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Modena - Fiorentina

Friendlies Clubs August 08, 2026 18:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.86%
Win
Modena
31.68%
Draw
32.46%
Win
Fiorentina
1.97
Expected xG
1.32

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.93%)
1X2 Result
1 36%
X 32%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 64%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Modena a 35% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Fiorentina. Expected goals are 2.0 for Modena and 1.3 for Fiorentina (total 3.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.93% probability.

Season Stats

Modena
1W 0D 1L
Fiorentina
2W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
3.7
0.5
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
50%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
67%
0%
BTTS
67%
50%
Clean Sht
33%
Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Modena Fiorentina →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7% 4.9% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
1 7.4% 9.7% 6.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.2% 9.5% 6.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.7% 6.3% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
4 2.3% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

L Cagliari 1–0
W Virtus Bolzano 5–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
L QPR 3–2
W Gubbio 1–0
W Fiorentina U20 8–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Modena Modena
Attack
50
Defence
87
Form
72
Fiorentina Fiorentina
Attack
58
Defence
66
Form
60
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Modena vs Fiorentina?
The model gives Modena a 35% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 32% for an Fiorentina win.
How many goals are expected in Modena vs Fiorentina?
Expected goals: Modena 2.0, Fiorentina 1.3 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Modena vs Fiorentina?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.93%.