86'
K. Zeroli
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Modena a 41% win probability (draw 25%, Juve Stabia 33%). The final result was Modena 0–1 Juve Stabia. In 2 previous meetings, Modena have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Juve Stabia.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
4
4
Shots on target
1
1.07
Actual xG
0.33
0
Saves
3
41%
Possession
59%
2
Corners
4
18
Tackles
8
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
11'
S. Diakite
S. Nador
14'
M. De Luca
45'
A. Sersanti
63'
63'
M. Ricciardi
/
L. Carissoni
63'
R. Burnete
/
F. Maistro
A. Sersanti
/ N. Pyyhtia
68'
M. De Luca
/ E. Gliozzi
69'
A. Sottil
74'
M. Cotali
/ G. Beyuku
75'
78'
C. Pierobon
/
N. Mosti
78'
K. Zeroli
/
G. Leone
84'
A. Gabrielloni
/
A. Okoro
86'
K. Zeroli⚽
G. Ambrosino
/ G. Defrel
89'
S. Santoro
/ P. Mendes
89'
Pre-match prediction
41.8%
Modena
25.19%
X
33.01%
Juve ←
we assigned to the actual result (Juve Stabia)
33.01%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
1.07
-0.37
1.32
0.33
-0.99
Modena dominated by xG (1.07 vs 0.33).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Michele Pezzolato
G
Michele Pezzolato
G
20
B. Nieling
D
B. Nieling
D
19
S. Nador
D
S. Nador
D
77
D. Tonoli
D
D. Tonoli
D
29
Matteo Cotali
75'
M
Matteo Cotali
75'
M
5
Alessandro Sersanti
68'
M
Alessandro Sersanti
68'
M
8
S. Santoro
89'
M
S. Santoro
89'
M
17
Y. Massolin
M
Y. Massolin
M
7
F. Zampano
M
F. Zampano
M
10
G. Ambrosino
89'
F
G. Ambrosino
89'
F
99
M. De Luca
69'
F
M. De Luca
69'
F
Bench
13
Abdullah Laidani
G
Abdullah Laidani
G
90
A. Imputato
F
A. Imputato
F
25
Alessandro Dellavalle
D
Alessandro Dellavalle
D
28
D. Adorni
D
D. Adorni
D
9
E. Gliozzi
26'
F
E. Gliozzi
26'
F
78
Fabrizio Bagheria
G
Fabrizio Bagheria
G
2
Gady Beyuku
20'
D
Gady Beyuku
20'
D
92
Grégoire Defrel
6'
F
Grégoire Defrel
6'
F
98
Luca Zanimacchia
F
Luca Zanimacchia
F
18
Niklas Pyyhtiä
27'
M
Niklas Pyyhtiä
27'
M
11
Pedro Mendes
6'
F
Pedro Mendes
6'
F
71
Samuel Wiafe
M
Samuel Wiafe
M
1
A. Confente
G
A. Confente
G
6
M. Bellich
D
M. Bellich
D
33
A. Giorgini
D
A. Giorgini
D
46
Salim Diakité
D
Salim Diakité
D
77
A. Cacciamani
M
A. Cacciamani
M
29
O. Correia
M
O. Correia
M
55
G. Leone
78'
M
G. Leone
78'
M
98
N. Mosti
78'
M
N. Mosti
78'
M
24
L. Carissoni
63'
M
L. Carissoni
63'
M
37
F. Maistro
63'
F
F. Maistro
63'
F
90
A. Okoro
84'
F
A. Okoro
84'
F
Bench
17
Aaron Ciammaglichella
M
Aaron Ciammaglichella
M
9
A. Gabrielloni
11'
F
A. Gabrielloni
11'
F
14
C. Dalle Mura
D
C. Dalle Mura
D
10
C. Pierobon
17'
M
C. Pierobon
17'
M
28
Emanuele Torrasi
M
Emanuele Torrasi
M
8
Kevin Zeroli
1 ⚽
17'
M
Kevin Zeroli
1 ⚽
17'
M
27
L. Candellone
F
L. Candellone
F
76
Mattia Mannini
D
Mattia Mannini
D
2
M. Ricciardi
32'
M
M. Ricciardi
32'
M
23
P. Boer
G
P. Boer
G
7
R. Burnete
32'
F
R. Burnete
32'
F
21
Sheriff Kassama
D
Sheriff Kassama
D
Best on the pitch
Kevin Zeroli
M · Juve
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 5 pass
M. Bellich
D · Juve
7.70
· 71 pass
S. Santoro
M · Modena
7.30
1 shots
· 47 pass
A. Confente
G · Juve
7.30
· 31 pass
S. Nador
D · Modena
7.20
· 38 pass
Y. Massolin
M · Modena
7.00
1 shots
· 36 pass
Modena — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michele Pezzolato | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 19% | — | — | — |
| B. Nieling | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Nador | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Tonoli | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Matteo Cotali | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Sersanti | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 8% | 4 | 1 | — |
| S. Santoro | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| Y. Massolin | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Zampano | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | — | — | — |
| G. Ambrosino | F | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| M. De Luca | F | 69 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Gliozzi | F | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gady Beyuku | D | 20 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Grégoire Defrel | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Niklas Pyyhtiä | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Mendes | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Juve Stabia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Confente | G | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 21% | — | — | — |
| M. Bellich | D | 95 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 71 | 68% | — | — | — |
| A. Giorgini | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 88 | 77% | — | — | — |
| Salim Diakité | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 73 | 61% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Cacciamani | M | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| O. Correia | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 37% | — | — | — |
| G. Leone | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 49% | — | — | — |
| N. Mosti | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 49 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Carissoni | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Maistro | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Okoro | F | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| A. Gabrielloni | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| C. Pierobon | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Zeroli | M | 17 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ricciardi | M | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| R. Burnete | F | 32 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Modena vs Juve Stabia?
The final score was Modena 0–1 Juve Stabia.
What did the model predict before Modena vs Juve Stabia?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Modena win, 25% to a draw, and 33% to an Juve Stabia win.