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Serie B · Regular Season - 6 October 11, 2026 19:30 Stadio Alberto Braglia, Modena
Modena
#2 · 19 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Hellas Verona
#13 · 9 pts
Giuseppe Caso (ast. Gastón Brugman) 13'
Daniele Montevago (ast. Giuseppe Caso) 85'
Andrea Belotti 90'+5
24' Daniel Mosquera
28' Daniel Mosquera
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Hellas Verona a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Modena 32%). The final result was Modena 3–2 Hellas Verona.

Match statistics
23
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
7
2.40
Actual xG
2.09
5
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
3
Corners
4
12
Tackles
15
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Giuseppe Caso · ast. Gastón Brugman
13'
Alessandro Bianco
16'
24'
Daniel Mosquera⚽
28'
Daniel Mosquera⚽
45'+2
andrea le borgne
↕ Alessandro Bianco / Francesco Folino
53'
↕ Giacomo Olzer / Andrea Belotti
53'
54'
Andrias Edmundsson
62'
68'
Antoine Bernede / Nunzio Lella ↕
68'
Domagoj Bradaric / Davide De Battisti ↕
68'
Kacper Sezonienko / Dailon Livramento ↕
74'
Nicolo Calabrese / Domagoj Bradaric ↕
77'
Andrias Edmundsson
79'
Tobias Slotsager / Daniel Mosquera ↕
↕ Paulo Azzi / Daniele Montevago
81'
⚽Daniele Montevago · ast. Giuseppe Caso
85'
↕ Gastón Brugman / Wisdom Acquah
89'
⚽Andrea Belotti
90'+5
Andrea Belotti
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
32.54%
Modena ←
29.1%
X
38.35%
Hellas
we assigned to the actual result (Modena) 32.54% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Modena
1.12
2.40
+1.28
Hellas
1.97
2.09
+0.12
Modena dominated by xG (2.40 vs 2.09). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Modena Modena 3-5-2
1 L. Chichizola L. Chichizola G 7.37
20 B. Nieling B. Nieling D 6.96
6 S. Nador S. Nador D 6.59
77 D. Tonoli D. Tonoli D 6.37
27 Paulo Azzi Paulo Azzi 81' M 6.20
8 S. Santoro S. Santoro M 6.47
16 G. Brugman G. Brugman 1 👟 89' M 7.59
42 A. Bianco A. Bianco 53' M 6.48
72 G. Olzer G. Olzer 53' M 6.43
10 G. Caso G. Caso 1 ⚽ 1 👟 F 8.45
70 G. Ambrosino G. Ambrosino F 6.66
Bench
11 A. Belotti A. Belotti 1 ⚽ 37' F 7.85
26 A. Imputato A. Imputato F 0.00
25 A. Laidani A. Laidani G 0.00
34 Diego Ronco Diego Ronco D 0.00
9 D. Montevago D. Montevago 1 ⚽ 9' F 8.18
23 F. Folino F. Folino 37' D 6.16
7 F. Zampano F. Zampano D 0.00
29 L. Bacchin L. Bacchin F 0.00
22 L. Consiglio L. Consiglio G 0.00
15 Martino Odero Martino Odero D 0.00
73 P. Arnaboldi P. Arnaboldi M 0.00
32 W. Acquah W. Acquah 1' M 5.95
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 4-4-2
34 S. Perilli S. Perilli G 5.85
71 D. De Battisti D. De Battisti 68' D 6.01
5 A. Edmundsson A. Edmundsson 77' D 5.60
27 P. Dawidowicz P. Dawidowicz D 6.36
4 G. Zappa G. Zappa D 5.91
9 A. Sarr A. Sarr M 6.16
23 N. Lella N. Lella 68' M 6.08
44 E. Iannoni E. Iannoni M 6.42
17 A. Le Borgne A. Le Borgne M 6.01
25 D. Mosquera D. Mosquera 2 ⚽ 79' F 8.61
14 D. Livramento D. Livramento 68' F 5.92
Bench
24 A. Bernede A. Bernede 22' M 6.27
21 A. Harroui A. Harroui M 0.00
81 C. Ekuban C. Ekuban F 0.00
6 D. Bradarić D. Bradarić 6' D 5.55
20 G. Kastanos G. Kastanos M 0.00
79 K. Sezonienko K. Sezonienko 22' F 6.15
37 N. Calabrese N. Calabrese 16' D 5.69
1 N. Leali N. Leali G 0.00
38 R. Akale R. Akale M 0.00
35 S. Cerbone S. Cerbone F 0.00
19 S. Mulattieri S. Mulattieri F 0.00
28 T. Slotsager T. Slotsager 11' D 5.64
Best on the pitch
D. Mosquera
D. Mosquera
F · Hellas
8.61
2 ⚽
3 shots · 10 pass
G. Caso
G. Caso
F · Modena
8.45
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 32 pass
D. Montevago
D. Montevago
F · Modena
8.18
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
A. Belotti
A. Belotti
F · Modena
7.85
1 ⚽
1 shots · 8 pass
G. Brugman
G. Brugman
M · Modena
7.59
1 👟
3 shots · 61 pass
L. Chichizola
L. Chichizola
G · Modena
7.37
· 34 pass
Modena Modena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Chichizola G 90 7.37 — — 0 34 28% 0 — —
B. Nieling D 90 6.96 — — 1 66 61% 1 — —
S. Nador D 90 6.59 — — 0 85 78% 2 — —
D. Tonoli D 90 6.37 — — 0 32 26% 3 — —
Paulo Azzi M 81 6.20 — — 1 28 22% 1 — —
S. Santoro M 90 6.47 — — 5 54 48% 0 — —
G. Brugman M 89 7.59 — 1 3 61 53% 1 — —
A. Bianco M 53 6.48 — — 0 39 36% 0 1 —
G. Olzer M 53 6.43 — — 3 18 12% 2 — —
G. Caso F 90 8.45 1 1 3 32 25% 0 — —
G. Ambrosino F 90 6.66 — — 5 21 17% 0 — —
A. Belotti F 37 7.85 1 — 1 8 3% 0 1 —
D. Montevago F 9 8.18 1 — 1 5 3% 0 — —
F. Folino D 37 6.16 — — 0 21 16% 1 — —
W. Acquah M 1 5.95 — — 0 7 7% 1 — —
Hellas Verona Hellas Verona — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. Perilli G 90 5.85 — — 0 43 24% 0 — —
D. De Battisti D 68 6.01 — — 1 15 10% 1 — —
A. Edmundsson D 77 5.60 — — 1 42 32% 6 — 1
P. Dawidowicz D 90 6.36 — — 1 34 32% 1 — —
G. Zappa D 90 5.91 — — 1 32 25% 1 — —
A. Sarr M 90 6.16 — — 2 12 8% 0 — —
N. Lella M 68 6.08 — — 1 19 15% 2 — —
E. Iannoni M 90 6.42 — — 0 45 37% 2 — —
A. Le Borgne M 90 6.01 — — 1 28 25% 1 1 —
D. Mosquera F 79 8.61 2 — 3 10 9% 0 — —
D. Livramento F 68 5.92 — — 3 10 5% 0 — —
A. Bernede M 22 6.27 — — 0 12 9% 1 — —
D. Bradarić D 6 5.55 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
K. Sezonienko F 22 6.15 — — 0 4 2% 0 — —
N. Calabrese D 16 5.69 — — 0 6 4% 0 — —
T. Slotsager D 11 5.64 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Modena vs Hellas Verona?
The final score was Modena 3–2 Hellas Verona.
What did the model predict before Modena vs Hellas Verona?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Modena win, 29% to a draw, and 38% to an Hellas Verona win.