✗Model wrong — prediction Mlada Boleslav, result Draw
J. Kolarik
(ast. C. Kabongo)
42'
81'
(ast. T. Poznar)
T. Ulbrich
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mlada Boleslav a 65% win probability (draw 19%, Zlin 14%). The final result was Mlada Boleslav 1–1 Zlin. In 2 previous meetings, Mlada Boleslav have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Zlin.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
4
1.62
Actual xG
1.04
2
Saves
4
60%
Possession
40%
4
Corners
5
10
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
D. Kozel
30'
⚽J. Kolarik
· ast. C. Kabongo
42'
O. Karafiat
/ D. Kostka
46'
46'
M. Cupak
/
K. Penkevics
53'
T. Hellebrand
M. Sevcik
/ F. Lehky
63'
C. Kabongo
/ J. Klima
63'
63'
D. Machalik
/
M. Koubek
64'
T. Ulbrich
/
T. Hellebrand
73'
T. Poznar
/
S. Kanu
J. Kolarik
/ D. Langhamer
78'
M. Subert
/ S. John
78'
81'
ast. T. Poznar ·
T. Ulbrich⚽
84'
J. Kalabiska
/
C. Nombil
84'
T. Poznar
F. Lehky
90'+1
90'+2
T. Ulbrich
Pre-match prediction
65.83%
Mlada
19.4%
X ←
14.77%
Zlin
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.4%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.55
1.62
-0.93
0.98
1.04
+0.06
Mlada Boleslav dominated by xG (1.62 vs 1.04).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
59
G
5
D
44
Ondrej Karafiat
45'
D
Ondrej Karafiat
45'
D
3
Martin Králik
D
Martin Králik
D
13
D
19
David Kozel
M
David Kozel
M
76
M
49
Josef Kolářík
1 ⚽
78'
M
Josef Kolářík
1 ⚽
78'
M
22
Michal Ševčík
63'
M
Michal Ševčík
63'
M
21
78'
M
25
Christophe Kabongo
1 👟
63'
F
Christophe Kabongo
1 👟
63'
F
Bench
28
Daniel Langhamer
14'
M
Daniel Langhamer
14'
M
31
D. Kostka
47'
D
10
Filip Lehký
29'
F
Filip Lehký
29'
F
32
Filip Matoušek
D
Filip Matoušek
D
37
Matouš Krulich
F
Matouš Krulich
F
20
Solomon John
14'
M
Solomon John
14'
M
64
G
82
D
28
Jakub Kolar
D
Jakub Kolar
D
24
Jakub Černín
D
Jakub Černín
D
23
Miloš Kopečný
D
Miloš Kopečný
D
5
Kristers Penkevics
45'
M
Kristers Penkevics
45'
M
19
Cletus Nombil
84'
M
Cletus Nombil
84'
M
10
Jakub Pešek
M
Jakub Pešek
M
53
Tomas Hellebrand
64'
M
Tomas Hellebrand
64'
M
15
M. Koubek
63'
M
14
Stanley Kanu
73'
F
Stanley Kanu
73'
F
Bench
39
Antonín Křapka
D
Antonín Křapka
D
8
David Machalík
29'
M
David Machalík
29'
M
6
Joss Didiba
M
Joss Didiba
M
31
Lukas Bartosak
D
Lukas Bartosak
D
30
Lukáš Branecký
F
Lukáš Branecký
F
26
Michal Cupak
47'
M
Michal Cupak
47'
M
88
Tomáš Poznar
1 👟
19'
F
Tomáš Poznar
1 👟
19'
F
4
Tom Ulbrich
1 ⚽
28'
M
Tom Ulbrich
1 ⚽
28'
M
Best on the pitch
Josef Kolářík
M · Mlada
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
Tom Ulbrich
M · Zlin
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Martin Králik
D · Mlada
7.30
2 shots
· 71 pass
G · Zlin
7.30
· 34 pass
M · Mlada
7.30
2 shots
· 28 pass
David Kozel
M · Mlada
7.20
2 shots
· 53 pass
Mlada Boleslav — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 48% | — | — | — | |
| Ondrej Karafiat | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Martin Králik | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 71 | 64% | — | — | — |
| D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| David Kozel | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 44% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 59% | 2 | — | — | |
| Josef Kolářík | M | 78 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Michal Ševčík | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M | 78 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | 3 | — | — | |
| Christophe Kabongo | F | 63 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Langhamer | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| D. Kostka | D | 47 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Filip Lehký | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Solomon John | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Zlin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 2 | — | — | |
| Jakub Kolar | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Jakub Černín | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Miloš Kopečný | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Kristers Penkevics | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Cletus Nombil | M | 84 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Jakub Pešek | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Tomas Hellebrand | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Koubek | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Stanley Kanu | F | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| David Machalík | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Michal Cupak | M | 47 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Tomáš Poznar | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tom Ulbrich | M | 28 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Zlin?
The final score was Mlada Boleslav 1–1 Zlin.
What did the model predict before Mlada Boleslav vs Zlin?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Mlada Boleslav win, 19% to a draw, and 14% to an Zlin win.