Serie B · Regular Season - 32 March 21, 2026 19:30 Alberto Braglia, Modena

Modena

#2 · 19 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Mantova

#4 · 17 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Modena a 47% win probability (draw 30%, Mantova 22%). The final result was Modena 2–1 Mantova. In 1 previous meetings, Modena have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Mantova.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

2

0.50

Actual xG

0.70

37%

Possession

63%

1

Corners

4

Pre-match prediction

47.56%

Modena ←

30.14%

X

22.31%

Mantova

we assigned to the actual result (Modena) 47.56% (medium confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Modena

1.42

0.50

-0.92

Mantova

0.98

0.70

-0.29

xG dominance was balanced (0.50 – 0.70). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	9	23
2	Modena	9	19
3	Ascoli	9	18
4	Mantova	9	17
5	Benevento	9	15
6	Pisa	9	15
7	Padova	9	13
8	Sudtirol	9	13
9	Hellas Verona	9	12
10	Avellino	9	12
11	Cesena	9	11
12	Virtus Entella	9	10
13	Carrarese	9	10
14	Arezzo	9	10
15	Cremonese	9	9
16	Vicenza Virtus	9	9
17	Juve Stabia	9	8
18	Empoli	9	7
19	Sampdoria	9	5
20	Catanzaro	9	5