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Serie B · Regular Season - 8 October 24, 2026 15:00 Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
Modena
#2 · 19 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Cesena
#10 · 11 pts
Andrea Belotti (ast. Gastón Brugman) 19'
Andrea Belotti (ast. Daniel Tonoli) 32'
Gianluca Frabotta 35' (og)
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Modena a 46% win probability (draw 27%, Cesena 26%). The final result was Modena 3–0 Cesena. In 2 previous meetings, Modena have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Cesena.

Match statistics
19
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
1
2.00
Actual xG
0.18
1
Saves
3
70%
Possession
30%
7
Corners
1
13
Tackles
23
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
2'
5'
Antonio Fiori
⚽Andrea Belotti · ast. Gastón Brugman
19'
20'
Mihajlo Ilic
⚽Andrea Belotti · ast. Daniel Tonoli
32'
⚽Gianluca Frabotta (og)
35'
↕ Daniel Tonoli / Antonio Imputato
45'
45'
Massimiliano Mangraviti / Mihajlo Ilic ↕
45'
X. Druiventak / Luca D'Andrea ↕
↕ Alessandro Bianco / Wisdom Acquah
57'
↕ Andrea Belotti / Daniele Montevago
57'
61'
Emil Bohinen / Dimitri Bisoli ↕
61'
Alessandro Debenedetti / Cristian Shpendi ↕
↕ Giuseppe Ambrosino / Luca Bacchin
66'
77'
Marco Dalla Vecchia / Matteo Guidi ↕
↕ Bryant Nieling / Kleis Bozhanaj
79'
Pre-match prediction
46.35%
Modena ←
27.17%
X
26.48%
Cesena
we assigned to the actual result (Modena) 46.35% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Modena
1.97
2.00
+0.03
Cesena
1.07
0.18
-0.89
Modena dominated by xG (2.00 vs 0.18). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Modena Modena 3-4-2-1
1 L. Chichizola L. Chichizola G 6.82
20 B. Nieling B. Nieling 79' D 7.48
6 S. Nador S. Nador D 7.47
23 F. Folino F. Folino D 7.75
27 Paulo Azzi Paulo Azzi M 6.67
42 A. Bianco A. Bianco 57' M 7.20
16 G. Brugman G. Brugman 1 👟 M 7.70
77 D. Tonoli D. Tonoli 1 👟 45' M 7.23
70 G. Ambrosino G. Ambrosino 66' M 7.10
72 G. Olzer G. Olzer M 6.63
11 A. Belotti A. Belotti 2 ⚽ 57' F 9.19
Bench
26 A. Imputato A. Imputato 45' F 7.04
28 D. Adorni D. Adorni D 0.00
34 Diego Ronco Diego Ronco D 0.00
9 D. Montevago D. Montevago 33' F 6.61
7 F. Zampano F. Zampano D 0.00
10 G. Caso G. Caso F 0.00
17 K. Bozhanaj K. Bozhanaj 11' M 6.78
29 L. Bacchin L. Bacchin 24' F 6.54
22 L. Consiglio L. Consiglio G 0.00
15 Martino Odero Martino Odero D 0.00
8 S. Santoro S. Santoro M 0.00
32 W. Acquah W. Acquah 33' M 7.30
Cesena Cesena 4-3-3
1 A. Siano A. Siano G 5.93
7 G. Frabotta G. Frabotta 1 ⚽ D 4.37
4 J. Gelli J. Gelli D 6.02
6 M. Ilić M. Ilić 45' D 5.59
15 A. Ciofi A. Ciofi D 5.91
8 M. Francesconi M. Francesconi M 6.25
18 M. Guidi M. Guidi 77' M 5.50
25 D. Bisoli D. Bisoli 61' M 6.09
80 A. Fiori A. Fiori 5' F 4.98
9 C. Shpendi C. Shpendi 61' F 6.45
16 L. D'Andrea L. D'Andrea 45' F 5.81
Bench
3 A. David A. David D 0.00
91 A. Debenedetti A. Debenedetti 29' F 6.12
32 E. Bohinen E. Bohinen 29' M 5.42
13 L. Ferretti L. Ferretti G 0.00
11 M. Caprini M. Caprini F 0.00
27 M. Dalla Vecchia M. Dalla Vecchia 13' M 5.80
24 M. Mangraviti M. Mangraviti 45' D 6.28
2 M. Natta M. Natta D 0.00
26 M. Piacentini M. Piacentini D 0.00
39 N. Fontana N. Fontana G 0.00
23 V. Magni V. Magni D 0.00
14 X. Druiventak X. Druiventak 45' M 5.67
Best on the pitch
A. Belotti
A. Belotti
F · Modena
9.19
2 ⚽
4 shots · 10 pass
F. Folino
F. Folino
D · Modena
7.75
· 81 pass
G. Brugman
G. Brugman
M · Modena
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 95 pass
B. Nieling
B. Nieling
D · Modena
7.48
1 shots · 61 pass
S. Nador
S. Nador
D · Modena
7.47
1 shots · 101 pass
W. Acquah
W. Acquah
M · Modena
7.30
· 24 pass
Modena Modena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Chichizola G 90 6.82 — — 0 29 26% 0 — —
B. Nieling D 79 7.48 — — 1 61 58% 1 — —
S. Nador D 90 7.47 — — 1 101 94% 1 — —
F. Folino D 90 7.75 — — 0 81 77% 1 — —
Paulo Azzi M 90 6.67 — — 1 45 40% 0 — —
A. Bianco M 57 7.20 — — 2 79 75% 3 — —
G. Brugman M 90 7.70 — 1 1 95 85% 2 — —
D. Tonoli M 45 7.23 — 1 3 16 11% 1 — —
G. Ambrosino M 66 7.10 — — 1 22 20% 0 — —
G. Olzer M 90 6.63 — — 0 46 37% 1 — —
A. Belotti F 57 9.19 2 — 4 10 9% 1 — —
A. Imputato F 45 7.04 — — 0 31 26% 1 — —
D. Montevago F 33 6.61 — — 3 8 4% 0 — —
K. Bozhanaj M 11 6.78 — — 1 5 3% 0 — —
L. Bacchin F 24 6.54 — — 1 8 8% 1 — —
W. Acquah M 33 7.30 — — 0 24 24% 0 — —
Cesena Cesena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Siano G 90 5.93 — — 0 40 23% 0 — —
G. Frabotta D 90 4.37 1 — 0 26 14% 2 — —
J. Gelli D 90 6.02 — — 1 32 25% 6 — —
M. Ilić D 45 5.59 — — 0 13 12% 0 1 —
A. Ciofi D 90 5.91 — — 0 36 27% 1 — —
M. Francesconi M 90 6.25 — — 0 12 6% 2 — —
M. Guidi M 77 5.50 — — 1 24 19% 3 — —
D. Bisoli M 61 6.09 — — 0 38 32% 3 — —
A. Fiori F 5 4.98 — — 0 0 0% 0 — 1
C. Shpendi F 61 6.45 — — 2 9 7% 2 — —
L. D'Andrea F 45 5.81 — — 0 10 8% 1 — —
A. Debenedetti F 29 6.12 — — 0 8 4% 0 — —
E. Bohinen M 29 5.42 — — 0 11 10% 0 — —
M. Dalla Vecchia M 13 5.80 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
M. Mangraviti D 45 6.28 — — 0 15 13% 0 — —
X. Druiventak M 45 5.67 — — 0 13 11% 3 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Modena vs Cesena?
The final score was Modena 3–0 Cesena.
What did the model predict before Modena vs Cesena?
The model assigned 46% probability to a Modena win, 27% to a draw, and 26% to an Cesena win.