Serie B
· Regular Season - 37
May 01, 2026 15:00
✓Model correct — prediction Modena
F. Zampano
(ast. L. Zanimacchia)
13'
G. Ambrosino
(ast. Y. Massolin)
56'
65'
(ast. K. Bozhanaj)
F. Vicari
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Modena a 66% win probability (draw 21%, Reggiana 11%). The final result was Modena 2–1 Reggiana. In 1 previous meetings, Modena have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Reggiana.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
5
0.53
Actual xG
1.85
4
Saves
0
53%
Possession
47%
2
Corners
4
15
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
F. Gerli
/ S. Santoro
6'
⚽F. Zampano
· ast. L. Zanimacchia
13'
F. Zampano
14'
35'
S. Bonetti
46'
A. Tripaldelli
/
S. Bonetti
⚽G. Ambrosino
· ast. Y. Massolin
56'
56'
L. Belardinelli
G. Ambrosino
57'
57'
K. Bozhanaj
/
N. Girma
58'
A. Novakovich
/
L. Belardinelli
65'
ast. K. Bozhanaj ·
F. Vicari⚽
G. Ambrosino
69'
G. Ambrosino
69'
N. Pyyhtia
/ A. Sersanti
72'
M. De Luca
/ P. Mendes
72'
74'
T. Reinhart
/
L. Libutti
S. Santoro
76'
Y. Massolin
/ S. Wiafe
83'
F. Zampano
/ M. Cotali
83'
84'
T. Fumagalli
/
M. Bertagnoli
85'
M. Portanova
Pre-match prediction
66.98%
Modena ←
21.45%
X
11.57%
Reggiana
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Modena)
66.98%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.06
0.53
-1.53
0.55
1.85
+1.3
Reggiana dominated by xG (1.85 vs 0.53).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
20
D
19
D
77
Daniel Tonoli
D
Daniel Tonoli
D
7
Francesco Zampano
1 ⚽
83'
M
Francesco Zampano
1 ⚽
83'
M
18
Niklas Pyyhtiä
72'
M
Niklas Pyyhtiä
72'
M
16
F. Gerli
6'
M
17
Yanis Massolin
1 👟
83'
M
Yanis Massolin
1 👟
83'
M
98
Luca Zanimacchia
1 👟
M
Luca Zanimacchia
1 👟
M
99
Manuel De Luca
72'
F
Manuel De Luca
72'
F
10
Giuseppe Ambrosino
1 ⚽
69'
F
Giuseppe Ambrosino
1 ⚽
69'
F
Bench
33
C. Cauz
D
28
Davide Adorni
D
Davide Adorni
D
24
E. Colpo
F
78
Fabrizio Bagheria
G
Fabrizio Bagheria
G
2
Gady Beyuku
D
Gady Beyuku
D
29
Matteo Cotali
14'
D
Matteo Cotali
14'
D
11
Pedro Mendes
25'
F
Pedro Mendes
25'
F
71
Samuel Wiafe
14'
M
Samuel Wiafe
14'
M
8
Simone Santoro
91'
M
Simone Santoro
91'
M
1
A. Micai
G
43
S. Bonetti
45'
D
47
Mateus Lusuardi
D
34
F. Vicari
1 ⚽
D
17
L. Libutti
74'
D
90
M. Portanova
M
57
L. Belardinelli
58'
M
26
M. Bertagnoli
84'
M
80
N. Girma
57'
M
93
M. Lambourde
M
11
C. Gondo
F
Bench
9
A. Novakovich
39'
F
33
A. Tripaldelli
52'
D
8
Charlys
M
10
K. Bozhanaj
1 👟
40'
M
77
T. Fumagalli
13'
F
16
T. Reinhart
23'
M
T. Reinhart
23'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Modena
8.20
· 23 pass
Yanis Massolin
M · Modena
8.00
1 👟
· 31 pass
Daniel Tonoli
D · Modena
7.60
· 43 pass
Francesco Zampano
M · Modena
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
K. Bozhanaj
M · Reggiana
7.30
1 👟
· 10 pass
Giuseppe Ambrosino
F · Modena
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
Modena — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 10% | — | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 31% | 2 | — | — | |
| D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 57 | 49% | — | — | — | |
| Daniel Tonoli | D | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 43 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| Francesco Zampano | M | 83 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Niklas Pyyhtiä | M | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Gerli | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Yanis Massolin | M | 83 | 8.00 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| Luca Zanimacchia | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 1 | 38 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Manuel De Luca | F | 72 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Giuseppe Ambrosino | F | 69 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 10% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Matteo Cotali | D | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Mendes | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Samuel Wiafe | M | 14 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Simone Santoro | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 54 | 44% | 3 | 1 | — |
Reggiana — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Micai | G | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 12% | — | — | — |
| S. Bonetti | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mateus Lusuardi | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | — | — |
| F. Vicari | D | 97 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 41 | 29% | — | — | — |
| L. Libutti | D | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Portanova | M | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 11% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Belardinelli | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Bertagnoli | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Girma | M | 57 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Lambourde | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Gondo | F | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Novakovich | F | 39 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Tripaldelli | D | 52 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| K. Bozhanaj | M | 40 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Fumagalli | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| T. Reinhart | M | 23 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Modena vs Reggiana?
The final score was Modena 2–1 Reggiana.
What did the model predict before Modena vs Reggiana?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Modena win, 21% to a draw, and 11% to an Reggiana win.