Serie B · Regular Season - 32 March 21, 2026 19:30

Modena

#6 · 55 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Mantova

#9 · 46 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Modena a 47% win probability (draw 30%, Mantova 22%). The final result was Modena 2–1 Mantova. In 1 previous meetings, Modena have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Mantova.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

2

0.50

Actual xG

0.70

37%

Possession

63%

1

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

47.56%

Modena ←

30.14%

X

22.31%

Mantova

we assigned to the actual result (Modena) 47.56% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Modena

1.42

0.50

-0.92

Mantova

0.98

0.70

-0.29

xG dominance was balanced (0.50 – 0.70). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Venezia	38	82
2	Frosinone	38	81
3	Monza	38	76
4	Palermo	38	72
5	Catanzaro	38	59
6	Modena	38	55
7	Juve Stabia	38	51
8	Avellino	38	49
9	Mantova	38	46
10	Padova	38	46
11	Cesena	38	46
12	Carrarese	38	44
13	Sampdoria	38	44
14	Virtus Entella	38	42
15	Empoli	38	41
16	Sudtirol	38	41
17	Bari	38	40
18	Reggiana	38	37
19	Spezia	38	35
20	Pescara	38	35