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Czech Liga · Relegation Group - 3 May 12, 2026 17:30
Mlada Boleslav
#2 · 37 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Dukla Praha
#5 · 26 pts
O. Karafiat (ast. M. Sevcik) 62'
4' K. Milla
55' (ast. M. Pourzitidis) D. Gilbert

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mlada Boleslav a 54% win probability (draw 26%, Dukla Praha 19%). The final result was Mlada Boleslav 1–2 Dukla Praha. In 2 previous meetings, Mlada Boleslav have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Dukla Praha.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
0.91
Actual xG
2.10
2
Saves
3
68%
Possession
32%
4
Corners
3
12
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
K. Milla⚽
↕ D. Kostka / J. Kolarik
46'
↕ C. Kabongo / D. Kozel
46'
↕ J. Zika / M. Subert
46'
↕ S. John / J. Klima
46'
46'
S. Tijani
55'
ast. M. Pourzitidis · D. Gilbert⚽
⚽O. Karafiat · ast. M. Sevcik
62'
63'
R. Mikus / D. Kreiker ↕
73'
D. Velasquez
80'
M. Hanousek / D. Velasquez ↕
80'
B. Unusic / D. Gilbert ↕
↕ D. Langhamer / F. Lehky
82'
90'+1
P. Gaszczyk / S. Tijani ↕
90'+1
T. Pekhart / K. Milla ↕
Pre-match prediction
54.43%
Mlada
26.29%
X
19.28%
Dukla ←
we assigned to the actual result (Dukla Praha) 19.28% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mlada
1.40
0.91
-0.49
Dukla
0.64
2.10
+1.46
Dukla Praha dominated by xG (2.10 vs 0.91). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zlin Zlin 33 38
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 33 77
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 30 71
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 33 70
2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 33 37
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 30 63
3 Plzen Plzen 33 60
3 Teplice Teplice 33 36
3 Plzen Plzen 30 53
4 Slovácko Slovácko 33 30
4 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 33 53
4 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 30 51
5 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 33 52
5 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 33 26
5 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 30 49
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 30 46
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 33 46
6 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 33 23
7 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 30 43
8 Pardubice Pardubice 30 41
9 Karviná Karviná 30 39
10 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 30 36
11 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 30 35
12 Zlin Zlin 30 34
13 Teplice Teplice 30 29
14 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 30 23
15 Slovácko Slovácko 30 23
16 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 30 22
Lineups
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1
42 Vojtěch Vorel Vojtěch Vorel G 7.20
11 Matěj Hybš Matěj Hybš D 7.30
3 Martin Králik Martin Králik D 6.70
32 Filip Matoušek Filip Matoušek D 6.50
31 Dominik Kostka Dominik Kostka 45' D 6.20
44 Ondrej Karafiat Ondrej Karafiat 1 ⚽ M 7.90
76 Jan Zíka Jan Zíka 45' M 6.30
20 Solomon John Solomon John 45' M 6.30
28 Daniel Langhamer Daniel Langhamer 82' M 7.00
22 Michal Ševčík Michal Ševčík 1 👟 M 7.20
25 Christophe Kabongo Christophe Kabongo 45' F 6.30
Bench
19 David Kozel David Kozel 45' M 7.20
13 Denis Donát Denis Donát D
24 Dominik Mareš Dominik Mareš D
10 Filip Lehký Filip Lehký 8' F 6.70
5 Harustak Jan Harustak Jan D
23 Jiří Klíma Jiří Klíma 45' F 6.20
49 Josef Kolářík Josef Kolářík 45' M 6.20
21 Martin Šubert Martin Šubert 45' F 6.90
37 Matouš Krulich Matouš Krulich F
15 Nicolas Penner Nicolas Penner M
83 Stefan Jovanoski Stefan Jovanoski G
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 4-2-3-1
59 Hugo Jan Bačkovský Hugo Jan Bačkovský G 6.30
37 Marios Pourzitidis Marios Pourzitidis 1 👟 D 7.00
22 Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré D 6.90
4 Eric Hunal Eric Hunal D 6.50
39 Daniel Kozma Daniel Kozma D 6.50
14 Samson Tijani Samson Tijani 89' M 7.00
5 Diego Velasquez Diego Velasquez 80' M 6.60
19 Marcel Čermák Marcel Čermák M 6.50
15 Dantaye Gilbert Dantaye Gilbert 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.70
47 Dario Kreiker Dario Kreiker 63' M 6.50
11 Kevin-Prince Milla Kevin-Prince Milla 1 ⚽ 89' F 6.70
Bench
31 Adam Jagrik Adam Jagrik G
28 Bruno Unušić Bruno Unušić 10' D 6.90
18 Dominik Hašek Dominik Hašek D
23 Jaroslav Svozil Jaroslav Svozil D
25 Marek Hanousek Marek Hanousek 10' M 6.60
20 Matěj Žitný Matěj Žitný M
8 Pavel Gaszczyk Pavel Gaszczyk 1' M
10 Rajmund Mikuš Rajmund Mikuš 27' M 6.30
21 Seif Ali Hindi Seif Ali Hindi F
17 Tomáš Pekhart Tomáš Pekhart 1' F
3 Zlatan Šehović Zlatan Šehović D
Best on the pitch
Ondrej Karafiat
Ondrej Karafiat
M · Mlada
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 103 pass
Dantaye Gilbert
Dantaye Gilbert
M · Dukla
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 28 pass
Matěj Hybš
Matěj Hybš
D · Mlada
7.30
· 89 pass
David Kozel
David Kozel
M · Mlada
7.20
· 43 pass
Michal Ševčík
Michal Ševčík
M · Mlada
7.20
1 👟
3 shots · 29 pass
Vojtěch Vorel
Vojtěch Vorel
G · Mlada
7.20
· 30 pass
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Vojtěch Vorel G 90 7.20 — — — 30 30% — — —
Matěj Hybš D 90 7.30 — — — 89 77% 4 — —
Martin Králik D 90 6.70 — — — 91 83% — — —
Filip Matoušek D 90 6.50 — — — 52 46% 1 — —
Dominik Kostka D 45 6.20 — — — 12 10% — — —
Ondrej Karafiat M 90 7.90 1 — 2 103 92% — — —
Jan Zíka M 45 6.30 — — — 45 39% 1 — —
Solomon John M 45 6.30 — — — 12 10% — — —
Daniel Langhamer M 82 7.00 — — 1 44 36% 2 — —
Michal Ševčík M 90 7.20 — 1 3 29 23% 2 — —
Christophe Kabongo F 45 6.30 — — — 13 12% — — —
David Kozel M 45 7.20 — — — 43 41% — — —
Filip Lehký F 8 6.70 — — — 7 7% — — —
Jiří Klíma F 45 6.20 — — — 12 9% — — —
Josef Kolářík M 45 6.20 — — 2 19 17% 1 — —
Martin Šubert F 45 6.90 — — 1 19 13% 1 — —
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Hugo Jan Bačkovský G 90 6.30 — — — 29 17% — — —
Marios Pourzitidis D 90 7.00 — 1 — 30 25% 5 — —
Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré D 90 6.90 — — — 34 29% 1 — —
Eric Hunal D 90 6.50 — — — 28 18% — — —
Daniel Kozma D 90 6.50 — — 1 19 13% 3 — —
Samson Tijani M 89 7.00 — — 1 25 20% 3 1 —
Diego Velasquez M 80 6.60 — — — 25 23% 3 1 —
Marcel Čermák M 90 6.50 — — — 31 28% 1 — —
Dantaye Gilbert M 80 7.70 1 — 2 28 18% — — —
Dario Kreiker M 63 6.50 — — 2 11 8% 1 — —
Kevin-Prince Milla F 89 6.70 1 — 4 16 11% — — —
Bruno Unušić D 10 6.90 — — — 2 1% — — —
Marek Hanousek M 10 6.60 — — — 4 4% 1 — —
Pavel Gaszczyk M 1 — — — — — — — — —
Rajmund Mikuš M 27 6.30 — — 1 7 5% — — —
Tomáš Pekhart F 1 — — — — 1 1% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Praha?
The final score was Mlada Boleslav 1–2 Dukla Praha.
What did the model predict before Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Praha?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Mlada Boleslav win, 26% to a draw, and 19% to an Dukla Praha win.