O. Karafiat
(ast. M. Sevcik)
62'
4'
K. Milla
55'
(ast. M. Pourzitidis)
D. Gilbert
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mlada Boleslav a 54% win probability (draw 26%, Dukla Praha 19%). The final result was Mlada Boleslav 1–2 Dukla Praha. In 3 previous meetings, Mlada Boleslav have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Dukla Praha.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
0.91
Actual xG
2.10
2
Saves
3
68%
Possession
32%
4
Corners
3
12
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
K. Milla⚽
D. Kostka
/ J. Kolarik
46'
C. Kabongo
/ D. Kozel
46'
J. Zika
/ M. Subert
46'
S. John
/ J. Klima
46'
46'
S. Tijani
55'
ast. M. Pourzitidis ·
D. Gilbert⚽
⚽O. Karafiat
· ast. M. Sevcik
62'
63'
R. Mikus
/
D. Kreiker
73'
D. Velasquez
80'
M. Hanousek
/
D. Velasquez
80'
B. Unusic
/
D. Gilbert
D. Langhamer
/ F. Lehky
82'
90'+1
P. Gaszczyk
/
S. Tijani
90'+1
T. Pekhart
/
K. Milla
Pre-match prediction
54.43%
Mlada
26.29%
X
19.28%
Dukla ←
we assigned to the actual result (Dukla Praha)
19.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
0.91
-0.49
0.64
2.10
+1.46
Dukla Praha dominated by xG (2.10 vs 0.91).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
42
V. Vorel
G
V. Vorel
G
11
M. Hybš
D
M. Hybš
D
3
M. Králik
D
M. Králik
D
32
F. Matoušek
D
F. Matoušek
D
31
D. Kostka
45'
D
44
O. Karafiát
1 ⚽
M
O. Karafiát
1 ⚽
M
76
Jan Zika
45'
M
Jan Zika
45'
M
20
S. John
45'
M
S. John
45'
M
28
D. Langhamer
82'
M
D. Langhamer
82'
M
22
M. Ševčík
1 👟
M
M. Ševčík
1 👟
M
25
C. Kabongo
45'
F
C. Kabongo
45'
F
Bench
19
David Kozel
45'
M
David Kozel
45'
M
13
D. Donát
D
D. Donát
D
24
D. Mareš
D
D. Mareš
D
10
Filip Lehký
8'
F
Filip Lehký
8'
F
5
Harustak Jan
D
Harustak Jan
D
23
J. Klíma
45'
F
J. Klíma
45'
F
49
J. Kolářík
45'
M
J. Kolářík
45'
M
37
Matouš Krulich
F
Matouš Krulich
F
21
M. Šubert
45'
F
M. Šubert
45'
F
15
Nicolas Penner
M
Nicolas Penner
M
83
Stefan Jovanoski
G
Stefan Jovanoski
G
59
Hugo Jan Bačkovský
G
Hugo Jan Bačkovský
G
37
M. Pourzitídis
1 👟
D
22
M. Traore
D
M. Traore
D
4
E. Hunál
D
E. Hunál
D
39
D. Kozma
D
D. Kozma
D
14
Samson Tijani
89'
M
5
Diego Velasquez
80'
M
Diego Velasquez
80'
M
19
M. Čermák
M
M. Čermák
M
15
D. Gilbert
1 ⚽
80'
M
D. Gilbert
1 ⚽
80'
M
47
Dario Kreiker
63'
M
Dario Kreiker
63'
M
11
Kevin-Prince Milla
1 ⚽
89'
F
Kevin-Prince Milla
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
31
Adam Jagrik
G
Adam Jagrik
G
28
B. Unušić
10'
D
B. Unušić
10'
D
18
Dominik Hašek
D
Dominik Hašek
D
23
Jaroslav Svozil
D
Jaroslav Svozil
D
25
Marek Hanousek
10'
M
Marek Hanousek
10'
M
20
Matěj Žitný
M
Matěj Žitný
M
8
Pavel Gaszczyk
1'
M
Pavel Gaszczyk
1'
M
10
Rajmund Mikuš
27'
M
Rajmund Mikuš
27'
M
21
Seif Ali Hindi
F
Seif Ali Hindi
F
17
Tomáš Pekhart
1'
F
Tomáš Pekhart
1'
F
3
Z. Šehović
D
Z. Šehović
D
Best on the pitch
O. Karafiát
M · Mlada
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 103 pass
D. Gilbert
M · Dukla
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
M. Hybš
D · Mlada
7.30
· 89 pass
David Kozel
M · Mlada
7.20
· 43 pass
M. Ševčík
M · Mlada
7.20
1 👟
3 shots
· 29 pass
V. Vorel
G · Mlada
7.20
· 30 pass
Mlada Boleslav — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Vorel | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Hybš | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 89 | 77% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Králik | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 91 | 83% | — | — | — |
| F. Matoušek | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Kostka | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| O. Karafiát | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 103 | 92% | — | — | — |
| Jan Zika | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| S. John | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| D. Langhamer | M | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Ševčík | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Kabongo | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| David Kozel | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Filip Lehký | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Klíma | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. Kolářík | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Šubert | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Dukla Praha — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Jan Bačkovský | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Pourzitídis | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Traore | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Hunál | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D. Kozma | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Samson Tijani | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Diego Velasquez | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Čermák | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Gilbert | M | 80 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Dario Kreiker | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin-Prince Milla | F | 89 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| B. Unušić | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Marek Hanousek | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Pavel Gaszczyk | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rajmund Mikuš | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Tomáš Pekhart | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Praha?
The final score was Mlada Boleslav 1–2 Dukla Praha.
What did the model predict before Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Praha?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Mlada Boleslav win, 26% to a draw, and 19% to an Dukla Praha win.