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Czech Liga · Relegation Group - 2 May 09, 2026 14:00
Mlada Boleslav
#2 · 37 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Zlin
#1 · 38 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Mlada Boleslav, result Pareggio
J. Kolarik (ast. C. Kabongo) 42'
81' (ast. T. Poznar) T. Ulbrich

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mlada Boleslav a 65% win probability (draw 19%, Zlin 14%). The final result was Mlada Boleslav 1–1 Zlin. In 2 previous meetings, Mlada Boleslav have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Zlin.

Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
4
1.62
Actual xG
1.04
2
Saves
4
60%
Possession
40%
4
Corners
5
10
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
D. Kozel
30'
⚽J. Kolarik · ast. C. Kabongo
42'
↕ O. Karafiat / D. Kostka
46'
46'
M. Cupak / K. Penkevics ↕
53'
T. Hellebrand
↕ M. Sevcik / F. Lehky
63'
↕ C. Kabongo / J. Klima
63'
63'
D. Machalik / M. Koubek ↕
64'
T. Ulbrich / T. Hellebrand ↕
73'
T. Poznar / S. Kanu ↕
↕ J. Kolarik / D. Langhamer
78'
↕ M. Subert / S. John
78'
81'
ast. T. Poznar · T. Ulbrich⚽
84'
J. Kalabiska / C. Nombil ↕
84'
T. Poznar
F. Lehky
90'+1
90'+2
T. Ulbrich
Pre-match prediction
65.83%
Mlada
19.4%
X ←
14.77%
Zlin
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 19.4% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Mlada
2.55
1.62
-0.93
Zlin
0.98
1.04
+0.06
Mlada Boleslav dominated by xG (1.62 vs 1.04). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Zlin Zlin 33 38
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 33 77
1 Slavia Praha Slavia Praha 30 71
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 33 70
2 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 33 37
2 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 30 63
3 Plzen Plzen 33 60
3 Teplice Teplice 33 36
3 Plzen Plzen 30 53
4 Slovácko Slovácko 33 30
4 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 33 53
4 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 30 51
5 FK Jablonec FK Jablonec 33 52
5 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 33 26
5 Hradec Králové Hradec Králové 30 49
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 30 46
6 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 33 46
6 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 33 23
7 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 30 43
8 Pardubice Pardubice 30 41
9 Karviná Karviná 30 39
10 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 30 36
11 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 30 35
12 Zlin Zlin 30 34
13 Teplice Teplice 30 29
14 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 30 23
15 Slovácko Slovácko 30 23
16 Baník Ostrava Baník Ostrava 30 22
Lineups
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 4-2-3-1
59
G 6.70
5
D 6.90
44 Ondrej Karafiat Ondrej Karafiat 45' D 6.60
3 Martin Králik Martin Králik D 7.30
13
D 6.90
19 David Kozel David Kozel M 7.20
76
M 7.00
49 Josef Kolářík Josef Kolářík 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.90
22 Michal Ševčík Michal Ševčík 63' M 6.60
21
78' M 7.30
25 Christophe Kabongo Christophe Kabongo 1 👟 63' F 6.90
Bench
28 Daniel Langhamer Daniel Langhamer 14' M 6.70
31 Dominik Kostka Dominik Kostka 47' D 6.20
10 Filip Lehký Filip Lehký 29' F 6.20
32 Filip Matoušek Filip Matoušek D
37 Matouš Krulich Matouš Krulich F
20 Solomon John Solomon John 14' M 6.50
Zlin Zlin 4-2-3-1
64
G 7.30
82
D 6.60
28 Jakub Kolar Jakub Kolar D 6.90
24 Jakub Černín Jakub Černín D 6.90
23 Miloš Kopečný Miloš Kopečný D 6.90
5 Kristers Penkevics Kristers Penkevics 45' M 6.20
19 Cletus Nombil Cletus Nombil 84' M 6.00
10 Jakub Pešek Jakub Pešek M 6.30
53 Tomas Hellebrand Tomas Hellebrand 64' M 6.70
15 Matěj Koubek Matěj Koubek 63' M 6.70
14 Stanley Kanu Stanley Kanu 73' F 6.70
Bench
39 Antonín Křapka Antonín Křapka D
8 David Machalík David Machalík 29' M 6.70
6 Joss Didiba Joss Didiba M
31 Lukas Bartosak Lukas Bartosak D
30 Lukáš Branecký Lukáš Branecký F
26 Michal Cupak Michal Cupak 47' M 6.60
88 Tomáš Poznar Tomáš Poznar 1 👟 19' F 6.60
4 Tom Ulbrich Tom Ulbrich 1 ⚽ 28' M 7.60
Best on the pitch
Josef Kolářík
Josef Kolářík
M · Mlada
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 31 pass
Tom Ulbrich
Tom Ulbrich
M · Zlin
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
Martin Králik
Martin Králik
D · Mlada
7.30
2 shots · 71 pass
G · Zlin
7.30
· 34 pass
M · Mlada
7.30
2 shots · 28 pass
David Kozel
David Kozel
M · Mlada
7.20
2 shots · 53 pass
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 92 6.70 — — — 24 20% — — —
D 92 6.90 — — 1 56 48% — — —
Ondrej Karafiat D 45 6.60 — — — 44 38% — — —
Martin Králik D 92 7.30 — — 2 71 64% — — —
D 92 6.90 — — — 47 39% 1 — —
David Kozel M 92 7.20 — — 2 53 44% 3 1 —
M 92 7.00 — — 1 64 59% 2 — —
Josef Kolářík M 78 7.90 1 — 1 31 26% — — —
Michal Ševčík M 63 6.60 — — 1 20 14% — — —
M 78 7.30 — — 2 28 22% 3 — —
Christophe Kabongo F 63 6.90 — 1 1 13 8% — — —
Daniel Langhamer M 14 6.70 — — 1 4 4% — — —
Dominik Kostka D 47 6.20 — — — 19 15% 1 — —
Filip Lehký F 29 6.20 — — — 7 4% — 1 —
Solomon John M 14 6.50 — — — 5 5% — — —
Zlin Zlin — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 92 7.30 — — — 34 22% — — —
D 92 6.60 — — — 36 29% 2 — —
Jakub Kolar D 92 6.90 — — — 39 31% 1 — —
Jakub Černín D 92 6.90 — — 1 40 34% — — —
Miloš Kopečný D 92 6.90 — — 1 27 20% 2 — —
Kristers Penkevics M 45 6.20 — — 1 8 5% 1 — —
Cletus Nombil M 84 6.00 — — — 35 26% 2 — —
Jakub Pešek M 92 6.30 — — — 30 24% — — —
Tomas Hellebrand M 64 6.70 — — 1 15 12% 1 1 —
Matěj Koubek M 63 6.70 — — 2 12 9% 1 — —
Stanley Kanu F 73 6.70 — — 2 9 8% — — —
David Machalík M 29 6.70 — — — 9 8% 1 — —
Michal Cupak M 47 6.60 — — 2 12 11% 2 — —
Tomáš Poznar F 19 6.60 — 1 — 2 1% 1 1 —
Tom Ulbrich M 28 7.60 1 — 1 8 7% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Zlin?
The final score was Mlada Boleslav 1–1 Zlin.
What did the model predict before Mlada Boleslav vs Zlin?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Mlada Boleslav win, 19% to a draw, and 14% to an Zlin win.