✓Model correct — prediction Modena
F. Zampano
(ast. L. Zanimacchia)
13'
G. Ambrosino
(ast. Y. Massolin)
56'
65'
(ast. K. Bozhanaj)
F. Vicari
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Modena a 66% win probability (draw 21%, Reggiana 11%). The final result was Modena 2–1 Reggiana. In 1 previous meetings, Modena have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Reggiana.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
0.53
Actual xG
1.85
4
Saves
0
53%
Possession
47%
2
Corners
4
15
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
F. Gerli
/ S. Santoro
6'
⚽F. Zampano
· ast. L. Zanimacchia
13'
F. Zampano
14'
35'
S. Bonetti
46'
A. Tripaldelli
/
S. Bonetti
⚽G. Ambrosino
· ast. Y. Massolin
56'
56'
L. Belardinelli
G. Ambrosino
57'
57'
K. Bozhanaj
/
N. Girma
58'
A. Novakovich
/
L. Belardinelli
65'
ast. K. Bozhanaj ·
F. Vicari⚽
G. Ambrosino
69'
G. Ambrosino
69'
N. Pyyhtia
/ A. Sersanti
72'
M. De Luca
/ P. Mendes
72'
74'
T. Reinhart
/
L. Libutti
S. Santoro
76'
Y. Massolin
/ S. Wiafe
83'
F. Zampano
/ M. Cotali
83'
84'
T. Fumagalli
/
M. Bertagnoli
85'
M. Portanova
Pre-match prediction
66.98%
Modena ←
21.45%
X
11.57%
Reggiana
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Modena)
66.98%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.06
0.53
-1.53
0.55
1.85
+1.3
Reggiana dominated by xG (1.85 vs 0.53).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
20
D
19
D
77
D. Tonoli
D
D. Tonoli
D
7
F. Zampano
1 ⚽
83'
M
F. Zampano
1 ⚽
83'
M
18
Niklas Pyyhtiä
72'
M
Niklas Pyyhtiä
72'
M
16
F. Gerli
6'
M
F. Gerli
6'
M
17
Y. Massolin
1 👟
83'
M
Y. Massolin
1 👟
83'
M
98
Luca Zanimacchia
1 👟
M
Luca Zanimacchia
1 👟
M
99
M. De Luca
72'
F
M. De Luca
72'
F
10
G. Ambrosino
1 ⚽
69'
F
G. Ambrosino
1 ⚽
69'
F
Bench
33
C. Cauz
D
C. Cauz
D
28
D. Adorni
D
D. Adorni
D
24
E. Colpo
F
78
F. Bagheria
G
F. Bagheria
G
2
Gady Beyuku
D
Gady Beyuku
D
29
Matteo Cotali
14'
D
Matteo Cotali
14'
D
11
Pedro Mendes
25'
F
Pedro Mendes
25'
F
8
S. Santoro
91'
M
S. Santoro
91'
M
71
S. Wiafe
14'
M
S. Wiafe
14'
M
1
A. Micai
G
43
S. Bonetti
45'
D
47
Mateus Lusuardi
D
34
F. Vicari
1 ⚽
D
17
L. Libutti
74'
D
90
M. Portanova
M
57
L. Belardinelli
58'
M
L. Belardinelli
58'
M
26
M. Bertagnoli
84'
M
80
N. Girma
57'
M
93
M. Lambourde
M
M. Lambourde
M
11
C. Gondo
F
Bench
9
A. Novaković
39'
F
A. Novaković
39'
F
33
A. Tripaldelli
52'
D
8
Charlys
M
Charlys
M
10
K. Bozhanaj
1 👟
40'
M
K. Bozhanaj
1 👟
40'
M
77
T. Fumagalli
13'
F
16
T. Reinhart
23'
M
T. Reinhart
23'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Modena
8.20
· 23 pass
Y. Massolin
M · Modena
8.00
1 👟
· 31 pass
D. Tonoli
D · Modena
7.60
· 43 pass
F. Zampano
M · Modena
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
K. Bozhanaj
M · Reggiana
7.30
1 👟
· 10 pass
G. Ambrosino
F · Modena
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
Modena — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 2 | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 57 | 49% | — | — | — | |
| D. Tonoli | D | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| F. Zampano | M | 83 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Niklas Pyyhtiä | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Gerli | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Y. Massolin | M | 83 | 8.00 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Zanimacchia | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| M. De Luca | F | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Ambrosino | F | 69 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Matteo Cotali | D | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Mendes | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| S. Santoro | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 44% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Wiafe | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Reggiana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Micai | G | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 12% | — | — | — |
| S. Bonetti | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mateus Lusuardi | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| F. Vicari | D | 97 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 29% | — | — | — |
| L. Libutti | D | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Portanova | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Belardinelli | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Bertagnoli | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Girma | M | 57 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Lambourde | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Gondo | F | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Novaković | F | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Tripaldelli | D | 52 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| K. Bozhanaj | M | 40 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Fumagalli | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Reinhart | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Modena vs Reggiana?
The final score was Modena 2–1 Reggiana.
What did the model predict before Modena vs Reggiana?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Modena win, 21% to a draw, and 11% to an Reggiana win.