← Serie B
Serie B · Quarter-finals May 12, 2026 18:45
Modena
#6 · 55 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Juve Stabia
#7 · 51 pts
86' K. Zeroli

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Modena a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Juve Stabia 33%). The final result was Modena 0–1 Juve Stabia. In 2 previous meetings, Modena have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Juve Stabia.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
1
1.07
Actual xG
0.33
0
Saves
3
41%
Possession
59%
2
Corners
4
18
Tackles
8
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
11'
S. Diakite
S. Nador
14'
M. De Luca
45'
A. Sersanti
63'
63'
M. Ricciardi / L. Carissoni ↕
63'
R. Burnete / F. Maistro ↕
↕ A. Sersanti / N. Pyyhtia
68'
↕ M. De Luca / E. Gliozzi
69'
A. Sottil
74'
↕ M. Cotali / G. Beyuku
75'
78'
C. Pierobon / N. Mosti ↕
78'
K. Zeroli / G. Leone ↕
84'
A. Gabrielloni / A. Okoro ↕
86'
K. Zeroli⚽
↕ G. Ambrosino / G. Defrel
89'
↕ S. Santoro / P. Mendes
89'
Pre-match prediction
41.8%
Modena
25.19%
X
33.01%
Juve ←
we assigned to the actual result (Juve Stabia) 33.01% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Modena
1.44
1.07
-0.37
Juve
1.32
0.33
-0.99
Modena dominated by xG (1.07 vs 0.33). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Venezia Venezia 38 82
2 Frosinone Frosinone 38 81
3 Monza Monza 38 76
4 Palermo Palermo 38 72
5 Catanzaro Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena Modena 38 55
7 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Avellino Avellino 38 49
9 Mantova Mantova 38 46
10 Padova Padova 38 46
11 Cesena Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Carrarese 38 44
13 Sampdoria Sampdoria 38 44
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli Empoli 38 41
16 Sudtirol Sudtirol 38 41
17 Bari Bari 38 40
18 Reggiana Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Spezia 38 35
20 Pescara Pescara 38 35
Lineups
Modena Modena 3-5-1-1
22 Michele Pezzolato Michele Pezzolato G 6.30
20 Bryant Nieling Bryant Nieling D 6.90
19 Steven Nador Steven Nador D 7.20
77 Daniel Tonoli Daniel Tonoli D 6.50
29 Matteo Cotali Matteo Cotali 75' M 6.20
5 Alessandro Sersanti Alessandro Sersanti 68' M 6.90
8 Simone Santoro Simone Santoro 89' M 7.30
17 Yanis Massolin Yanis Massolin M 7.00
7 Francesco Zampano Francesco Zampano M 6.50
10 Giuseppe Ambrosino Giuseppe Ambrosino 89' F 7.00
99 Manuel De Luca Manuel De Luca 69' F 6.50
Bench
13 Abdullah Laidani Abdullah Laidani G
25 Alessandro Dellavalle Alessandro Dellavalle D
90 Antonio Imputato Antonio Imputato F
28 Davide Adorni Davide Adorni D
9 Ettore Gliozzi Ettore Gliozzi 26' F 6.70
78 Fabrizio Bagheria Fabrizio Bagheria G
2 Gady Beyuku Gady Beyuku 20' D 6.20
92 Grégoire Defrel Grégoire Defrel 6' F
98 Luca Zanimacchia Luca Zanimacchia F
18 Niklas Pyyhtiä Niklas Pyyhtiä 27' M 6.90
11 Pedro Mendes Pedro Mendes 6' F
71 Samuel Wiafe Samuel Wiafe M
Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 3-5-1-1
1 Alessandro Confente Alessandro Confente G 7.30
6 Marco Bellich Marco Bellich D 7.70
33 Andrea Giorgini Andrea Giorgini D 6.70
46 Salim Diakité Salim Diakité D 6.90
77 Alessio Cacciamani Alessio Cacciamani M 6.50
29 Omar Correia Omar Correia M 6.20
55 Giuseppe Leone Giuseppe Leone 78' M 6.60
98 Nicola Mosti Nicola Mosti 78' M 6.90
24 Lorenzo Carissoni Lorenzo Carissoni 63' M 6.60
37 Fabio Maistro Fabio Maistro 63' F 6.70
90 Alvin Obinna Okoro Alvin Obinna Okoro 84' F 6.20
Bench
17 Aaron Ciammaglichella Aaron Ciammaglichella M
9 Alessandro Gabrielloni Alessandro Gabrielloni 11' F 6.50
14 Christian Dalle Mura Christian Dalle Mura D
10 Christian Pierobon Christian Pierobon 17' M 6.30
28 Emanuele Torrasi Emanuele Torrasi M
8 Kevin Zeroli Kevin Zeroli 1 ⚽ 17' M 7.70
27 Leonardo Candellone Leonardo Candellone F
2 Manuel Ricciardi Manuel Ricciardi 32' M 6.30
76 Mattia Mannini Mattia Mannini D
23 Pietro Boer Pietro Boer G
7 Rareș Burnete Rareș Burnete 32' F 6.20
21 Sheriff Kassama Sheriff Kassama D
Best on the pitch
Kevin Zeroli
Kevin Zeroli
M · Juve
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
Marco Bellich
Marco Bellich
D · Juve
7.70
· 71 pass
Simone Santoro
Simone Santoro
M · Modena
7.30
1 shots · 47 pass
Alessandro Confente
Alessandro Confente
G · Juve
7.30
· 31 pass
Steven Nador
Steven Nador
D · Modena
7.20
· 38 pass
Yanis Massolin
Yanis Massolin
M · Modena
7.00
1 shots · 36 pass
Modena Modena — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Michele Pezzolato G 95 6.30 — — — 32 19% — — —
Bryant Nieling D 95 6.90 — — — 43 35% 2 — —
Steven Nador D 95 7.20 — — — 38 33% 2 1 —
Daniel Tonoli D 95 6.50 — — 2 37 28% — — —
Matteo Cotali M 75 6.20 — — 1 22 16% — — —
Alessandro Sersanti M 68 6.90 — — — 16 8% 4 1 —
Simone Santoro M 89 7.30 — — 1 47 41% 4 — —
Yanis Massolin M 95 7.00 — — 1 36 31% 2 — —
Francesco Zampano M 95 6.50 — — — 24 19% — — —
Giuseppe Ambrosino F 89 7.00 — — 1 27 20% 2 — —
Manuel De Luca F 69 6.50 — — 1 10 4% 1 1 —
Ettore Gliozzi F 26 6.70 — — 3 — — — — —
Gady Beyuku D 20 6.20 — — — 7 5% — — —
Grégoire Defrel F 6 — — — — 2 1% — — —
Niklas Pyyhtiä M 27 6.90 — — 1 10 9% 1 — —
Pedro Mendes F 6 — — — — 1 — — — —
Juve Stabia Juve Stabia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Alessandro Confente G 95 7.30 — — — 31 21% — — —
Marco Bellich D 95 7.70 — — — 71 68% — — —
Andrea Giorgini D 95 6.70 — — — 88 77% — — —
Salim Diakité D 95 6.90 — — — 73 61% 1 1 —
Alessio Cacciamani M 95 6.50 — — 1 23 18% 1 — —
Omar Correia M 95 6.20 — — 1 46 37% — — —
Giuseppe Leone M 78 6.60 — — — 51 49% — — —
Nicola Mosti M 78 6.90 — — — 49 44% 1 — —
Lorenzo Carissoni M 63 6.60 — — — 27 20% 3 — —
Fabio Maistro F 63 6.70 — — 1 19 16% 1 — —
Alvin Obinna Okoro F 84 6.20 — — — 9 7% — — —
Alessandro Gabrielloni F 11 6.50 — — — 2 1% — — —
Christian Pierobon M 17 6.30 — — — 10 10% — — —
Kevin Zeroli M 17 7.70 1 — 1 5 3% 1 — —
Manuel Ricciardi M 32 6.30 — — — 9 7% — — —
Rareș Burnete F 32 6.20 — — — 6 4% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Modena vs Juve Stabia?
The final score was Modena 0–1 Juve Stabia.
What did the model predict before Modena vs Juve Stabia?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Modena win, 25% to a draw, and 33% to an Juve Stabia win.