O. Karafiat
(ast. M. Sevcik)
62'
4'
K. Milla
55'
(ast. M. Pourzitidis)
D. Gilbert
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mlada Boleslav a 54% win probability (draw 26%, Dukla Praha 19%). The final result was Mlada Boleslav 1–2 Dukla Praha. In 3 previous meetings, Mlada Boleslav have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Dukla Praha.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
4
0.91
Actual xG
2.10
2
Saves
3
68%
Possession
32%
4
Corners
3
12
Tackles
18
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
4'
K. Milla⚽
D. Kostka
/ J. Kolarik
46'
C. Kabongo
/ D. Kozel
46'
J. Zika
/ M. Subert
46'
S. John
/ J. Klima
46'
46'
S. Tijani
55'
ast. M. Pourzitidis ·
D. Gilbert⚽
⚽O. Karafiat
· ast. M. Sevcik
62'
63'
R. Mikus
/
D. Kreiker
73'
D. Velasquez
80'
M. Hanousek
/
D. Velasquez
80'
B. Unusic
/
D. Gilbert
D. Langhamer
/ F. Lehky
82'
90'+1
P. Gaszczyk
/
S. Tijani
90'+1
T. Pekhart
/
K. Milla
Pre-match prediction
54.43%
Mlada
26.29%
X
19.28%
Dukla ←
we assigned to the actual result (Dukla Praha)
19.28%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.40
0.91
-0.49
0.64
2.10
+1.46
Dukla Praha dominated by xG (2.10 vs 0.91).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
42
Vojtěch Vorel
G
Vojtěch Vorel
G
11
Matěj Hybš
D
Matěj Hybš
D
3
Martin Králik
D
Martin Králik
D
32
Filip Matoušek
D
Filip Matoušek
D
31
D. Kostka
45'
D
44
Ondrej Karafiat
1 ⚽
M
Ondrej Karafiat
1 ⚽
M
76
Jan Zíka
45'
M
Jan Zíka
45'
M
20
Solomon John
45'
M
Solomon John
45'
M
28
Daniel Langhamer
82'
M
Daniel Langhamer
82'
M
22
Michal Ševčík
1 👟
M
Michal Ševčík
1 👟
M
25
Christophe Kabongo
45'
F
Bench
19
David Kozel
45'
M
David Kozel
45'
M
13
Denis Donát
D
Denis Donát
D
24
Dominik Mareš
D
Dominik Mareš
D
10
Filip Lehký
8'
F
Filip Lehký
8'
F
5
Harustak Jan
D
Harustak Jan
D
23
Jiří Klíma
45'
F
Jiří Klíma
45'
F
49
Josef Kolářík
45'
M
Josef Kolářík
45'
M
21
Martin Šubert
45'
F
Martin Šubert
45'
F
37
Matouš Krulich
F
Matouš Krulich
F
15
Nicolas Penner
M
Nicolas Penner
M
83
Stefan Jovanoski
G
Stefan Jovanoski
G
59
Hugo Jan Bačkovský
G
Hugo Jan Bačkovský
G
37
Marios Pourzitidis
1 👟
D
Marios Pourzitidis
1 👟
D
22
Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré
D
Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré
D
4
Eric Hunal
D
Eric Hunal
D
39
D. Kozma
D
D. Kozma
D
14
Samson Tijani
89'
M
5
Diego Velasquez
80'
M
Diego Velasquez
80'
M
19
M. Čermák
M
M. Čermák
M
15
Dantaye Gilbert
1 ⚽
80'
M
Dantaye Gilbert
1 ⚽
80'
M
47
Dario Kreiker
63'
M
Dario Kreiker
63'
M
11
Kevin-Prince Milla
1 ⚽
89'
F
Kevin-Prince Milla
1 ⚽
89'
F
Bench
31
Adam Jagrik
G
Adam Jagrik
G
28
Bruno Unušić
10'
D
Bruno Unušić
10'
D
18
Dominik Hašek
D
Dominik Hašek
D
23
Jaroslav Svozil
D
Jaroslav Svozil
D
25
Marek Hanousek
10'
M
Marek Hanousek
10'
M
20
Matěj Žitný
M
Matěj Žitný
M
8
Pavel Gaszczyk
1'
M
Pavel Gaszczyk
1'
M
10
Rajmund Mikuš
27'
M
Rajmund Mikuš
27'
M
21
Seif Ali Hindi
F
Seif Ali Hindi
F
17
Tomáš Pekhart
1'
F
Tomáš Pekhart
1'
F
3
Z. Šehović
D
Z. Šehović
D
Best on the pitch
Ondrej Karafiat
M · Mlada
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 103 pass
Dantaye Gilbert
M · Dukla
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 28 pass
Matěj Hybš
D · Mlada
7.30
· 89 pass
David Kozel
M · Mlada
7.20
· 43 pass
Michal Ševčík
M · Mlada
7.20
1 👟
3 shots
· 29 pass
Vojtěch Vorel
G · Mlada
7.20
· 30 pass
Mlada Boleslav — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vojtěch Vorel | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Matěj Hybš | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 89 | 77% | 4 | — | — |
| Martin Králik | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 91 | 83% | — | — | — |
| Filip Matoušek | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Kostka | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Ondrej Karafiat | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 103 | 92% | — | — | — |
| Jan Zíka | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Solomon John | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Langhamer | M | 82 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Michal Ševčík | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 29 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Christophe Kabongo | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| David Kozel | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | — | — | — |
| Filip Lehký | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Jiří Klíma | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Josef Kolářík | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Martin Šubert | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
Dukla Praha — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Jan Bačkovský | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Marios Pourzitidis | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 30 | 25% | 5 | — | — |
| Mouhamed Tidjane Traoré | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Eric Hunal | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D. Kozma | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Samson Tijani | M | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Diego Velasquez | M | 80 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M. Čermák | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Dantaye Gilbert | M | 80 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 28 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Dario Kreiker | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin-Prince Milla | F | 89 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 4 | 16 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Unušić | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Marek Hanousek | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Pavel Gaszczyk | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rajmund Mikuš | M | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Tomáš Pekhart | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Praha?
The final score was Mlada Boleslav 1–2 Dukla Praha.
What did the model predict before Mlada Boleslav vs Dukla Praha?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Mlada Boleslav win, 26% to a draw, and 19% to an Dukla Praha win.