✗Model wrong — prediction Mlada Boleslav, result Draw
J. Kolarik
(ast. C. Kabongo)
42'
81'
(ast. T. Poznar)
T. Ulbrich
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Mlada Boleslav a 65% win probability (draw 19%, Zlin 14%). The final result was Mlada Boleslav 1–1 Zlin. In 2 previous meetings, Mlada Boleslav have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Zlin.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
11
5
Shots on target
4
1.62
Actual xG
1.04
2
Saves
4
60%
Possession
40%
4
Corners
5
10
Tackles
16
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
D. Kozel
30'
⚽J. Kolarik
· ast. C. Kabongo
42'
O. Karafiat
/ D. Kostka
46'
46'
M. Cupak
/
K. Penkevics
53'
T. Hellebrand
M. Sevcik
/ F. Lehky
63'
C. Kabongo
/ J. Klima
63'
63'
D. Machalik
/
M. Koubek
64'
T. Ulbrich
/
T. Hellebrand
73'
T. Poznar
/
S. Kanu
J. Kolarik
/ D. Langhamer
78'
M. Subert
/ S. John
78'
81'
ast. T. Poznar ·
T. Ulbrich⚽
84'
J. Kalabiska
/
C. Nombil
84'
T. Poznar
F. Lehky
90'+1
90'+2
T. Ulbrich
Pre-match prediction
65.83%
Mlada
19.4%
X ←
14.77%
Zlin
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.4%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.55
1.62
-0.93
0.98
1.04
+0.06
Mlada Boleslav dominated by xG (1.62 vs 1.04).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
59
G
5
D
44
O. Karafiát
45'
D
O. Karafiát
45'
D
3
M. Králik
D
M. Králik
D
13
D
19
D. Kozel
M
D. Kozel
M
76
M
49
J. Kolářík
1 ⚽
78'
M
J. Kolářík
1 ⚽
78'
M
22
M. Ševčík
63'
M
M. Ševčík
63'
M
21
78'
M
25
C. Kabongo
1 👟
63'
F
C. Kabongo
1 👟
63'
F
Bench
31
D. Kostka
47'
D
28
D. Langhamer
14'
M
D. Langhamer
14'
M
10
Filip Lehký
29'
F
Filip Lehký
29'
F
32
F. Matoušek
D
F. Matoušek
D
37
Matouš Krulich
F
Matouš Krulich
F
20
S. John
14'
M
S. John
14'
M
64
G
82
D
28
J. Kolář
D
J. Kolář
D
24
J. Černín
D
J. Černín
D
23
M. Kopečný
D
M. Kopečný
D
5
K. Penkevics
45'
M
K. Penkevics
45'
M
19
C. Nombil
84'
M
C. Nombil
84'
M
10
Jakub Pešek
M
Jakub Pešek
M
53
T. Hellebrand
64'
M
T. Hellebrand
64'
M
15
M. Koubek
63'
M
14
S. Kanu
73'
F
S. Kanu
73'
F
Bench
39
A. Křapka
D
A. Křapka
D
8
D. Machalík
29'
M
D. Machalík
29'
M
6
J. Didiba
M
J. Didiba
M
31
L. Bartošák
D
L. Bartošák
D
30
Lukáš Branecký
F
Lukáš Branecký
F
26
M. Cupák
47'
M
M. Cupák
47'
M
88
T. Poznar
1 👟
19'
F
T. Poznar
1 👟
19'
F
4
T. Ulbrich
1 ⚽
28'
M
T. Ulbrich
1 ⚽
28'
M
Best on the pitch
J. Kolářík
M · Mlada
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
T. Ulbrich
M · Zlin
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
M. Králik
D · Mlada
7.30
2 shots
· 71 pass
G · Zlin
7.30
· 34 pass
M · Mlada
7.30
2 shots
· 28 pass
D. Kozel
M · Mlada
7.20
2 shots
· 53 pass
Mlada Boleslav — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | — | — | |
| D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 48% | — | — | — | |
| O. Karafiát | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| M. Králik | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 71 | 64% | — | — | — |
| D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 39% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Kozel | M | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 44% | 3 | 1 | — |
| M | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 59% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Kolářík | M | 78 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Ševčík | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M | 78 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | 3 | — | — | |
| C. Kabongo | F | 63 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Kostka | D | 47 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Langhamer | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Filip Lehký | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| S. John | M | 14 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Zlin — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 29% | 2 | — | — | |
| J. Kolář | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Černín | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| M. Kopečný | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Penkevics | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Nombil | M | 84 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Jakub Pešek | M | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 24% | — | — | — |
| T. Hellebrand | M | 64 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Koubek | M | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Kanu | F | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D. Machalík | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cupák | M | 47 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Poznar | F | 19 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Ulbrich | M | 28 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Zlin?
The final score was Mlada Boleslav 1–1 Zlin.
What did the model predict before Mlada Boleslav vs Zlin?
The model assigned 65% probability to a Mlada Boleslav win, 19% to a draw, and 14% to an Zlin win.