praha 10%). The final result was Mlada Boleslav 1–1 Dukla Praha. In 2 previous meetings, Mlada Boleslav have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Dukla Praha.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
6
1.52
Actual xG
0.74
5
Saves
4
65%
Possession
35%
4
Corners
2
11
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
30'
Marcel Čermák
39'
ast. Marcel Čermák · Dario Kreiker⚽
46'
Diego Velasquez / Dario Kreiker ↕
48'
Samson Tijani
Dominik Kostka
57'
60'
Dantaye Gilbert
↕ David Kozel / Josef Kolářík
61'
↕ Filip Matoušek / Daniel Langhamer
61'
61'
Marios Pourzitidis / Zlatan Šehović ↕
61'
Marek Hanousek / Samson Tijani ↕
72'
Bruno Unušić / Marcel Čermák ↕
⚽Michal Ševčík · ast. Josef Kolářík
78'
↕ Solomon John / Matouš Krulich
81'
↕ Filip Lehký / Martin Šubert
81'
83'
Rajmund Mikuš / Lukas Penxa ↕
Matouš Krulich
86'
86'
Daniel Kozma
Roman Macek
90'+3
↕ Michal Ševčík / Denis Donát
90'
Pre-match prediction
64.09%
Mlada
25.24%
X ←
10.67%
Dukla
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 25.24% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mlada
1.54
1.52
-0.02
Dukla
0.30
0.74
+0.44
Mlada Boleslav dominated by xG (1.52 vs 0.74). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zlin Zlin 33 38
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 33 77
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 30 71
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 33 70
2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 33 37
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 30 63
3 Plzen Plzen 33 60
3 Teplice Teplice 33 36
3 Plzen Plzen 30 53
4 Slovácko Slovácko 33 30
4 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 33 53
4 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 30 51
5 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 33 52
5 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 33 26
5 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 30 49
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 30 46
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 33 46
6 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 33 23
7 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 30 43
8 Pardubice Pardubice 30 41
9 Karviná Karviná 30 39
10 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 30 36
11 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 30 35
12 Zlin Zlin 30 34
13 Teplice Teplice 30 29
14 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 30 23
15 Slovácko Slovácko 30 23
16 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 30 22
Lineups
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-4-3
59
G 6.30
44 Ondrej Karafiat Ondrej Karafiat D 7.20
3 Martin Králik Martin Králik D 6.90
32 Filip Matoušek Filip Matoušek 61' D 6.30
11
M 7.20
19 David Kozel David Kozel 61' M 7.00
7
R. Macek M 7.70
31 Dominik Kostka Dominik Kostka M 6.50
20 Solomon John Solomon John 81' F 7.20
10 Filip Lehký Filip Lehký 81' F 6.90
22 Michal Ševčík Michal Ševčík 1 ⚽ F 8.30
Bench
28 Daniel Langhamer Daniel Langhamer 34' M 7.20
49 Josef Kolářík Josef Kolářík 1 👟 34' M 6.60
37 Matouš Krulich Matouš Krulich 14' F 6.20
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 4-2-3-1
59 Hugo Jan Bačkovský Hugo Jan Bačkovský G 6.60
3 Zlatan Šehović Zlatan Šehović 61' D 7.30
22
D 7.30
18 Dominik Hašek Dominik Hašek D 6.90
39 Daniel Kozma Daniel Kozma D 6.70
14 Samson Tijani Samson Tijani 61' M 6.90
19 Marcel Čermák Marcel Čermák 1 👟 72' M 6.70
47 Dario Kreiker Dario Kreiker 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.50
15 Dantaye Gilbert Dantaye Gilbert M 5.90
6
L. Penxa 83' M 6.30
11 Kevin-Prince Milla Kevin-Prince Milla F 6.90
Bench
5 Diego Velasquez Diego Velasquez 50' M 6.60
23 Jaroslav Svozil Jaroslav Svozil D
25 Marek Hanousek Marek Hanousek 34' M 6.30
37 Marios Pourzitidis Marios Pourzitidis 34' D 6.60
95
M. Cernak M
8 Pavel Gaszczyk Pavel Gaszczyk M
10 Rajmund Mikuš Rajmund Mikuš 12' M 6.30
17 Tomáš Pekhart Tomáš Pekhart F
Best on the pitch
Michal Ševčík
Michal Ševčík
F · Mlada
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 31 pass
R. Macek
M · Mlada
7.70
· 68 pass
Dario Kreiker
Dario Kreiker
M · Dukla
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots · 7 pass
D · Dukla
7.30
· 28 pass
Zlatan Šehović
Zlatan Šehović
D · Dukla
7.30
1 shots · 14 pass
Ondrej Karafiat
Ondrej Karafiat
D · Mlada
7.20
2 shots · 75 pass
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.30 — — — 35 28% — — —
Ondrej Karafiat D 95 7.20 — — 2 75 62% 1 — —
Martin Králik D 95 6.90 — — 1 63 56% 1 — —
Filip Matoušek D 61 6.30 — — — 26 21% 1 — —
M 95 7.20 — — — 59 50% 1 — —
David Kozel M 61 7.00 — — 1 23 14% 1 — —
R. Macek M 95 7.70 — — — 68 59% 1 1 —
Dominik Kostka M 95 6.50 — — 3 40 36% 2 1 —
Solomon John F 81 7.20 — — 1 20 14% — — —
Filip Lehký F 81 6.90 — — — 21 18% — — —
Michal Ševčík F 94 8.30 1 — 2 31 19% 3 — —
Daniel Langhamer M 34 7.20 — — 1 29 24% — — —
Josef Kolářík M 34 6.60 — 1 — 10 8% — — —
Matouš Krulich F 14 6.20 — — — 2 2% — 1 —
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Hugo Jan Bačkovský G 95 6.60 — — — 40 17% — — —
Zlatan Šehović D 61 7.30 — — 1 14 10% 2 — —
D 95 7.30 — — — 28 21% 1 — —
Dominik Hašek D 95 6.90 — — 1 21 15% — — —
Daniel Kozma D 95 6.70 — — — 21 16% 5 1 —
Samson Tijani M 61 6.90 — — — 17 12% 3 1 —
Marcel Čermák M 72 6.70 — 1 1 22 15% 1 1 —
Dario Kreiker M 45 7.50 1 — 1 7 3% — — —
Dantaye Gilbert M 95 5.90 — — 2 28 20% 2 1 —
L. Penxa M 83 6.30 — — 1 16 9% — — —
Kevin-Prince Milla F 95 6.90 — — 1 20 16% — — —
Diego Velasquez M 50 6.60 — — 1 8 5% 1 — —
Marek Hanousek M 34 6.30 — — — 5 4% 3 — —
Marios Pourzitidis D 34 6.60 — — — 10 7% 2 — —
Rajmund Mikuš M 12 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Praha?
The final score was Mlada Boleslav 1–1 Dukla Praha.
What did the model predict before Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Praha?
The model assigned 64% probability to a Mlada Boleslav win, 25% to a draw, and 10% to an Dukla Praha win.