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Modena - Fiorentina

Friendlies Clubs August 08, 2026 18:00
Modena
vs
Fiorentina
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.5%
Win
Modena
31.37%
Draw
31.13%
Win
Fiorentina
1.63
Expected xG
0.92

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.46%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 31%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 63%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Modena a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Fiorentina. Expected goals are 1.6 for Modena and 0.9 for Fiorentina (total 2.6), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.46% probability.

Season Stats

Modena
2W 1D 1L
Fiorentina
3W 2D 1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
2.5
0.2
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
25%
O 1.5
67%
25%
O 2.5
50%
0%
BTTS
67%
75%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
59%
O 3.5
34%
BTTS
Modena
1W 1D 0L · at home
Fiorentina
1W 1D 1L · away
2.5
gls/g
1.7
0.0
Conceded
1.7
50%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
50%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
67%
50%
O 3.5
67%
0%
BTTS
67%
100%
Clean Sht
33%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Modena Fiorentina →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8% 7.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% —
1 12.7% 11.7% 5.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.4% 9.5% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 2.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Modena Modena
D Vis Pesaro 0–0
W Trento 0–1
L Cagliari 1–0
W Virtus Bolzano 5–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Fiorentina Fiorentina
D Deportivo La Coruna 1–1
D Real Madrid 2–2
W Watford 0–1
L QPR 3–2
W Gubbio 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Modena Modena
Attack
30
Defence
94
Form
64
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Attack
45
Defence
71
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Modena vs Fiorentina?
The model gives Modena a 37% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 31% for an Fiorentina win.
How many goals are expected in Modena vs Fiorentina?
Expected goals: Modena 1.6, Fiorentina 0.9 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Modena vs Fiorentina?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.46%.