Serie D - Girone I
· Group I - 4
September 20, 2026 15:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave CastrumFavara a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Modica 33%). The final result was Modica 1–0 CastrumFavara.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
33.71%
Modica ←
32.29%
X
34.0%
CastrumFavara
we assigned to the actual result (Modica)
33.71%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
—
—
1.10
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Modica vs CastrumFavara?
The final score was Modica 1–0 CastrumFavara.
What did the model predict before Modica vs CastrumFavara?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Modica win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an CastrumFavara win.